Friday, November 14, 2014

Start em’ if you got ‘em – Week 11




Adam Stoczynski
Bitter Chicago sports fan, wagering enthusiast, self-proclaimed sports expert
@AllAboutSto on twitter

After a hot week 10, I’m looking to keep it going into week 11, but first a story to share with everyone, because it’s too good not to tell. Monday night reminded me just how frustrating, exciting, gut wrenching, and downright fun fantasy football really is, and why we play the game. Trailing 34 points heading into Monday night, it was up to Benjamin, Sproles, and Gano to deliver the Monday Night Miracle for me. As the game kicked off I felt confident I would complete the comeback that Cobb started for me on Sunday night. After the Sproles scamper for a touchdown, I thought I had it in the bag, thinking Gano and Benjamin would get their normal production and I would win the game. Well Gano was nowhere to be found as the game got out of hand in a hurry. River Boat Ron also elected to go for it on a 4th down that would have been a 40 yarder and 4 points added to my squad. He ended with only 3 extra points, which almost lost it for me. Sproles gave me 6 more as he took back the punt, all I needed was for my boy Kelvin to come through, but the Panthers could not get anything going. Cam looked awful and I thought the starters were on the verge of getting benched and moving on to week 11. With every second that ticked off the clock, I lost hope in the Monday night comeback. I got off the couch with frustration and already a tally in the L column. I started to put away laundry in my room and refused to turn on the tv in front of me, but that’s when I heard it, “touchdown Kelvin Benjamin,” echoed from the living room. At first I wasn’t even happy, my original thought was that now I had to watch the rest of the game with this little bit of hope, just to lose anyways. I sat back down on the couch, and the Panthers got the ball back. After a few mind boggling shots to the end zone to Joe Webb, it happened. Cam looked right, came back left, heaved it up, and Benjamin came down with it in the end zone. A quick calculation in my head, and I realized I just won… A Monday Night Miracle. ‘Tis the season everybody, good luck in week 11.

Start ‘em if you got ‘em

Quarterback

Philip Rivers vs OAK – At home, off the bye, and he gets Oakland? Oh come on. He’s coming off a game which got him negative points in most leagues, so he’s primed to bounce back vs this defense that can be beat. They need a win after losing 3 in a row, trust him this week.

Ben Roethlisberger @ TEN – Lost last week vs the Jets, but still threw for 340 yards. He’s playing well and his weapons on the outside are scary. He’s in Tennessee, but the matchup is fine. You can use him with confidence until he officially cools off. Playing too good right now to bench him.

Running Back

Alfred Morris vs TB – Scored twice in his last game and seems to play better when RG3 is under center. They should win, so the volume will be there late to run the clock. Going forward he’s a threat to score every single week. The Bucs D is nothing scare, I’d use him with confidence.

Jerick McKinnon @ CHI – Quick get him in your lineups while you can. With the news on AP coming Monday, who knows how long he will be the lead back. We’ve all been waiting for a matchup to unleash him, and this is it. The Bears are giving up over 100 yards per game on the ground. After getting 3 touchdowns stole from him in their last game, you have to think they throw him a bone and get him his first rushing touchdown.

Wide Receiver

Golden Tate @ ARI – There is no drop off even when Calvin is in the lineup, in fact he probably gets more open looks with Megatron taking all the attention. For such a good defense they are giving up the third most yards through the air with 274 yards per game. He had 13 targets last week and went over 100 yards for the third game in a row. I’d use him going forward and would not sell high like some people are saying.

Alshon Jeffery vs MIN – I know they are struggling, trust me, but got 12 targets last week and if this team can’t bounce back after their last two performances I don’t know what to say. Marshall is hobbled again by an ankle, and they always take a few shots deep to him. He should score at home in week 11.

Tight End

Travis Kelce vs SEA – Zeus is back on the start ‘em list. I’m not sure, but I think Travis and I should be buddies, I really seem to get him. Week 4 he made his debut on this list and had his break out game vs the Patriots (8-93-1), which was his best game of the year. After a few bad weeks in a row, he was back on here in week 9 and came through with 4-67-1, good for his second best game of the year. Well I have a hunch once again about my main man. With Fasano a little banged up and Reid saying Kelce’s role may increase going forward (FINALLY), I like his matchup vs Seattle, he’ll get his 5th TD this week.

Greg Olsen vs ATL – Wow that game was brutal on Monday night and Carolina looked miserable. On the bright side he still saw 7 targets and went over 100 yards for only the second time this season. He’s still Cam’s guy and I think he will get in the end zone vs Atlanta. This will be a good game and they need to rely on Olsen to move the ball.

Defense

Minnesota @ CHI – Call me crazy, but my original plan was to pick up the Bears D for back-to-back homes games vs Minnesota and Tampa Bay. I got scared off for obvious reasons and now am starting Minnesota vs my home town team. To be honest I’m still a little hesitant on it, because I do like the Bears to bounce back, but that could be my heart talking. This Vikings team has the third most sacks in the league, worst case scenario they get to Cutler 3 or 4 times and they benefit from a few unwarranted Jay Cutler off the back-foot interceptions.

Denver @ STL – Out goes Austin Davis and in comes Shaun Hill; that’s awful. What’s there not to like about this matchup? Denver will get to the statue like Shaun Hill and he’ll be good for an interception or two. They are a no brainer this week.

Side note, if you are streaming defenses and have a roster spot, grab the Baltimore Ravens like I just did in one of my leagues. Their owner dropped them on their bye week in favor of going forward with San Diego. Out of the bye the Ravens are in NO on Monday night, which you are probably not using them in. After that they get SD at home in week 13, and have a juicy playoff schedule, @MIA, vs JAX, @HOU.  They also have CLE at home in week 17 if your league goes that long.

Sit ‘em and quit ‘em

Quarterback

Ryan Tannehill vs BUF – Proved me right last week as he only threw for 200 yards and a touchdown with a pick mixed in. I’m going to keep him on here again for the Thursday game vs Buffalo. He’s a bit banged up and has been limited in practice. With the short turn around and a good defense, I think he struggles. Buffalo has only given up 12 passing touchdowns on the year, it will be tough to move the ball.

Josh McCown @ WAS – You aren’t starting him are you? He had a nice game last week, and they won’t be able to get anything on the ground, but come on. On the road vs the Redskins is not a spot I would use him. Look elsewhere this week. The Redskins are only giving up 220 yards through the air per game.

Running Back

Lamar Miller vs BUF – He’s back on here for a second week in a row. Sorry Miller owners, but with him being banged up, the short turnaround time, and the bad matchup, it just sounds like the perfect storm against him. Buffalo is giving up less than 100 yards per game on the ground and have also only given up 5 touchdowns on the year.

Andre Ellington vs DET – They are just swallowing running backs. Not giving up much as the Lions have only gave up 4 touchdowns on the ground thus far and 71 yards per game. Your only hope for him is the receiving department, where he may come through, but I won’t count on much on the ground. Stanton is also getting the start, so the box may be packed with very little room to run. If you happen to have a better option, use him.

Tre Mason vs DEN – He has looked good, and the touches are there, but not vs Denver. They are ranked number 1 vs the run, and it’s not going to change this week. St Louis will also be trailing so the rush attempts will be far and few between. I wouldn’t use him this week.

Wide Receiver

Andre Johnson @ CLE – After starting really poorly, the Browns DB’s are playing a lot better. Johnson will be very hard to trust on the road with Ryan Mallett making his first career start. In his last game he had only 2-12, and Hopkins is passing him up. Try to trade him if you can before your trade deadline passes.

Larry Fitzgerald vs DET – He had a good game last week, but is now going up against a defense who is giving up the least amount of fantasy points to wide receivers. He will also have Drew Stanton throwing to him, which is very scary. He’s hard to bench, but if you have someone else, I’d go with the other option.

Tight End

Kyle Rudolph @ CHI – I picked him up two weeks ago to stash, but not someone I am deploying this week. They are still not sure if he is even going to play, but will be an option moving forward. Bridgewater should like him as a check down guy and in the red zone. Let’s wait and see on his use and production after this week.

Defense

Philadelphia @ GB – I know they have been awesome and have 9 touchdowns on the year, but I would not expect much production vs the high scoring Packers in GB. If you have the roster spot I would plug and play a different D. Definitely do not drop them as they have some good matchups down the stretch. 

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