Thursday, November 27, 2014

Start em’ if you got ‘em – Week 13




Adam Stoczynski
Bitter Chicago sports fan, wagering enthusiast, self-proclaimed sports expert
@AllAboutSto on twitter

Oye, it’s the final week of the regular season, and we need a win to get in. No? Need a win to clinch first? Second? Okay, we just need a win, unless you are already knocked out of the playoff hunt. It is really tough, but don’t totally give up on your team. Make sure to set a lineup because playoff spots are still being determined. It’s not fair for the rest of your league to not give full effort on this all important final week. Plus, maybe you can get a win on the final week to keep you sane for the next eight months until mock drafts begin once again. The last 12 weeks have been fun, but it’s about to get crazy. Good luck to everyone in week 13 and have a Happy Thanksgiving.

Start ‘em if you got ‘em

Quarterback

Matt Stafford vs CHI – Hasn’t had a 300 yard game since week 8 and only has two on the year, so he is definitely due. The Bears defense is pretty bad and has no one to stop Calvin Johnson. It sounds like Reggie Bush is finally back and they are at home. I think Stafford finally has that big game for you in a shootout.

Andy Dalton @ TB – He hasn’t had a 300 yard game since week 6, and like Stafford he has only two on the year, but he is facing Tampa who is giving up over 250 yards per game through the air. It looks like AJ Green is finally healthy with back-to-back big games. You can trust Dalton in this one, maybe for the last time this year.

Running Back

Tre Mason vs OAK – The touches are there for him and Oakland is giving up almost 130 yards on the ground per game. There’s no way this awful Raider team plays well enough to win again this week. St Louis should go pole to pole in a win, which means lots of rushes for this back. Get him in your lineups.

Andre Ellington @ ATL – He sat out of practice on Wednesday, but should be good to go. Just double check his status before the game, and when he goes, it’s a great matchup for him. This week Ellington will rush for 100 yards for his third time? Fourth time? Nope, how about for the first time this year. Atlanta is really bad vs the run, and that’s really good for Ellington owners, not so much if you are playing against him this week.

Wide Receiver

Kelvin Benjamin @ MIN – During their bye week, the WR coach for Carolina said they need to keep getting this big man the ball. That right there is enough to put him back on the start list. He’s been a stud all year and he will not slow down during this stretch run. In his last two games he’s totaled 12 catches for 179 yards and 3 touchdowns. Minnesota will not be able to stop this monster.

T.Y. Hilton vs WAS – Washington has been giving up big games to wide receivers all year. Two weeks ago Mike Evans had his 200 yard day on this same team. T.Y. and the Colts offense will have a nice day at home vs this bad Redskins team.

Tight End

Charles Clay @ NYJ – In the last three games he’s played in, he’s had at least 5 catches. The volume is there and now so is the matchup. The Jets are one of the worst team’s vs tight ends this year. Tannehill will have a nice game himself, and his safety blanket will be open a lot on Monday night. He sat out last week, but sounds like he’s ready to go for week 13.

Eric Ebron vs CHI – This is more of a hunch play, I’m starting him over Ertz and Daniels this week in a 14 team league. The Bears rank last vs the tight end and I just don’t think they will be able to stop the Lions offense, which will finally have a coming out party. I’m going to trust Ebron this week in hopes the Bears continue their bad play vs tight ends.

Defense

Miami @ NYJ – Two words: Geno Smith. That should be enough to start them here. Miami is top 5 in rush D, top 12 in Pass D, and tied for fourth in sacks with 31. Start the Dolphins, have faith in Geno Smith.

Indianapolis vs WAS – The Redskins are in disarray. They are now leaning on Colt McCoy to get them the road win. He doesn’t throw the ball down field, which is not good for the Colts as far as sacks and interceptions, but this team won’t be able to move the ball at all. Indy is a serious candidate for a shut out this week.

Sit ‘em and quit ‘em

Quarterback

Russell Wilson @ SF – The 49er’s are second best in the league vs the pass. They are barely giving up 200 yards per game through the air and Wilson has only thrown over 200 yards once since week 7. Maybe he gets you a few points with his legs, but that’s not something I want to bank on in the final week of the regular season.

Philip Rivers @ BAL – It’s been a while since Philip has come through for you hasn’t it? I don’t expect him to do much this week either as he heads to Baltimore. If you have another option, let’s use him. The Ravens have not been the stingiest vs the pass, but they are in a battle for the division and I’m not willing to bet against that defense when they are backed against a wall.

Running Back

Lamar Miller @ NYJ – It’s been a while since I said, “start em,” but I can’t help myself here. I expect Tannehill and the pass game to do well, but once again I don’t want to trust Miller vs a good run defense. Sit him here once again, and the schedule doesn’t look to get any easier going forward.

Latavius Murray @ STL – This defensive line for the Rams is for real, and I don’t want to test them with a guy coming off a concussion and only four rushing attempts. Yes, I saw what he did last week and I think he will be good moving forward, but I’m not trusting him this week vs St. Louis.

Wide Receiver

Marques Colston @ PIT – The Pittsburgh defense is back, well at least health wise they are. We also all know about the Saints on the road, and that’s where they find themselves this week. Though he came through last week, Colston hasn’t done much this year, and I wouldn’t trust him this week.

Sammy Watkins vs CLE – He’s on this list in back-to-back weeks. I called it last week, and I’m going to call it again. He’s been one of my favorite rookies, but with Joe Haden getting him this week, I’d stay away. His production is up and down, and you need to pick your spots with him. You can’t risk a two pointer vs one of the league’s best corners.

Tight End

Mychal Rivera @ STL – He’s really cooled off in the last few weeks and the Rams have been pretty good vs tight ends. I don’t trust any Raider this week, but especially not their TE or RB.

Defense

Green Bay vs NE – Green Bay has been a solid fantasy football defense for most of the year, but I’m not using them vs the Pats. This is a huge game, and I don’t expect it to be too sloppy as far as turnovers go for these two Hall of Fame QB’s.

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