Wednesday, November 28, 2012

WEEK 13 SPREAD PICKS By: Richard Donohue (@floworcrash)

With Thanksgiving behind us, we now move into the home stretch of the 2012 –13 NFL Season. It’s crazy how quick the season goes! One minute you’re prepping for your fantasy football draft, the next you’re watching the snowfall as your team moves (hopefully) into postseason play.

Last week I went for the big six pack, and failed to pull it out. I went 4 –2. I pushed with the Texans pick, and the Chiefs gave Denver a scare early so they didn’t cover. My overall record is 14 – 8. Let’s see if we can keep the momentum going this week.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers +7 at DENVER BRONCOS:

If you have been reading this article regularly (thank you), you know I love both of these teams this year. On a pure fan level, this game will be a pleasure to watch. We all know by now what Manning has brought to table in Denver. Although McGahee has hit the IR, this team hasn’t missed a beat, and is still ranked among the top 5 offenses in the league. The Broncos haven’t been great against the spread though, going 6-5 this year.
Tampa Bay on the other hand has one of the best ATS records in the league, going 8-2-1 with a very strong 5-0 on the road. See where I’m going here? Schiano’s preparation is his biggest strength. The Buccos always play their opponents tough, and they will again this week. I say Denver wins, but not after a dog fight in Mile High.

DETRIOT LIONS – 4 ½ vs. Indianapolis Colts:

With Chicago and Green Bay duking it out above them in the NFC North, things aren’t looking too good for the Lions playoff hopes. Although they played the Texans tough on Thanksgiving, it just wasn’t enough to get the job done. Despite their record, this team still has the #1 ranked passing attack in the league. Andrew Luck’s Colts are doing extremely well themselves, putting themselves into the top 5 Offences in the NFL. This one is going to come down to defense. The Colts have allowed an average of 24.8 points and 233.8 passing yards per game. This puts them at 20th overall. Moreover, the Lions have had longer to prepare, and are still home. They came up short against Houston and won’t again against the upstart Colts.

Houston Texans – 5 ½ at TENNESSEE TITANS:

And the beat goes on. Houston is an unquestioned, unchained BEAST of a team, and they will show that fact again versus the Titans. 5 ½ points is simply not enough for me to care. Ranked #10 is Passing and #5 in Rushing. Fantasy owners have been pleased with the resurgence of Chris Johnson, but he won’t see much daylight against Houston. The Texans have only allowed opposing rushers to average 4 yards a carry, 87.5 per game overall. Simply put, this is all Texans, all day.

No comments:

Post a Comment