Friday, November 2, 2012

Studs Duds and Stashes Week 9



Welcome to the week 9 edition edition of Studs, Duds, and Stashes.I had a few questions last week about what constitutes a Stud, a Dud and a Stash-so here's a brief explanation:

Stud-A player who I expect to be a top performer for his position 

Dud-The opposite of a stud..now let me be clear here-if I tell you that Arian Foster is a "dud"-I mean that he is going to have a sub par game by Arian Foster's standards.That doesn't mean that I would leave him on the bench.It's hard to imagine a scenario where it would be a good decision to bench a player of Arian Foster's caliber.

Stash-A stash is a player that is likely available in your league and should be picked up if you have room.Players that would be good candidates for stashing would be:rookies who may get a shot soon, injured stars that may be coming back from injury or backup running backs who are an injury away from stardom.


Arizona at Green Bay

Arizona

Stud-Larry Fitzgerald-Fitz was a top 20 pick in most fantasy leagues this year but erratic quarterback play has aided in a disappointing season.However, Green Bay can be beat through the air and Fitzgerald has the talent to do it.Stick with him.


Dud-Rob Housler- This young pass catcher has a ton of raw talent but the Packers have been pretty good slowing down tight ends so keep the kid on your bench this week

Stash-Beanie Wells-Wells is eligible to return from IR in a couple of weeks and he has declared himself ready. I've been advocating him for a few weeks now but IF he's still on your wire, grab him. He could pay off huge in your fantasy playoffs

Green Bay

Stud-Randall Cobb-Cobb has come up HUGE, in his second year out of Kentucky, for both the Packers and fantasy owners. The Cardinals have been stellar, across the board, on defense but they have given up some big games to wide outs. If Jordy Nelson doesn't play(he hasn't practiced all week) Aaron Rodgers will be targeting Cobb early and often.Find a way to get the kid into your lineup.

Dud-Alex Green-When the Pack lost Cedric Benson to injury in early October, they thought they would be able to count on Green to carry the load.Green has been disappointing so far.The former (Hawaii) Rainbow shouldn't have much room to run this week either against a stout Cardinals run defense.

Stash-Cedric Benson-Just like his counterpart on the Cardinals, Benson has been out with injury and was subsequently dropped in most leagues. Also just like Wells, Benson should be back just in time for your playoffs so if you have the room grab him. Benson could pay off big down the line.


Baltimore at Cleveland

Baltimore

Stud-Ray Rice-The Browns have given up almost 26 points a game to opposing running backs and it's not going to get any easier for them this week. The Ravens are coming off a bye so Rice should be well rested and ready to carry the load in the second half of the season. This offense should run through Rice but offensive coordinator Cam Cameron hasn't been giving him the touches that he needs. Rice owners are hoping that the off week gave the Ravens some time to retool the offense a bit. That should help Rice.

Dud-Dennis Pita-Pita was a hot waiver pickup early in the season and looked like a break out star. Since then, he's been benched and then dropped in a lot of leagues. If you own him, keep him on your bench against the league's third best defense vs tight ends.

Stash-Bernard Pierce-Pierce is a big,bruising runner with quick feet.If you own Rice, the rookie handcuff is a must own.However, he's a nice stash even for non-Rice owners because of his potential upside if Rice were to go down to injury

Cleveland

Stud-Trent Richardson-Sometimes tough love is the answer.That's what seemed to work with this young superstar after he was benched due to 'ineffectiveness' early in week 7 while playing through a rib injury.Richardson responded with 24 carries for 122 yards and a touchdown against a tough Chargers run defense.Trich should have a similar game vs a Baltimore team that allowed over 20 points to running backs two weeks in a row before their bye.

Dud-Greg Little-Little showed a lot of promise coming into the year as a raw but talented second year player. He's been massively inconsistent with drops and sloppy route running while being overshadowed by rookie Josh Gordon.Keep Little on your fantasy bench, for now.

Stash-Montario Hardesty- The Browns had a lot of hope for the ex-Vol runner when they drafted him in 2010 but his two years in the league have been marred by injuries and now he's backing up the face of the franchise. However, Richardson has shown a propensity to get injured too.If Richardson were to miss any time, Hardesty has the talent to produce.

Buffalo at Houston

Buffalo

Stud-Fred Jackson-It's hard to find a bright spot this week on a Buffalo team that's going on the road against one of the toughest defenses in the league.I expect Houston to get up early, which should mean plenty of reception opportunities for Jackson out of the backfield.

Dud-Ryan Fitzpatrick-Fitzpatrick had a bounce back game in week eight versus a beatable Titans defense but he still only had 225 yards passing.The Texans will dial up the pressure which will force Fitzpatrick into mistakes.Don't plan on using him,especially if you are penalized for interceptions.

Stash-Donald Jones-Jones will never be a superstar but he has value as a low end wr/flex for teams in need-due to opportunity.Jones is 3rd on the team in targets (32) and has scored twice over the last four games.

Houston

Stud-Arian Foster-Foster is running hot right now and the Bills have allowed a total of 10 touchdowns over the past four games.This is a recipe for a monster game for Foster while he carries the load at home in a game that Houston should dominate early.


Dud-Matt Schaub-Schaub is an underrated NFL quarterback but he doesn't put up the type of numbers that a quarterback needs to be a top fantasy guy.The Texans should be nursing a lead and wont need to throw much.Schaub only has 3 touchdowns over the last 3 games..not gonna be good enough for your fantasy team.

Stash-Lestar Jean-The Texans are high on Jean and the offensive coordinator stated this week that the 2nd year WR will have more opportunity going forward.This is a run first team, so his upside is limited, but he's a good stash in deeper leagues.

Carolina at Washington

Carolina

Stud- Greg Olsen-The Redskins are 31st in the league vs tight ends and Olsen is Cam Newton's number two target.Get Olsen in your lineup if you own him.

Dud-Deangelo Williams-Dwill was at the center of trade rumors before the trade deadline because of his reduced role in the offense.Williams is ultra talented but has been unproductive this season.

Stash-Branson Lafell- The Panthers had high hopes for Lafell going into the season but he had a slow start to 2012.Lafell is nursing an injury, but he has the talent to produce and he quietly leads the Panthers in receiving touchdowns with two and is third in targets and receptions.

Washington

Stud-Alfred Morris-The Panthers are allowing almost 30 points a game to running backs and Morris is the bell cow for  Shanahan's plug and play running scheme.Morris is an every week start now and this is one of the better matchups that you can get.

Dud-Leonard Hankerson- Hankerson has a lot of talent and should have value as a starting wide receiver in a high powered offense. The second year player from Miami has just been too inconsistent too count on on a weekly basis and Carolina has been 4th against wide receivers so this is not a week to count on Hankerson.

Stash-Logan Paulson-Paulson won't wow you with athleticism but sometimes all you need is opportunity and Paulson has just that. After Fred Davis was lost for the year, Paulson stepped in and had 75 yards on four catches in relief. You don't want to count on Paulson as an every week start, but he's good to have on your bench as a matchup play.

Chicago at Tennessee

Chicago

Stud-Matt Forte-This is Forte's second week in a row in this spot.Tennessee has been horrible vs opposing running backs-allowing 32 points a game-so Forte should have a monster game this week.


Dud-Michael Bush-It's hard to find a 'dud' against a defense that has been as bad as the Titans.Bush was expected to share carries with Forte but hasn't seen nearly the workload that many expected.Find better options this week.

Stash-Earl Bennett-This is Bennett's third week in a row in this spot because I want to say it again.This week, Jay Cutler has come out and said that he expects his rapport with Bennett to start translating onto the field.If the starting quarterback endorses the kid-who am I to say otherwise?

Tennessee

Stud-Jared Cook-Cook asked for a trade last week because he feels like his talents aren't being used properly in Nashville.Chicago ranks 24th vs tight ends and I think that Tennessee will try their best to honor Cook's wish for more chances.

Dud-Kenny Britt-Britt will be matched up against one of the best corners in the league in Charles Tillman.Tillman has been shutting down his opponent on a weekly basis so don't expect much from Britt this week.

Stash-Jamie Harper-Harper has become the official touchdown vulture for Chris Johnson and can become the bell cow in Tennessee if Johnson were to get hurt.

Denver at Cincinnati

Denver

Stud-Willis McGahee-McGahee was written off by a lot of fantasy owners going in to 2012 but he's proven a lot of people wrong.Cinci is allowing 28 points a game to running backs so this should be another good week for the Denver runner.

Dud-Denver TEs-Peyton Manning has had one of the better five game stretches in recent history and he loves his tight ends.However,Virgil Green emerged last week-throwing his hat into the mix.Good luck choosing between this three headed monster.

Stash-Rinnie Hillman-Hillman has slowly been more involved as he gains more trust from the coaching staff.He is more dynamic than McGahee and if Willis were to go down, Hillman has top 10 upside in this offense.

Cincinnati

Stud-Jermain Gresham-Denver has allowed 18 points a game against tight ends and the Bengals will need to pass to keep up with Denver's high powered offense.this is a good week to start the Bengal tight end.

Dud-AJ Green-Green will be matched up against future hall of fame corner Champ Bailey.You still have to start Green if you own him but Champ will limit him a bit.

Stash-Cedric Peerman- Ex-Patriot runningback Benjarvis Green-Eliss has been disappointing in southern Ohio but they will likely stick with him.If "The Law Firm" were to get injured, Peerman is the only thing behind him.Peerman has talent and soft hands, so he could be valuable-especially in ppr leagues.

Detroit at Jacksonville

Detroit

Stud-Matt Stafford-Stafford came into the season as an every week start but hadn't produced until last week.The yards have been there all year but the touchdowns have not followed.Stafford rebounded a bit last week and should have a great game at home against a dismal Jacksonville defense. 

Dud-Mikel Leshore- This should be a great matchup for Leshore but he's been nursing a mysterious injury.Word out of Lion's camp says he's healthy,but I'd take a wait and see approach with Leshore.

Stash-Joique Bell-I'm keeping Bell on this list because he still owned in less than half the leagues out there.The Lions have come out and said that they prefer Bell on passing downs and that he is their 'closer'. That's a lot of opportunity on a high powered offense.If Bell is available in your league stash him.

Jacksonville

Stud-Cecil Shorts-Shorts has 20 targets over the past two weeks and he leads the team with 3 receiving touchdowns.Detroit's secondary is very beatable so ride the hot hand and start Shorts if you own him.


Dud-Blaine Gabbert-Gabbert has a history of getting happy feet when facing pressure and Detroit is built to do just that.This guy probably isn't owned in your league but if your quarterback is on a bye..find a better option.

Stash-Justin Blackmon-Blackmon hasn't lived up to his high draft status but he does lead the team in targets with 48.Blackmon has caught less than half of the passes thrown his way and he's yet to find the endzone but the Jags have a lot invested in him and will continue to give him opportunity.Hold him if you can.The light may turn on any day.

Miami at Indianapolis

Miami

Stud-Brian Hartline-Hartline has been kept quiet recently because of bad matchups but Indy is allowing over 40 points a game to opposing WRs and is missing cornerbackVonte Davis this week.Expect a big game out of Miami's number one target.

Dud-Anthony Fasano- Indy is the best in the league at limiting tight ends so this should be a down week for Fasano.

Stash-Lamar Miller-Danial Thomas is back from injury but he's one hit away from another concussion.Miami has the easiest playoff schedule for running backs in the league so Miller could pay off big down the line.

Indy

Stud-Reggie Wayne-Wayne leads all NFL WRs in targets and the Dolphins are beatable through the air.This should be a good week for the crafty veteran.

Dud-Donald Brown-Brown looked good last week but he missed practice on Thursday so that will need to be watched.Miami is one of the league's best vs the run so even if he plays keep him on your bench.

Stash-Dwayne Allen-Allen has been overshadowed by fellow rookie Coby Fleener but Fleener is now expected to miss a couple weeks due to injury.This could be Allen's chance to shine.

Minnesota at Seattle

Minnesota

Stud-Adrian Peterson-Seattle is tough against the run, especially at home.However,Peterson is all the Vikings have on offense right now.The passing game has been almost non-existent,Percy Harvin is hurt and Kyle Rudolph has been completely shut down.The Vikings will have to lean on AP early and often if they expect to compete.

Dud-Christian Ponder-Ponder,at times,has looked like the quarterback the Vikings drafted with a top 10 pick in 2011.But he has gone over 20 fantasy points in only 3 games out of 8 and faces a stout Seahawks defense in Seattle.Keep Ponder on your bench this week..especially if Harvin can't suit up.

Stash-Jerome Simpson-We've been waiting for Simpson to produce all year and he's been a major disappointment but he Vikings are trying to get him more involved and he was targeted seven times last week.Give him a little more time before you give up on him.

Seattle

Stud-Marshawn Lynch-Lynch is a stud and an every week start but you may be tempted to sit him against a tough Vikings defense.Don't do it!Lynch is the centerpiece of the offense and they will ride him until the wheels come off.


Dud-Golden Tate-The Vikings have been very good at shutting down team's number one wide receivers and I expect Seattle to use fellow wideout Sidney Rice against his old team.Sit Tate this week.

Stash-Robert Turbin-I'm sticking with Turbin here.If the wheels come off of Lynch,Turbin would step in and get almost the same workload.Turbin could pay of huge in the future if you stash him now.

Tampa Bay at Oakland

Tampa

Stud-Doug Martin-Martin had a breakout game last week vs a stellar Vikings defense.Expect more of the same vs a Raiders team that allows over 28 points a game to running backs.


Dud-Mike Williams-Tampa Mike has been productive lately but this may be a down week against an Oakland secondary that is number one in the league over the past three weeks.

Stash-Michael Smith-The Bucs tried to trade backup running back LeGarrett Blount before the trade deadline because they like what they have in rookie Michael Smith.Smith is a speedster that can add a dynamic that Blount doesn't bring if Martin were to get injured.

Oakland

Stud-Denarius Moore-Moore has a touchdown in each of the last three games and is facing a Tampa defense that is allowing 44 points a game to wideouts.This should be a huge game for Moore

Dud-Brandon Myers-Myers has been a nice sleeper for a lot of teams in need at tight end but this is the week to keep him on the bench against a Tampa team that ranks 9th against tight ends.

Stash-Mike Goodson- Starting running back Darren McFadden's injury problems are well documented and Goodson has the skill to play an all-purpose role for this team if he does get hurt again.

Pittsburgh vs New York Giants

Pittsburgh

Stud-Antonio Brown-If Brown could just get into the end zone he would be a fantasy stud.He can't,but he's still a good start against a Giants D that allows almost 40 fantasy points a game to opposing pass catchers.


Dud-Jonathan Dwyer-Dwyer has played well enough to be considered the team's starter even when Rashard Mendenhall is healthy, but the second year back is nursing an injury this week himself.The Giants are tough against the run so sit Dwyer if you can.

Stash-Baron Batch-Batch has flashed all around ability when given the chance and the Steeler's 'backs have had problems staying healthy.Keep Batch on your radar if the other guys cant get healthy.

New York

Stud-Victor Cruz-The Steelers are tough across the board but Cruz is one of the rare players that is almost matchup proof.start Cruz if you own him.


Dud-Ahmad Bradshaw-The Steelers are second best in the league against opposing running backs and Bradshaw has been vultured by Andre Brown as of late.You probably have to start Bradshaw if you own him but sit him if you have better options.

Stash-Andre Brown-Brown showed early in the year that he can produce when given the chance and Bradshaw has stayed injured for most of his career. Keep Brown on your bench for the next time he gets a chance.
Dallas at Atlanta

Dallas

Stud-Jason Witten-Witten is coming off a career game and Atlanta can be beat by tight ends.Ride the hot hand here.

Dud-Dez Bryant-Bryant still isn't 100% healthy and Atlanta has done a good job against wide receivers thus far, trailing only the Jets for the league lead.Look for better options this week.

Stash-Phillip Tanner-I tell you to stash Tanner every week and he has yet to produce.I still have no faith in Felix Jones to stay healthy.Starter Demarco Murray may miss a couple more weeks, so Tanner might get his shot soon.It's not every day that you can find a starting running back on the waiver wire.

Atlanta

Stud-Tony Gonzalez-Dallas is one of the best defenses in the league but Gonzalez looked like the Tony Gonzalez of old to begin the year.Look for Gonzo to return to the form he had in the first five weeks of the season.

Dud-Julio Jones-Jones can be slowed down when he has a bad matchup and this is one of those weeks. Dallas is number three in the league vs wide receivers so temper your expectations this week with Jones.

Stash-Jaquizz Rodgers-I've been telling you for weeks to stash Rodgers and he had his best game of the year last week with 80 yards.He's probably still available on your league's waiver wire so snatch him up and hope that he'll be more involved going forward.

Philadelphia at New Orleans

Philadelphia

Stud-Mike Vick-There are rumors out of Philly that Vick is close to being benched.Vick is the type of player that plays his best just when you count him out and the Saints are just the team to give him the boost he needs.Expect Vick to bounce back in a big way this week.

Dud-Brett Celek-The Saints do one thing well on defense, and that is limit tight ends.It's best to have Celek on your bench this week.

Stash-Bryce Brown-The enigmatic running back out of Tennessee Kansas State is in a great position to succeed behind starter LeSean McCoy.Brown was a number one recruit coming out of high school,so he has the talent.If McCoy were to get injured-Brown could be fantasy gold at the end of your bench.

New Orleans

Stud-Drew Brees-This may seem like an obvious choice but it also looked like it last week against a beatable Denver defense.Don't expect two prime time stinkers in a row for Brees.You'll be happy to have him in your lineup this week.

Dud- Mark Ingram-This kid is the perpetual dud.I think he has talent but he obviously is a bad fit for this offense.You can drop him now.

Stash-Joe Morgan-Morgan only has 3 catches all season but he's a Marques Colston injury away from being a major contributor on one of the most dynamic pass offenses in the league.He's a deeper stash- but sometimes that's exactly what wins you your league.

Thank you for taking the time to read this weeks installment of Studs, Duds and Stashes.These players are chosen by me from research and GUT feeling..so if your gut tells you to go another way, please do.Take it from me..there's nothing worse then having a guy on your bench that you thought you should have started and didn't because someone told you not to.

Good Luck and have fun!

Paul Batts

P.S.Id love to answer your start/sit questions on twitter.Follow me at @unclepauly333

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 If you have a question or a comment about this article please email me at pbatts3@gmail.com

 


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