Thursday, October 9, 2014

Start em’ if you got ‘em – Week 6




Adam Stoczynski
Bitter Chicago sports fan, wagering enthusiast, self-proclaimed sports expert
@AllAboutSto on twitter


On to week six. With only Kansas City and New Orleans on bye this week, there’s basically a full slate of games with a total of 15, starting tonight with Indianapolis at Houston. Hopefully we will finally get a good game to watch on a Thursday night rather than another blow out. Without further ado, let’s see who to start and who to sit.

Start ‘em if you got ‘em

Quarterback

Matt Ryan vs CHI – This team is something else when they are in the Georgia Dome on the turf. In two games this season at home, Ryan is averaging 367 yards and 3 touchdowns. This week vs a spotty defense, I think he’s a no brainer. This should be a shootout and another great performance by the Falcons at home. In the next four games, they are on the road three times and have a “home” game in London. This will be the last time they play in Atlanta until nearly Thanksgiving. They will be fired up.

Jay Cutler @ ATL – On the other side of the ball in Atlanta will be Jay Cutler. He’s been taking a ton of heat this week in Chicago for his erratic play as of late. I like him to bounce back vs a defense that could definitely be had. Cutler has the weapons and will be able to look down field this week.  The monsters on the outside will be able to get loose this week for him. Despite the interceptions he may throw, start him this week and expect a big game.

Philip Rivers @ OAK – He’s just on fire right now and you cannot bench him. Has a great matchup here vs Oakland and he will get it done once again. He’s playing a defense that got torched by the struggling Tannehill last time out. He’s thrown for 3 touchdowns in back to back games now and I expect the same here. Stick with him while he’s hot.

Running Back

Giovani Bernard/Jeremy Hill vs CAR – The great Panther defense from last year is a whole different team this year. Last year these two would have been on the sit-list, this year they are a great bet. Gio is a must start every week, but I do want to highlight him quickly. AJ Green is going to be out and Marvin Jones still looks a few weeks off, leaving them decimated at wide out. Gio will be involved heavily in the pass game and should get around 25 touches this week, so that’s good news for him. I think Cincinnati bounces back in a big way this week at home where they have covered 11 straight now. Hill may not have the points early, but he should be the one breaking down the D late. He will have a solid fantasy day when all is said and done.

Andre Williams @ PHI – I like him a lot for the sheer fact that the touches will be there. Can he get to 30 touches on the day? Maybe. He will be good for at least 100 total yards and a score. There is no one else there. If Hillis is really going to take away snaps from the rookie, then the Giants have bigger issues. The only thing that can ruin his day is if the rook coughs one up early. Would Coughlin really give him the David Wilson treatment?

Joique Bell @ MIN – Not totally cleared from his concussion yet, but he did practice yesterday. Hope he can get the start here in a nice matchup. Calvin Johnson may be sitting out of this one, Riddick is still banged up, and the status of Reggie Bush is still up in the air. Joique has not got it going yet this year, but if he can get cleared, I like him in this spot. Lacy ran for 102 and 2 td’s vs them last week.

Wide Receiver

Emmanuel Sanders @ NYJ – Sanders is a must start at this point and has been producing. He’s yet to get in the end zone, but the targets and catches are there. I don’t expect the Broncos to get anything going on the ground here, so they will be throwing a ton. Sanders can get behind the defense this week for his first score vs a terrible Jets secondary. Only game with less than 100 yards receiving came in week one.

Golden Tate @ MIN – With Calvin Johnson being nothing but a decoy the last two weeks, Tate has a stat line of 15-250-1. He’s a must start here vs a Minnesota defense that just got smoked last week by Green Bay. He has at least 5 catches for 50 yards in every game so far, I expect much more than that from him this week.

Odell Beckham Jr. @ PHI – He is 100% for the first time this year. He practiced in full this week and is not on the team’s injury report for week 6. The Giants took him 12th overall in the draft for a reason, they used him a little bit last week and he even scored, but I expect them to unleash their new toy this week. He should be a solid play going forward, especially vs the spotty NFC East pass defense.

Devin Hester vs CHI – Clearly not a must start in any week, or even on a roster in most leagues, so this is more of a hunch. If you’ve followed my hunches the last few weeks you’ve had some nice pay offs (Kelce in week 4, New England D in week 5). Well here’s my week 6 hunch. I’m not saying you start him as your number two wide out, but if you had some injuries or have your third receiver or flex on bye, Hester may be a good bet. The Bears defense is one of the least athletic D’s in the league. If Hester gets the ball in space, look out. No one on this team can run with him. It looks like Harry Douglas will be out, so Hester will be slotted as the third receiver. The breakup from the Bears was not Steve Smith bad, but it wasn’t pretty either. Hester is going to want to put on a show vs his old team and it sounds like they are going to kick to him. I definitely like Hester for a score this week on the turf, anything else can be a bonus.

Tight End

Martellus Bennett @ ATL- He was not happy after the 3 for 17 performance last week. He should be involved more in the game plan, and before that one he’s been having a great season. Atlanta held Larry Donnell to zero catches last week, but that was in their game plan to take him away. There’s a lot of mouths to feed on the Chicago offense, I don’t think they concentrate on shutting down Marty. I like him to bounce back.

Greg Olsen @ CINCI – Had a fantastic game last week and got in the end zone twice. I’m sticking with the ex-Bear again this week. I think it’s going to be tough to move the ball in Cincinnati this week for Carolina, but Cam always finds his safety net. He will rack up the catches once again and is getting tons of targets.

Defense

Cincinnati vs CAR – Before the loss last week vs a desperate New England team, people were saying this was maybe the third best team in the league. They will bounce back in a big way as they head back home to face this struggling offense. Cam has been a statue back there and was careless with the ball last week vs the Bears. Stewart is trying to play this week, but you can’t expect much from him or the rest of the “running backs” they have.

San Diego @ Oakland – They are playing great and came through huge last week with the shut out. Yes, they are on the road in a divisional game, but Oakland is brutal. Hold on to them moving forward.

Sit ‘em and quit ‘em

Quarterback

Kirk Cousins @ Arizona – Played surprising well against Seattle, but that was also at home. I don’t see him going into Arizona and getting much done. Although his stat line ended up not being too shabby, he started really slow on Monday night and is now 0-6 in his last six starts. Arizona doesn't get much pressure, but I don’t trust Cousins at all at this point.

Teddy Bridgewater vs DET – Pretty quietly Detroit has become one of, if not the best, defense in the league. They are only giving up 15 points per game and around 280 total yards. With the bad ankle I don’t expect him to get much done vs the Lions. He played pretty well in his debut, but if you plan on using him in place of Brees who is on bye, I’d look elsewhere.

Running Back

Stevan Ridley @ BUF – He played a lot last week and even got in the end zone, but stay away this week. Buffalo is the second best rush defense in the league, only giving up 71 yards per game. The atmosphere in Buffalo will be absolutely insane with their team over .500 and are back at home for the first time in three weeks. With the Patriots most likely being forced to pass, Ridley may not see many snaps, and his production will not be there.

Matt Asiata vs DET – See Bridgewater above. The Detroit D is for real. There will not be any room for this big plodder to run. Sorry Asiata owners (includes myself), the only hope for people who have to start him is a touchdown from the one yard line, or a few catch and runs.

Ronnie Hillman @ NYJ – The Jets are not a good team, but something they do extremely well is play the run. Everyone ran to go get Hillman off the waiver wire, but I wouldn't even use him this week. Who knows how the snaps will be distributed, and Denver has not run the ball well all year. Peyton is going to have a field day with these guys, not sure Hillman really gets in the mix.

Wide Receiver

Terrance Williams @ SEA – He is getting in the end zone a lot, but the targets just aren’t there. I think he slows down this week in the house of The Legion of Boom. Dallas has been running a ton, but not sure what they plan to do against this defense. All I know is I’m looking away from Williams this week.

Sammy Watkins vs NE – He got a ton of targets last week, but rumor has it that Revis is going to shadow Watkins a lot in this one. Watkins looks like he has a one way ticket to Revis Island, that’s not good news for fantasy owners. We saw him shut down AJ Green last week, I’d expect more of the same in this one. If you have a better option, use him.

DeSean Jackson @ ARI – He’s been doing the every other week thing, and you guessed it, this is the every other. He had a nice game last week at home vs Seattle, but on the road in Arizona, I don’t expect Cousins to get anything going. Not sure if you have a better option, but don’t expect much from D-Jax in this one.

Tight End

Zach Ertz vs NYG – It hErtz (no?) to keep putting him on this list since he is one of my tight ends in a deep touchdown only league. He just has not gotten anything going and is really getting lost within the Eagles weapons. I hope he gets it going soon, but just not reliable at the moment. Look elsewhere while he and Foles still aren’t on the same page.

Jermaine Gresham vs CAR – People may think he is a plug and play with the Cinci receivers being very thin, but he’s played basically all the snaps at tight end since Eifert went out, and has next to no production. He’s not a guy you want to pick up this week if you are a Graham or Kelce owner. He even had a drop last week that would have went for a touchdown.

Defense

Jets vs DEN – They will shut down the run, but that is about it. Manning is going to throw all over these guys. The Defense will also be out on the field a lot because Geno and the offense is really struggling. If NYJ is your D, stream someone else.

Carolina @ CINCI – This defense is really struggling up front without Hardy. A defense that was drafted second only behind the Seahawks in most leagues, can officially be dropped. They won’t be able to stop Cinci, who will be on a mission after the embarrassing loss on Sunday night. 

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