Friday, November 30, 2012

NFL WEEK 13 picks by @CurtisJStock

Still smarting after Thursday’s loss with the Saints who had every opportunity to at least cover, I’ve had trouble coming up with a Pick 1 let alone a Pick-6 this week. But here goes:
LINE Giants 2 ½
Here’s a weird stat: Washington has lost 10 straight Monday night home games.
Now they get another chance against a team they lost to 27-23 in Week 7 when Victor Cruz hauled in a 77-yard catch and run touchdown with just 1:13 left in the game.
Washington ran the ball for 248 yards in that loss. QB Robert Griffin III had 89 yards of that with Alfred Morris getting most of the rest with 120 rush yards.
Washington has won two in a row – against the Eagles two weeks ago and then holding off Dallas 38-31 after they led 28-3 at halftime after scoring four TDs in the second quarter.
The Giants broke a two-game losing streak with a 38-10 victory over Green Bay when they pummeled Aaron Rodgers all game.
But it was also a game where the Giants lost RB Andre Brown who was having a fine season. That leaves Ahmad Bradshaw on his own. Bradshaw has been bothered all season with a foot injury.
Taking the Giants.
LINE: Carolina 3
Carolina is favoured on the road for the second straight week. It’s a role they like having gone 8-2 as road favourites.
But they are also 0-6 as non-divisional road favourites off a SUATS win.
Both teams will try and establish the run early as neither team defenses the run very well.
Carolina RB Jonathan Stewart injured his ankle last week but the Panthers still have DeAngelo Williams and Mike Tolbert.
The Chiefs counter with Jamaal Charles who is running behind a very injured O-line that now has two rookies playing and could face even more juggling with veteran guard Ryan Lilja, who had to move to center, battling a knee injury.
On defense LB Tamba Hali is also injured.
The Chiefs haven’t scored more than 16 points in any of their last seven games.
Taking Carolina.
LINE Bengals 2
With the Bengals getting their running game going – BenJarvus Green-Ellis has back-to-back 100-yard running games – Cincinnati has won three straight by a total of 93-29, albeit the last two of those wins coming against Kansas City and Oakland.
San Diego remains a team that finds a way to lose. Last week Baltimore trailed by 10 points with 7:51 left to play and rebounded to win with the key play a conversion on fourth and 29 with just 1:37 left to play.
That was the third time this season the Chargers have gassed a double-digit lead in the second half.
They also couldn’t hold onto a 10-point lead against New Orleans and then let a 24-0 lead against Denver evaporate.
After winning three of their first four games, the Chargers have lost six of their last seven.
Phil Rivers isn’t getting much time to throw; Rivers was sacked six more times last week. That isn’t good news for San Diego given the way the Bengals got after Oakland QB Carson Palmer last week – four sacks, two turnovers and able to throw for only 146 yards.
Since winning their first two games, the Chargers have lost seven of their last nine – the two wins were against 1-10 Kansas City.
The Bengals are 6-0 ATS the week after scoring 30 or more points including three times this season.
San Diego is 1-6 in the first of back-to-back home games against non-divisional opponents.
The Chargers also have injury problems in their secondary with both of their safeties – Eric Weddle and Atari Bigby – getting injured last week.
Weddle may play after getting concussed last week but Bigby, who is second on the team in tackles, is gone. Bengals QB Andy Dalton will take advantage.
Taking the Bengals.
LINE: Buffalo 6
Jacksonville has played better the last two games – defeating Tennessee, which isn’t that much of a feather (Buffalo lost by a point to the Titans earlier this year) – and almost upsetting Houston (a team Buffalo fell to 21-9).
That said, Jacksonville is still last in offense and second last in defense.
Those last two improved games for Jacksonville came with Chad Henne at the helm throwing for a combined total of 615 yards with six TDs.
But while Henne sparked the Jaguars he was sacked seven times. With Buffalo DE Mario Williams showing vast improvement after wrist surgery helping a defense that has only allowed one offensive TD in each of the last two games that isn’t a good sign for the Jags.
The other factor is Buffalo’s running tandem of C.J. Spiller and the recently activated Fred Jackson. Jacksonville gives up an average of 136 rush yards per game.
Not that Buffalo is any better stopping the run – they are actually worse – but Jacksonville’s main RB Jalen Parmele is now out for the season.
While Buffalo is averaging 140 yards on the ground, Jacksonville’s 81.4-yard average is the worst in the AFC.
Jacksonville also has a key defensive injury with CB Derek Cox injuring his hamstring last week. Cox is the Jags best cornerman.
Buffalo isn’t all that bad. Their defense but they have don’t have a clue what to do when they get into the red zone – settling for field goals instead of touchdowns. Last week they finally got a TD from inside the 20-yard line – their first in their last seven trips.
Taking Buffalo.
LINE: Denver 7
Hmm. Petyon Manning against a Tampa Bay team that can’t stop the pass. First in the NFL in run defense, the Bucs are last in pass defense giving up an average of 315 yards per game.
That leaky secondary was further hit this week with the four-game suspension of CB Eric Wright.
But before you open your wallets too wide, Denver has failed to cover 14 of their last 17 games when they are favoured by six points or more.
Tampa has also been exceptional on offense putting up 27 or more points in six of their last seven games. The only time in that span that they didn’t up at least 27 points was when they lost to Atlanta last week 24-23.
The latter was a game Tampa could easily have won – the one-point margin notwithstanding. Three times the Bucs settled for field goals when deep in Atlanta territory including three chances to punch it in from the Falcons 3-yard line.
Competitive in every game they have played, none of Tampa’s losses have been by more than a touchdown which is this game’s betting line.
Taking Tampa.
LINE: Houston 7
Tennessee can’t stop run or the pass and Houston can do both.
Houston QB Matt Schaub has averaged 421 passing yards in the last two games while RB Arian Foster is looking for his sixth straight game rushing for 90 yards or more.
After going 2-6 on the road last year, the Texans are 5-0 away from home this season.
Houston has a long injury list though. OLB Brooks Reed. CB Johnathan Joseph, ILB Bradie James, RG Antoine Caldwell and RT Derek Newton are all out.
That’s on top of losing Brian Cushing earlier this season.
While the defensive injuries are a big concern, there is nothing wrong with Houston’s offense which put up 77 points and almost 1,154 yards of total offense the last two weeks. But even with that output Houston failed to cover the spread in both of those games as their injured defense allowed a total of 791 passing yards.
Tennessee somehow lost to Jacksonville last week. The Titans got inside Jacksonville’s 24-yard line six times but registered just one touchdowns settling for field goals the other five times.
Houston defeated Tennessee 38-14 in Week 4 a game in which Houston capitalized on three turnovers with two interceptions returned for touchdowns.
Houston was 12 point favourites in that game. Now, after the line opened at just 4 ½ points it has been steadily pushed upwards to 7.
The stats are mixed.
Taking Houston.
LINE: Jets 4 ½
Hard to believe the Jets are favoured against anyone. But Arizona is a mess on offense. Down to their third string QB Ryan Lindley, who threw four interceptions last week – two returned for touchdowns – the Cardinals weak O-line will now be without starting C Lyle Sendlein. For the season Arizona QBs have been sacked 46 times.
Last week Arizona lost 31-17 to St. Louis – a team the Jets defeated 27-13 two weeks ago – albeit with the help of three turnovers.
Hate to even try to make a stab at this game but reluctantly taking the Jets.
LINE: Browns 1
This isn’t just the first time the Browns have been favoured, they haven’t been favoured on the road since 2007.
Little wonder given that the Browns lost 12 straight road games.
Cleveland had their win over Pittsburgh last week gift wrapped when they were plus seven in turnovers. The two touchdowns they scored were directly the result of turnovers as both of those drives totaled just 41 yards.
But Oakland is just plain bad getting blown out in their last three games and losing their last four games by allowing opponents to score a total of 169 points.
Cleveland’s defense has stepped it up since their bye week three weeks ago. In the two games since the bye the Browns have given up an average of just 56 rush yards. They allowed 49 rush yards against Pittsburgh and 63 yards against Dallas. In the latter game they also sacked Dallas QB Tony Romo seven times. Prior to the bye the Browns allowed 132.2 rush yards per game.
The return from injuries of tackles Ahtyba Rubin and Phil Taylor has been a big reason for the vast improvement.
Oakland hasn’t had much luck playing Cleveland as they have covered just one of the last six meetings.
With the forecast calling for miserable weather with the possibility of torrential rains this probably is going to be a low scoring game with the emphasis on running the ball which is why the possible return of Darren McFadden and Mike Goodson is so important.
Cleveland counters with rookie RB Trent Richardson who has averaged over 100 yards on the ground in his last four games.
Browns QB Brandon Weeden has been cleared to play after sustaining a concussion last week.
Cleveland has covered five of the last six meetings.
The Browns have at least been competitive in all of their games this year; Oakland hasn’t.
Taking Cleveland.
LINE: Chicago 3 1/2
Two of the NFL’s top defenses and two of the worst offenses meet even if one of them, Seattle, allowed Miami to put up 435 yards against them last week. That was also a game where Seattle’s bread and butter Marshawn Lynch only had 46 yards on 19 carries.
Seattle doesn’t win on the road. While they are 5-0 at home they are 1-5 on the road and this is another one of their long eastern treks.
Overall, since the start of the 2002 season, Seattle is 56-29 at home and 31-55 on the road. Since 2007 they are 12-34 on the road.
Chicago, which continues to rely on their defense which has scored seven touchdowns – all off interceptions – rebounded from two losses to defeat Minnesota 28-10 last week with Jay Cutler targeting Brandon Marshall 17 times while connecting on 12 of them.
While Seattle coach Pete Carroll is just 2-10 against teams coming off double-digit wins while seeking revenge, the Bears are 8-3 after a double-digit ATS win.
Although Seattle CBs Richard Sherman and Brandon Browner will both probably play this week, they both face suspensions for violating the NFL’s policy on performance-enhancing drugs.
Chicago has more than enough of its own problems. RG Lance Louis is gone for the season while LG Chris Spencer is also out with a knee injury. WR Devin Hester won’t play either. Also hurt are LB Lance Briggs, RB Matt Forte, and CB Charles Tillman.
The Seattle Seahawks could be without defensive end Red Bryant this week at Chicago because of a foot problem.
Not expecting much offense.
Despite the injuries taking the Bears.
LINE: Dallas 10
Just how low can the Eagles sink?
Philadelphia, losers of seven straight, is a 9-point dog against a Dallas team that has lost both inside LBs – Bruce Carter and Sean Lee – and also have injuries on their offensive line and at wide receiver.
Kevin Ogletree was inactive with a concussion last week – a game in which they also lost WR Miles Austin, who may play this week.
RB DeMarco Murray, who hasn’t played the last six weeks, is finally expected to play. Without Murray the Cowboys, which only average 78.7 rush yards per game, has really stalled. But with their patchwork offensive line it probably doesn’t matter who their running back is.
The Eagles, which have given up at least 30 points three weeks in a row – and four in their last five outings (the only exception being a 28-13 loss to New Orleans – have several injuries of their own. Michael Vick remains on the sideline with Nick Foles, who has been adequate at best, again getting the start. Their leading receiver, DeSean Jackson, is on injured reserve after fracturing several ribs last week. RB LeSean McCoy has a concussion. DT Fletcher Cox injured his tailbone and offensive lineman King Dunlap sprained his knee.
McCoy’s absence wasn’t a factor last week as Bryce Brown came in and set an Eagles rookie record with 178 yards rushing.
Home hasn’t been kind to Dallas which has failed to cover their five home games this year and have lost three of the those last four straight up. In each of those last four home games the Cowboys have trailed by at least 10 points before halftime.
Last week the Cowboys trailed Washington 28-3 at halftime in a game they would eventually lose 38-31.
The Cowboys defeated the Eagles three weeks ago but that was a game where Dallas had three special team touchdowns.
The stats are mixed.
The Eagles are in total disarray – their longest completion in last week’s loss to Carolina was just 16 yards – but giving up 10 points seems a tad high facing a Dallas team which is banged up on both sides of the ball.
Taking the Eagles.
LINE Detroit 4 ½
Detroit had the lead in the fourth quarter against both Green Bay and Houston the last two weeks. But in both games they gave up touchdowns with less than two minutes to play to lose those two games by a combined seven points.
Last week’s loss to Houston was especially heart breaking for Detroit when they were victims of a goofy rule for challenging an obvious official’s rule that Houston RB Justin Forsett wasn’t down – though he clearly was – when he got up and ran for an 81-yard TD.
The Colts have won five of their last six – the only loss when they were minus-4 in turnovers against New England.
They will be without DT Fiji Moala who is gone for the season.
Taking the Colts.
LINE: Packers 8
While Green Bay thumped Minnesota 45-7 in their last meeting last season, 15 of the last 19 regular-season games have been decided by seven points or less.
Obviously the Packers have to stop Adrian Peterson. But they will have to do it without one of their best run-stoppers C.J. Wilson. Compounding matters LB Clay Matthews has missed the last two games.
That’s on top of already being without Sam Shields and Charles Woodson.
Peterson leads the NFL with 1,236 yards rushing.
Last week the Packers got thumped 38-10 by the Giants who sacked Aaron Rodgers five times, hit him seven other times and clearly won the line of scrimmage as the Giants piled up 390 yards of offense.
Rodgers has now been sacked an NFL-high 37 times this season.
Missing RT right tackle Bryan Bulaga, who was lost for the season, has been a big reason.
The Vikings had two players – TE Kyle Rudolph and strong safety Harrison Smith – leave last week’s game with concussions but both have been cleared to play.
WR Percy Harvin,, another big cog who has missed the last two games, is doubtful.
Green Bay’s WR Greg Jennings, on the other hand, is expected to return after missing the previous seven games.
For an injured team coming off that kind of a loss the 9-point line seems, on the surface anyway, pretty big.
The stats however say otherwise.
Minnesota is 2-8 vs. divisional rivals in Week 9 and afterwards, 1-14 as road dogs vs. conference opponents off a SUATS loss and has failed to cover four of the last five meetings in Green Bay.
Furthermore, Green Bay has won its last nine games against the NFC North and have won 23 of its last 25 regular season games at Lambeau Field.
Don’t feel comfortable with laying this many points but going with the stats and taking Green Bay.
LINE Patriots 9
Tom Brady gets to throw against a Miami secondary that gives up an average of 261.7 passing yards a game.
The Patriots have a very long list of injuries but it didn’t slow them down last week against the Jets when they led 7-0 for one minute and then went up 28-0 another minute later.
But they came out of last week’s game with even more wounds. Not to mention the four-game drug suspension handed out to DE Jermaine Cunningham.
DE Chandler Jones, their leading pass rusher, and LG Logan Mankins are also out along with TE Rob Gronkowski. RT Sebastian Vollmer and RG Dan Connolly are questionable. Mankins, Connolly and Gronkowski were out last week and it sure didn’t hurt as the Patriots won 49-19 and Brady wasn’t sacked.
Miami woke up last week putting up 435 total yards against Seattle’s tough defense including over 100 yards on the ground – the first time they have done that since Week 3. At the same time they limited Seattle RB Marshawn Lynch to only 46 yards in 19 carries.
New England is 14-2 off consecutive SUATS wins when meeting less than .500 divisional teams.
Taking New England.
LINE: 49ers 7 1/2
One of the best road teams in the NFL, the 49ers are 10-3 away from home since 2011 including four of five this year – all four of those covers.
Once again Colin Kaepernick will start at quarterback for San Francisco – a move which hasn’t sat well with regular starter Alex Smith.
Three weeks ago these two tied 24-24 with St. Louis having 458 yards of offense compared to 341 for San Francisco.
The 49ers were 13-point favourites for that game. For this game in St. Louis they are 7 1/2 –point picks.
Since the tie, the 49ers defeated both Chicago and New Orleans – the latter returning two interceptions for TDs to turn a 14-7 deficit into a 28-14 lead — while the Rams lost 27-13 to the Jets and beat the hapless Cardinals 31-17 outscoring Arizona 17-0 in the second half with Steven Jackson running for a season-best 139 yards. It was no coincidence that C Scott Wells who had been out since Week 1 with a broken foot was back for that game – allowing replacement C Robert Turner to move to LG – against Arizona.
The Rams are 6-1 at home when exiting a SU dog win but they are 2-12 as divisional home dogs of 4 points or more and 1-8 as dogs of 9 points or less against teams coming off a double-digit win. San Francisco is 2-5 as road favourites vs. teams coming off a win but 9-2 as road favourites of six or more against divisional opponents.
Taking the 49ers.
LINE: Baltimore 8
Pittsburgh has shown nothing with the loss of Ben Roethlisberger but they played Baltimore tight two weeks ago in a 13-10 loss when they had 311 yards of offense to just 200 for Baltimore.
The Steelers will probably get back Pro Bowlers WR Antonio Brown and S Troy Polamalu.
Most of the stats favour Baltimore which has won 15 straight at home and 12 straight vs. the AFC North. At home the Ravens have averaged 37 points a game, on the road they have only averaged 16.
However, six of the last seven regular-season games between the two have been decided by three points so this line seems a trite high.
Pittsburgh should be able to run on the Ravens which are giving up 128.5 rush yards a game although their four running backs combined for five fumbles last week – part of eight turnovers in total – while only generating 49 yards.
A big reason was that Cleveland put eight men in the box and dared Charlie Batch to throw. Multiple injuries on their offensive line certainly didn’t help either.
Last week Baltimore converted on fourth and 29 to knock off San Diego. Can’t see the Steelers doing that.
Taking Pittsburgh.

Pick by 


NFL week 13 picks by @MoreThanFantasy

NFL Week 13 Bets
Week 11 Results: 2-1
Week 12 Results: Too much Turkey
Season [ATS]: 11-9
Survivor Pick: To date, I’ve used DET, CIN, DAL, ATL, PIT, NYJ, MIN, GB, HOU, BAL, DEN and CLE respectively each week. This week I’m going with Carolina. Kansas City is a mess and Carolina is better than their record suggests.
Panthers -3
My survivor pick of the week. Cam looked great last week against the Eagles. Ok, so that last sentence has very little meaning. But the Chiefs aren’t any better than the Eagles. Arrowhead stadium used to be a tough place to play, but now the Chiefs are 1-10 with little to no hope of winning another game. With a line this small you have to take the hot team over a one-win team. Another stat to ease your conscious: Carolina is 4-1 ATS away from home.
Jaguars +6
Putting aside the fact that the Jags are 100x better with Henne over Gabbert, the Jags are surprisingly 5-0 ATS as away dogs this year. If you’ve ever seen the Jags stadium during home games you can understand why they play much better in other team’s stadiums. Six points in way too much to give in a game between two bad teams whose seasons are over.
Texans -5
Houston is a much better team than Tennessee – plain and simple. There hasn’t been a game this year where they haven’t come to play. They beat the Titans by 24 on their home field and I don’t expect this game to be much closer. The line won’t stay this small so jump on it while you can. Houston is out to prove something this year and they won’t let a division rival hand them their 2nd loss. The return of Ben Tate could help alleviate some of the pressure of Foster as well, allowing the Texans to dominate the game on the ground.
Quick Notes: The Bengals are a hot team right now and are -1.5 against the Chargers. San Diego likes to show up once and a while, but the Bengals are the better bet here. Speaking of hot teams – how are the Buccaneers getting 7 points against the Broncos? Oh yeah, Peyton Manning. I will likely bet Tampa Bay in this game but I won’t endorse the pick. I don’t like the half point, just off principle, but the Patriots -7.5 is laughable the way they have been playing. I’ll be taking the alternative line (-14.5) which will probably only pay out +180.

Thursday, November 29, 2012

#NFL picks by @pacman453323

Well, it has been a few weeks since the last article. Between the blackout for 2 weeks, then taking a couple weeks to get things back in order, we now fast forward to week 13 in the NFL. This week follows up last week which has some close spreads, but without anymore waiting, let’s get to the picks.
Falcons over Saints – A few things stick out about this matchup, 1st, Thursday night games have been very good to RBs, 2nd, this game is Atlanta, and 3rd, nothing can be more motivating that losing to the same team just a couple weeks ago. Falcons -3.5
Bills over Jaguars – A game of 2 bad teams that are already evaluating players for next year. The Bills are the better team and at home, but Jacksonville should keep it close because Bills are horrible at stopping the run and Henne is better than Gabbert. Jaguars +6.5
Bears over Seahawks – Seattle is not the same team on the road as they are at home. Chicago is 1 of the top defenses in the league and even without Matt Forte, they can move the ball as long as Cutler is there. They do have to avoid injuries better than last week though. Bears -4.5
Lions over Colts – Detroit was hot before happening to run into Green Bay and Houston within a 5 day period. Indianapolis is fighting to get into the playoffs. However, this is just a gut feeling that Detroit is better, but it will be a FG type game. Colts +4.5
Packers over Vikings – Packers need to find some answers for their offensive line, which is why Minnesota could keep this close. However, Minnesota doesn’t have the pass rush of the Giants. Adrian Peterson will keep them within a touchdown. Vikings +9.5
Texans over Titans – Titans were embarrassed last week and their offensive coordinator, Chris Palmer, paid the price. They should be better on offense than they have shown, but this is the wrong week and the wrong defense to show it against. Texans -5.5
Panthers over Chiefs – Cam Newton sure can handle winning better than he can losing. The chiefs are a putrid team and they should be playing to try to get the top pick so they can draft their future franchise QB, they desperately need one. Panthers -3.5
49ers over Rams – A couple weeks ago this was the 1st tie in the NFL in 5 years. I think this game a message will be sent by the Niners. With newly appointed QB Colin Kaepernick starting, this team is now showing their offense is also pretty good also. 49ers -7.5
Patriots over Dolphins – New England proved my point from the last time they played the Jets. If they try to force passing, like in the 1st meeting, it would be close, but they ran the ball last week, and all of a sudden, a blowout. Amazing what a smart team can do. Pats -7.5
Jets over Cardinals –This may shock you, but I’m actually going to pick the dysfunctional family, known as the Jets, to win this week. However, I doubt they will win by more than a FG, I mean come on, it is the Jets. Cardinals +4.5
Broncos over Buccaneers – If this game was in Tampa Bay, I would have given some more thought to Tampa pulling off the upset, but it’s hard to pick against Manning at home when he’s facing a pass defense that is so bad. Broncos -6.5
Browns over Raiders – This is 1 of the 2 games that I really had a tough time deciding on. Both teams are bad, but I feel the Browns are trying harder. Rumors are McFadden maybe back this week, but he wasn’t exactly ripping the league apart before getting hurt. Browns +.5
Bengals over Chargers – This was the other game that was very hard for me to decide. I decided to go with Cincinnati purely because they have more to play for. Norv Turner should be fired and the loss last week may have clinched that decision. Bengals -1.5
Ravens over Steelers – There were rumors that Big Ben maybe back for this game, but I’m hearing that it is not likely. Ravens have not been good on defense this year, but I think Charlie Batch can make any defense look like the 85’ Bears. Ravens -6.5
Cowboys over Eagles – It amazes me how much better the Eagles should be than they are. The biggest issues are their offensive line and turnovers. They actually have the potential to win this game, but just like their previous games, turnovers should cost them the game late. Eagles +9.5
Giants over Redskins – The Giants currently look like the best team in football. The Redskins look like they have the potential to beat any team in the league. What happens when you’re between a rock and a hard place? You go with the defending Superbowl Champs. Giants -2.5
I’ll be back next week for week 14 picks in the NFL. You can reach me at the twitter handle @pacman453323, until next week, enjoy the games.

Love/Hate by @JdLaw6

NFL FFB Love Hate



Tom Brady vs. Dolphins
The Miami Dolphins are fourth in the NFL against apposing running backs. The Patriots are still going to put up points and it won’t be on the ground.

Cam Newton vs. Chiefs
The Kansas City Chiefs are 26th in the NFL against the pass. Cam may not put up 30+pts like he did last week against the Eagles, but his potential for rushing yards and rushing touchdowns gives him the possibility to have another great week.

Matthew Stafford vs. Colts
Between Stafford’s average of 35+ attempts per week and the Colts inability to force turnovers, Stafford looks to be a good start this week. Not to mention that Megatron is back to his old ways of being a top two wide receiver in the league.


Josh Freeman vs. Broncos
The Broncos defense is 9th in the NFL against fantasy QBs only giving up an average of 14.8 points per game. That combined with Freemans ZERO touchdowns against the Falcons last week and that Champ Bailey will be shadowing Vincent Jackson all over the field makes for an unfavorable matchup for Freeman.

Jay Cutler vs. Seahawks
The Seattle Seahawks have the best secondary in the NFL and are #2 against opposing fantasy QBs. Richard Sherman, Brandon Browner & Earl Thomas will make sure Cutler will have a tough time this week finding Brandon Marshall, his #1 target.



Jamaal Charles vs. Panthers
After seeing how easily Bryce Brown tore through the Panthers defense last week, it seems that Charles will have the same output if given enough touches.

Trent Richardson vs. Raiders
Doug Martin and the Law Firm had big days against the Raiders, the worst fantasy defense in the league. Why should Trent Richardson be any different?

C.J. Spiller vs. Jaguars
What does Chan Gailey not see in the kid?? He is averaging 6.7 yards per carry and is only getting around 15 carries per game. The Jaguars are 28th in the NFL against opposing running backs. Hopefully Chan will feed him the rock this game.


Steven Ridley vs. Dolphins
See Tom Brady.

Marshawn Lynch vs. Bears
The Chicago Bears are 2nd in the NFL against opposing fantasy RBs. They have only giving up 3 rushing TDs all year, one of which was a garbage time TD from Chris Johnson.

Chris Johnson vs. Texans
The Houston Texans are tied with the Bears against opposing fantasy RBs. They have only given up 2 rushing TDs all year. I expect the Titans to fall behind early, throwing the ball in attempts to merely keep up.



Julio Jones & Roddy White vs. Saints
One will have a good game and one will have a monster game. I can’t tell you which one will do which but they are both solid plays this week.

Marques Colston vs. Falcons
Asante Samuel and Duanta Robinson are both banged up for this game. Colston will find the endzone at least one time, maybe more.

Wes Welker vs. Dolphins
Playing against his former team and no Gronk … See Tom Brady.


Vincent Jackson vs. Broncos
Jackson will be covered with Champ Bailey all day. I still believe he is a must start, I wouldn’t expect a big game.

Steve Smith vs. Chiefs
I feel the same way about Brandon Flowers as I do about Champ Bailey … Tough matchup.

Brandon Marshall vs. Seahawks
You have to start him, but it’s going to be tough against the big and physical Seattle secondary. He will most likely see coverage from both Sherman and Browner.



Jimmy Graham vs. Falcons
He had two TDs earlier in the year against Atlanta and always seems to find the end zone when playing the Falcons.

Brandon Pettigrew vs. Colts
Pettigrew gets plenty of targets and they can’t throw the ball to Megatron every time … Or can they?

Tony Gonzales vs. Saints
Gonzales had 122 yards and 2 TDs in their first meeting this year. The saints don’t have a single player than can cover him for four quarters.


Vernon Davis vs. It Doesn’t Even Matter
Since week 4, Davis only has 2 games with over 4 fantasy points. I have him on my team and I’m starting Mercedes Lewis over him this week.

Heath Miller vs. Ravens
No Big Ben – No start.

Dennis Pitta vs. Steelers
Don’t let his 10 fantasy points last week fool you. Flash in the pan.



Jets Defense vs. Cardinals Defense
Both have terrible offenses. Both have fairly good defenses. Mark Sanchez vs. Ryan Lindley. This should get ugly quick.

Bears vs. Seahawks
A rookie QB in Soldier Field equals another big day for the Bears Defense.


Broncos vs. Buchaneers
I have Josh Freeman and Vincent Jackson on my hate list but Tampa is going to score points regardless. Between Doug Martin, Dallas Clark, and Mike Williams, there are plenty of scoring options on the field.

Giants vs. Redskins
Its Simple … RG3.

Good Luck, God Speed, & GOD BLESS AMERICA.

Josh Lawrence

The Law



Wednesday, November 28, 2012

Week 13 #Rankings #NFL #Fantasyfootball

Here are PFW's Week 13 QB rankings:
  1. Peyton Manning, Broncos vs. Buccaneers
  2. Robert Griffin III, Redskins vs. Giants
  3. Matt Ryan, Falcons vs. Saints
  4. Tom Brady, Patriots at Dolphins
  5. Aaron Rodgers, Packers vs. Vikings
  6. Drew Brees, Saints at Falcons
  7. Matthew Stafford, Lions vs. Colts
  8. Cam Newton, Panthers at Chiefs
  9. Eli Manning, Giants at Redskins
  10. Tony Romo, Cowboys vs. Eagles
  11. Andy Dalton, Bengals at Chargers
  12. Matt Schaub, Texans at Titans
  13. Andrew Luck, Colts at Lions
  14. Philip Rivers, Chargers vs. Bengals
  15. Carson Palmer, Raiders vs. Browns
  16. Chad Henne, Jaguars at Bills
  17. Ryan Fitzpatrick, Bills vs. Jaguars
  18. Josh Freeman, Buccaneers at Broncos
  19. Colin Kaepernick, 49ers at Rams
  20. Ryan Tannehill, Dolphins vs. Patriots
  21. Joe Flacco, Ravens vs. Steelers
  22. Russell Wilson, Seahawks at Bears
  23. Jay Cutler, Bears vs. Seahawks
  24. Jake Locker, Titans vs. Texans
  25. Colt McCoy, Browns at Raiders
  26. Christian Ponder, Vikings at Packers
  27. Sam Bradford, Rams vs. 49ers
  28. Brady Quinn, Chiefs vs. Panthers
  29. Mark Sanchez, Jets vs. Cardinals
  30. Ryan Lindley, Cardinals at Jets
  31. Nick Foles, Eagles at Cowboys
  32. Charlie Batch, Steelers at Ravens
  33. Ben Roethlisberger, Steelers at Ravens — INJ
  34. Brandon Weeden, Browns at Raiders — INJ
  35. Michael Vick, Eagles at Cowboys — INJ

Here are PFW's Week 13 RB rankings:
  1. Arian Foster, Texans at Titans
  2. Adrian Peterson, Vikings at Packers
  3. Trent Richardson, Browns at Raiders
  4. Doug Martin, Buccaneers at Broncos
  5. C.J. Spiller, Bills vs. Jaguars
  6. Jamaal Charles, Chiefs vs. Panthers
  7. Ray Rice, Ravens vs. Steelers
  8. Alfred Morris, Redskins vs. Giants
  9. Marshawn Lynch, Seahawks at Bears
  10. Chris Johnson, Titans vs. Texans
  11. Frank Gore, 49ers at Rams
  12. Ahmad Bradshaw, Giants at Redskins
  13. Stevan Ridley, Patriots at Dolphins
  14. Marcel Reece, Raiders vs. Browns
  15. Mikel Leshoure, Lions vs. Colts
  16. BenJarvus Green-Ellis, Bengals at Chargers
  17. Michael Turner, Falcons vs. Saints
  18. Ryan Mathews, Chargers vs. Bengals
  19. Reggie Bush, Dolphins vs. Patriots
  20. Beanie Wells, Cardinals at Jets
  21. Darren Sproles, Saints at Falcons
  22. Michael Bush, Bears vs. Seahawks
  23. Bryce Brown, Eagles at Cowboys
  24. Rashad Jennings, Jaguars at Bills
  25. Steven Jackson, Rams vs. 49ers
  26. Fred Jackson, Bills vs. Jaguars
  27. Felix Jones, Cowboys vs. Eagles
  28. Jonathan Stewart, Panthers at Chiefs
  29. Jacquizz Rodgers, Falcons vs. Saints
  30. Daniel Thomas, Dolphins vs. Patriots
  31. Shane Vereen, Patriots at Dolphins
  32. Vick Ballard, Colts at Lions
  33. Bilal Powell, Jets vs. Cardinals
  34. Shonn Greene, Jets vs. Cardinals
  35. Knowshon Moreno, Broncos vs. Buccaneers
  36. Jonathan Dwyer, Steelers at Ravens
  37. Rashard Mendenhall, Steelers at Ravens
  38. Chris Ivory, Saints at Falcons
  39. DeAngelo Williams, Panthers at Chiefs
  40. Donald Brown, Colts at Lions
  41. Joique Bell, Lions vs. Colts
  42. Mark Ingram, Saints at Falcons
  43. James Starks, Packers vs. Vikings
  44. Ronnie Hillman, Broncos vs. Buccaneers
  45. Kendall Hunter, 49ers at Rams
  46. David Wilson, Giants at Redskins
  47. Ronnie Brown, Chargers vs. Bengals
  48. Danny Woodhead, Patriots at Dolphins
  49. Pierre Thomas, Saints at Falcons
  50. Justin Forsett, Texans at Titans

Here are PFW's Week 13 WR rankings:
  1. Calvin Johnson, Lions vs. Colts
  2. A.J. Green, Bengals at Chargers
  3. Demaryius Thomas, Broncos vs. Buccaneers
  4. Victor Cruz, Giants at Redskins
  5. Roddy White, Falcons vs. Saints
  6. Julio Jones, Falcons vs. Saints
  7. Andre Johnson, Texans at Titans
  8. Dez Bryant, Cowboys vs. Eagles
  9. Reggie Wayne, Colts at Lions
  10. Marques Colston, Saints at Falcons
  11. Hakeem Nicks, Giants at Redskins
  12. Wes Welker, Patriots at Dolphins
  13. Jordy Nelson, Packers vs. Vikings
  14. Eric Decker, Broncos vs. Buccaneers
  15. Brandon Marshall, Bears vs. Seahawks
  16. Randall Cobb, Packers vs. Vikings
  17. Cecil Shorts, Jaguars at Bills
  18. Vincent Jackson, Buccaneers at Broncos
  19. Stevie Johnson, Bills vs. Jaguars
  20. Denarius Moore, Raiders vs. Browns
  21. Pierre Garcon, Redskins vs. Giants
  22. Dwayne Bowe, Chiefs vs. Panthers
  23. Percy Harvin, Vikings at Packers — INJ
  24. Danario Alexander, Chargers vs. Bengals
  25. Torrey Smith, Ravens vs. Steelers
  26. Larry Fitzgerald, Cardinals at Jets
  27. Brian Hartline, Dolphins vs. Patriots
  28. Malcom Floyd, Chargers vs. Bengals
  29. Justin Blackmon, Jaguars at Bills
  30. Lance Moore, Saints at Falcons
  31. Steve Smith, Panthers at Chiefs
  32. Mike Wallace, Steelers at Ravens
  33. Davone Bess, Dolphins vs. Patriots
  34. Michael Crabtree, 49ers at Rams
  35. Mike Williams, Buccaneers at Broncos
  36. Ryan Broyles, Lions vs. Colts
  37. James Jones, Packers vs. Vikings
  38. Brandon Lloyd, Patriots at Dolphins
  39. Donnie Avery, Colts at Lions
  40. Anquan Boldin, Ravens vs. Steelers
  41. Brandon LaFell, Panthers at Chiefs
  42. Jeremy Kerley, Jets vs. Cardinals
  43. Sidney Rice, Seahawks at Bears
  44. Golden Tate, Seahawks at Bears
  45. Kenny Britt, Titans vs. Texans
  46. Mohamed Sanu, Bengals at Chargers
  47. Josh Gordon, Browns at Raiders
  48. Jeremy Maclin, Eagles at Cowboys
  49. T.Y. Hilton, Colts at Lions
  50. Santana Moss, Redskins vs. Giants

Here are PFW's Week 12 TE rankings:
  1. Tony Gonzalez, Falcons at Buccaneers
  2. Jimmy Graham, Saints vs. 49ers
  3. Jason Witten, Cowboys vs. Redskins
  4. Aaron Hernandez, Patriots at Jets
  5. Owen Daniels, Texans at Lions
  6. Vernon Davis, 49ers at Saints
  7. Brandon Myers, Raiders at Bengals
  8. Jermaine Gresham, Bengals vs. Raiders
  9. Antonio Gates, Chargers vs. Ravens
  10. Greg Olsen, Panthers vs. Eagles
  11. Dwayne Allen, Colts vs. Bills
  12. Dustin Keller, Jets vs. Patriots
  13. Kyle Rudolph, Vikings at Bears (UP)
  14. Scott Chandler, Bills at Colts
  15. Heath Miller, Steelers at Browns
  16. Brandon Pettigrew, Lions vs. Texans
  17. Marcedes Lewis, Jaguars vs. Titans
  18. Brent Celek, Eagles at Panthers
  19. Martellus Bennett, Giants vs. Packers
  20. Jermichael Finley, Packers at Giants

Here are PFW's Week 13 defensive rankings.
  1. Baltimore Ravens vs. Steelers
  2. San Francisco 49ers at Rams
  3. Chicago Bears vs. Seahawks
  4. Houston Texans at Titans
  5. Seattle Seahawks at Bears
  6. Arizona Cardinals at Jets
  7. New York Jets vs. Cardinals
  8. Pittsburgh Steelers at Ravens
  9. Dallas Cowboys vs. Eagles
  10. Green Bay Packers vs. Vikings
  11. Cleveland Browns at Raiders
  12. New England Patriots at Dolphins
  13. Denver Broncos vs. Buccaneers
  14. Carolina Panthers at Chiefs
  15. Cincinnati Bengals at Chargers
  16. Indianapolis Colts at Lions
  17. Buffalo Bills vs. Jaguars
  18. Detroit Lions vs. Colts
  19. New York Giants at Redskins
  20. San Diego Chargers vs. Bengals
Rankings provided by

WEEK 13 SPREAD PICKS By: Richard Donohue (@floworcrash)

With Thanksgiving behind us, we now move into the home stretch of the 2012 –13 NFL Season. It’s crazy how quick the season goes! One minute you’re prepping for your fantasy football draft, the next you’re watching the snowfall as your team moves (hopefully) into postseason play.

Last week I went for the big six pack, and failed to pull it out. I went 4 –2. I pushed with the Texans pick, and the Chiefs gave Denver a scare early so they didn’t cover. My overall record is 14 – 8. Let’s see if we can keep the momentum going this week.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers +7 at DENVER BRONCOS:

If you have been reading this article regularly (thank you), you know I love both of these teams this year. On a pure fan level, this game will be a pleasure to watch. We all know by now what Manning has brought to table in Denver. Although McGahee has hit the IR, this team hasn’t missed a beat, and is still ranked among the top 5 offenses in the league. The Broncos haven’t been great against the spread though, going 6-5 this year.
Tampa Bay on the other hand has one of the best ATS records in the league, going 8-2-1 with a very strong 5-0 on the road. See where I’m going here? Schiano’s preparation is his biggest strength. The Buccos always play their opponents tough, and they will again this week. I say Denver wins, but not after a dog fight in Mile High.

DETRIOT LIONS – 4 ½ vs. Indianapolis Colts:

With Chicago and Green Bay duking it out above them in the NFC North, things aren’t looking too good for the Lions playoff hopes. Although they played the Texans tough on Thanksgiving, it just wasn’t enough to get the job done. Despite their record, this team still has the #1 ranked passing attack in the league. Andrew Luck’s Colts are doing extremely well themselves, putting themselves into the top 5 Offences in the NFL. This one is going to come down to defense. The Colts have allowed an average of 24.8 points and 233.8 passing yards per game. This puts them at 20th overall. Moreover, the Lions have had longer to prepare, and are still home. They came up short against Houston and won’t again against the upstart Colts.

Houston Texans – 5 ½ at TENNESSEE TITANS:

And the beat goes on. Houston is an unquestioned, unchained BEAST of a team, and they will show that fact again versus the Titans. 5 ½ points is simply not enough for me to care. Ranked #10 is Passing and #5 in Rushing. Fantasy owners have been pleased with the resurgence of Chris Johnson, but he won’t see much daylight against Houston. The Texans have only allowed opposing rushers to average 4 yards a carry, 87.5 per game overall. Simply put, this is all Texans, all day.

Tuesday, November 27, 2012

Week 13 Waver Wire pickups

Also, please keep in mind that this list is ongoing and won’t be final until Tuesday afternoon.


Colin Kaepernick – 49ers (ESPN Owned 27.6%)
While most had a feeling Jim Harbaugh was going to lean towards Kaepernick over Alex Smithagainst the Saints, it looks like there are still a majority of leagues where he is still sitting out there on the wire. With only 1 touchdown pass against the Saints, Kaepernick didn’t put up the big numbers we had expected against a horrid Saints Defense (231 passing yards). But Kaepernick has a stronger arm than Smith, an excellent accuracy percentage through 3 games (66.1%) and great running ability, which he showed Sunday after rushing for another score. Harbaugh may be noncommittal about who will start against the Rams, but fully expect it to be Kaepernick once again. Harbaugh is cleverly unrevealing towards the media to keep his opponents on edge, but don’t be fooled. Kaepernick should continue to be a low-end QB1 for the rest of the year, barring a major melt down.
Chad Henne – Jaguars (ESPN Owned 6.1%)
He may have been sacked 7 times and treated like a rag doll against a Titans Defense that didn’t let up, but Henne has now put up successful stats in 2-straight games, something Blaine Gabberthadn’t been able to do all year. Not to mention Henne’s presence has been a huge reason for the recent success of Justin Blackmon and the continuing emergence of Cecil Shorts. In 2 starts, Henne has now averaged 307.5 passing yards with 6 touchdowns and 1 interception. Henne’s ability to take chances down field has paid dividends. With a Week 13 matchup coming up against the Bills, Henne should be in line for another QB1-type game.
Russell Wilson – Seattle (ESPN Owned 17.5%)
The last few weeks have been very kind to Wilson, who now has 7 touchdowns and 0 interceptions in the last 3 games. Without much help from Marshawn Lynch and the running game, Wilson picked apart a battered Dolphins secondary and passed for 224 yards, his 4th 200+ yard outing of the year. Unfortunately, I still don’t trust Wilson as anything more than a QB2. His yardage totals, even on the ground, aren’t enough to warrant QB1 status. Not to mention he has the Bears coming up in Week 13 and the Cardinals highly-ranked secondary in Week 14.


Beanie Wells – Cardinals (ESPN Owned 58.7%)
While Wells’ return wasn’t pretty, with only 17 rushes for just 48 yards, his 2 rushing touchdowns made him a worthy option against the Rams. Lets face it: the Cardinals offense outside of Larry Fitzgerald is bad. But as Wells gains his pre-injury form, he is worthy of a roster spot. He won’t do much in the passing game since he was never much of a pass catcher, even in college. But as long as he’s healthy, he’ll get the rock double-digit times going forward. He’ll be a low-end RB2 against the Jets this upcoming week before a tough stretch against the Seahawks, Lions and the Bears.
Michael Bush – Bears (ESPN Owned 68.5%)
Matt Forte’s ankle injury is bad enough after it got caught underneath a pile of Vikings defenders in the third quarter. But the fact that it was an injury to the same ankle that got diagnosed as a high ankle sprain earlier in the year is cause for concern. Once Bush came in, it didn’t take him long to blow up his fantasy stats after rushing 21 times for 60 yards and 2 touchdowns. There is no official word on the extent of Forte’s injury, but Bush will be an every-down option if Forte does wind up missing Week 13 or longer. 

Knowshon Moreno – Broncos (ESPN Owned 4.2%)
Did Moreno starting over Ronnie Hillman screw you royally to? Moreno went from an inactive in Week 11, to the surprised starter in Week 12. An announcement that came so late, many owners simply didn’t have a chance to make changes. Surprisingly, Moreno ran with determination, carrying the ball 20 times for 85 yards and catching 4 passes. Whether Moreno’s lead role will stick is anyone’s guess, but he didn’t do anything to make me think he will give up the job anytime soon. Hillman figures to get more work down the road, but Moreno is clearly the running back to own. Unfortunately, he has a rough matchup against a strong Bucs rushing defense this week.
Bryce Brown – Eagles (ESPN Owned 5%)
Owners going up against opponents who had Brown left going into Monday night thought they had a win sewn up. I am sure there are a lot of pissed owners this morning. In what was a team record for a rookie running back, Brown rushed for 178 yards and two scores against the Panthers. And if you throw in his 4 receptions, he accounted for 34 points PPR points. A couple points less if you subtract for fumbles, which Brown laid out 2. But for a rookie playing in his first NFL game, it’s still a great finish. There is no word yet on if LeSean McCoy will be ready to play against the Cowboys on Sunday night. He was still in the first stage of his concussion that last I heard. But despite the fumbles, the Eagles should feel comfortable enough in giving Brown another start. He would go up against a Dallas Defense that has been decimated by injuries at the linebacker position.
Jacquizz Rodgers – Falcons (ESPN Owned 12.4%)
Can someone please tell me what the Falcons see in Michael Turner? Is it the name factor? Is he that much better in pass protection? The Falcons went with a ground game early, but failed miserably with Turner in the backfield. Turner wound up rushing for 17 yards off 13 carries. His fantasy day was salvaged by a rushing touchdown, but this should be Rodger’s coming out party. Or one would think. He tied for a season-high 10  carries, rushed for 49 yards which was the most since Week 8 and scored a rushing touchdown of his own on a third-and-one play. Rodgers also notched 2 receptions. If the Falcons want to make it deep into the playoffs, something they have failed to do recently, they are going to have to get Rodgers more involved going forward. Turner is beyond “running on fumes” at this point. There is no better way to see what Rodgers can do than against the Saints in Week 13. He should be a quality flex option.
Bilal Powell – Jets (ESPN Owned 1.4%)
I wasn’t considering adding Powell to the list, simply for the fact that the Jets offense is such a disgrace. But after Rex Ryan revealed he wanted a committee in his backfield, Powell might emerge as a desperation flex option. Against the Patriots on Thanksgiving night, Powell not only touched the ball 14 times compared to Shonn Greene’s 15, but he was also the running back of choice near the redzone. Powell is also a better pass catcher and has more zip than Greene does. Just be weary. This is still the Jets.
Shane Vereen – Patriots (ESPN Owned 56.7%)
Vereen has had a big 2 weeks, rushing for 82 total yards and a score, while also catching 3 passes for 102 yards and another score. But don’t think I’m listing him as a stand-alone fantasy option.Stevan Ridley is still the main guy. But on the off chance that Ridley goes down with an injury during your playoffs, Vereen is a must-have handcuff to solidify your RB2 spot going forward. The team clearly likes him over Danny Woodhead.


Justin Blackmon – Jaguars (ESPN Owned 69.2%)
I was surprisingly able to pick up Blackmon in my local league and plug him in as my WR3 this week. I’m glad I did. For the 2nd-straight week, Blackmon proved his worth with 6 catches for 62 yards and a touchdown against the Titans. It’s a far cry from his Week 11 numbers, but did anyone think he was really going to come close to those stats? Blackmon’s improvement comes from Chad Henne’s willingness to throw down field. As long as Henne is the starter, Blackmon will continue his rise to fantasy stardom. He is a WR3 for now, but can easily surpass those prediction against a very burnable Bills secondary in Week 13.
Pierre Garcon – Redskins (ESPN Owned 60.1%)
Garcon missed so much time with a foot injury, most owners almost had to drop him with the notion that he might never have played again this year. After the news that the Redskins were considering keeping Garcon out of the Cowboys game due to the field turf, Garcon played well beyond what I thought he could do considering he is still dealing with pain. His 5 catches for 93 yards and a score were the highest fantasy numbers he has put up since Week 1. And with the news that Garcon came out of the Redskins game with no setbacks, he’s back on the radar as a WR2/WR3 going forward.
Ryan Broyles – Lions (ESPN Owned 1.3%)
While some thought Mike Thomas would be the beneficiary of a suspended Titus Young, it was Broyles who was the star receiver against the Texans. His 6 catches (11 targets) for 126 yards were second only to Calvin Johnson, which should lead to more opportunities in the future. Megatron hinted to Detroit News that Young’s benching could be longer than just one game, which makes Broyles’ value that much higher. He clearly has the trust of Matthew Stafford and will see a lot of single coverage with CJ getting most of the attention.
Greg Jennings – Packers (ESPN Owned 85.4%)
While I know Jennings has a high percentage-owned number, we have gotten a lot of “Jennings is available on my wire” questions over the past week. Coming ever so close to playing against the Giants last night, Jennings is fully expected to participate in practice this week and play against the Vikings after missing weeks with a groin injury. That’s the good news. The bad news is we have no clue what Jennings’ role will be after having missed so much time. The emergence ofRandall Cobb, who the Packers will continue to use heavily going forward, muddies up Jennings’ value even further. For now, Jennings is nothing more than a flex option. However, he is still a must grab in all leagues this week.
Mohammed Sanu – Bengals (ESPN Owned 1.1%)
After using a committee of receivers across from A.J. Green, it appears that Sanu has slowly pulled himself away from the pack. His catches and receiving yards are less than desirable, but he has racked up 4 scores in the last 3 games. I’m not sure how long this will continue, but he is worthy of a bench stash if you have a guy who is barely getting any looks. It’s clear Sanu has earned Andy Dalton’s trust as a redzone option.


Brandon Myers – Raiders (ESPN Owned 26%)I’m going to have to go back to the archives and see how many weeks Myers has been added to the waiver wire, only to see his number barely reach 30% owned. So far this year, Myers has been averaging 5 catches and 55 receiving yards per game, with 3 touchdown catches. Are owners saying there are more worthy options on their roster than Myers? I don’t believe it. Well, with Myers’ value consistently being overlooked, it looks like my recommendations have fallen on deaf ears. Oh well. Your loss.
Marcedes Lewis – Jaguars (ESPN Owned 7%)
Much like Justin Blackmon, Lewis has reaped the benefits of Chad Henne under center. After a 2 touchdown game in Week 11, Lewis followed that up with a season-high 56 yards off 4 receptions against the Titans. While the lack of scoring might shy some owners away, the fact that Lewis is getting more involved in the passing game is pointing his arrow up. He should be heavily involved against the Bills in Week 13.
Dennis Pitta – Ravens (ESPN Owned 31.4%)
There aren’t many tight end options that are left on the wire that are also worthy of a pickup, so it’s sad that Pitta even gets to be listed at all. But I can’t overlook his 6 catches for 42 yards and a touchdown against the Chargers. However, don’t think this is a start of me warming up to Pitta again. With his continuing inconsistencies, he’s still nothing more than a TE2.

Week 12 injury updates

Here are the live fantasy injury updates for the late-afternoon slate of games in Week 12:
  • In a surprise, Rams WR Danny Amendola (foot), who did not practice all week and was listed as doubtful, is active for Sunday's game against the Cardinals. He will likely be limited, but remains one of Sam Bradford's favorite targets.
  • RB Darren Sproles (hand) returns to the lineup on Sunday in the Saints' game against the 49ers. He should get his targets, but it's not a favorable matchup vs. San Francisco's defense.
  • Ravens TE Dennis Pitta (concussion) is active for Sunday's game against the Chargers, though he is not considered a strong fantasy start this week.
  • Chargers WR Eddie Royal (hamstring) is inactive, though Philip Rivers' top three targets are Danario AlexanderMalcom Floyd and Antonio Gates.
Here are the live fantasy injury updates for the early slate of games in Week 12:
  • Falcons WR Julio Jones (ankle) is active for Sunday’s game against the Buccaneers after being listed as questionable. He should be in all fantasy starting lineups.
  • Bears QB Jay Cutler (concussion) is active and starting in Sunday’s game against Minnesota, with Jason Campbell as his backup. Cutler should only be starting in two-QB fantasy leagues, or as a bye-week or injury fill-in.
  • New Steelers WR Plaxico Burress is active, and Antonio Brown (ankle) and Jerricho Cotchery (ribs) are inactive. Emmanuel Sanders and Mike Wallace will get the main targets from QB Charlie Batch, though Burress could be used in the red zone.
  • Vikings WR Percy Harvin (ankle) is out, as expected, for Sunday’s game against the Bears. That increases the fantasy value of TE Kyle Rudolph and WR Jerome Simpson.
  • Broncos RB Knowshon Moreno is active for the first time since Week Two, and he is reportedly starting, ahead of Ronnie Hillman and Lance Ball, withWillis McGahee out for the regular season. Fantasy owners should keep an eye on this backfield rotation, and Moreno will be a hot pickup this week if he sees the majority of the touches.
  • Bengals WR Andrew Hawkins (knee) is out for Sunday’s game against the Raiders, making rookie WR Mohamed Sanu a fantasy option. Sanu had a receiving touchdown last week.

Provided by

Sunday, November 25, 2012

WEEK 12 SPREAD PICKS By: Richard Donohue (@floworcrash)

By: Richard Donohue (@floworcrash)

Thanksgiving is that wonderful time of year where you stuff your face and take a nap. You become a human version of Garfield, minus the voice over and annoying owner. You go over the top, and to celebrate, I’m going all in on Week 12! I need a little extra gravy with my mashed potatoes so instead of the usual three picks, I’m giving you SIX.

I already gave you my picks for Turkey Day:

Since that article was posted, this line has moved to + 3. If you couldn’t lock in the half point, that’s OK, I still like this line.

This line it now – 7. This change is tougher then the WSH /DAL move. Now a TD late is a push. Either way, I’d stick with New England.

Let’s move to the weekend set:

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS – 3 vs. Buffalo Bills:

The Colts got bombed on out at the Razor last week. Luck put up nice numbers outside of the 3 INTs, which killed him. Literally. Two pick sixes usually spell the end for your teams chances.
I look at this game as the perfect chance for Indy to bounce back. The Bills spent a lot of money on their defense and it looks worse then it did last year. They are currently ranked 27th in the league, giving up and average of 29.9 points a game. If you isolate their pass defensive numbers, it’s a bit better, but I still think Indy gets back in the win column. Last time the Colts were home Andrew Luck WENT OFF, totaling 433 and 2 TDs. That was against Miami, another AFC East team most would consider to have a superior defensive unit compared to Buffalo. The Bills may keep it close enough, but I see this one ending with the Colts up by at least a touchdown.

Denver Broncos  - 10 ½ at KANSAS CITY CHIEFS:

If you have been reading these articles you know I love me some home dog action. This is the Chiefs though. What can I say about them that hasn’t already been said? 10 ½ is a huge line, but I’m confident Peyton and the boys will keep the ball rolling. Cincinnati destroyed KC last week, and the Broncos have a much more dynamic passing attack. Denver’s defense is better too. This one is all Denver.

CLEVELAND BROWNS +1 vs. Pittsburgh Steelers:

HOME DOG! You know I had to get that in! I really didn’t go with this game because of that though. One point is basically a pick ‘em anyway. I went Browns for two reasons. One, they gave the Cowboys all they could handle down in Dallas, and I believe that momentum will carry over to this old school rivalry game. Two, Pittsburgh will be starting Charlie Batch. Big Ben is out with a shoulder injury and now Leftwich is down with a rib injury. Let’s be honest, it’s not like Byron Leftwich set the world on fire last week anyway. The bottom line is that Batch cannot run the same style of Offense Roethlisberger can. This will lead to plenty of 3 and outs, short fields for Cleveland, and eventually a fatigued Pittsburgh Steeler defense. This will be enough for the Browns.