Saturday, November 10, 2012

Studs Duds and Stashes Week 10


 Studs Duds and Stashes Week 10

by Paul Batts


 






 

 

 Atlanta at New Orleans

Atlanta

Stud- Matt Ryan-The Saints have the worst pass defense in the league and Matt Ryan is a top 5 QB now. Ryan has the potential for 4-5 TDs this week

Dud- Harry Douglas-There really isn’t a dud on this offense this week but I expect Jones and White to dominate the passing targets against these bad corners.

Stash- Jaquizz Rodgers-Quizz has been on this list for a month now and he’s finally starting to produce a bit. If he’s still available grab him since Turner will likely wear down more as the season goes on.

New Orleans

Stud- Drew Brees-Atlanta is #11 against QBs this season but Brees will need to air it out often to keep up with Atlanta’s passing attack. Brees is one of the few players in the league that is matchup proof.

Dud- Saint’s RBs-This is actually a pretty good matchup for the running game but the Saints seem content to rotate their three backs with Darren Sproles out. Any of them could have a good game but good luck guessing which one will get the hot hand.

Stash- Chris Ivory- The 3rd year runner has been buried on the depth chart but looked fast and powerful last week vs. the Eagles. If the Saints decide to give this kid more opportunities, he could surprise in a big way.

Buffalo at New England

Buffalo

Stud- Scott Chandler- The Patriots rank 30th in the league vs. tight ends and Buffalo will likely need to pass often while playing from behind. Chandler has a good shot to score this week.

Dud- Fred Jackson- Jackson is being outplayed weekly by CJ Spiller and the Bills won’t have much opportunity to run the ball while playing from behind. If you have better options, go with them.

Stash- TJ Graham- The Bills will need to start evaluating talent soon and Graham has a ton of it. Wide receivers have the toughest time of all positions transitioning into the NFL. Once the rookie gets his shot, he has a good chance to produce in a below average receiving group.

New England

Stud- Tom Brady- The Bills are allowing almost 25 points a game to quarterbacks and Brady is a future hall of famer. He’s an automatic start.

Dud- Brandon Lloyd- Lloyd has been a disappointment so far this year after being a popular sleeper pick at draft time. He’s nothing more than a WR3 this week as the Pats should get up early and be running the ball often.

Stash- Shane Vareen-It’s been said that Vareen actually has the most talent of all the backs in Boston, including starter Steven Ridley. Vareen has battled injuries but is finally healthy. If Ridley were to get injured, Vareen has top 10 fantasy potential.

Denver at Carolina

Denver

Stud- Peyton Manning- Manning was drafted in or after round six in most drafts because of his injury problems from 2011 and owners who drafted him got a steal. This is a great match up in game that Denver should dominate. Stick with the steal of the draft here.

Dud- Denver TEs- This tight end rotation is hard to figure out, and like the Saints running backs, one could do well for you. But it’s going to be hard to guess which one. Stay away if you can.

Stash- Ronnie Hillman- Hillman is gaining the trust of Manning and the coaches more and more each week. The rookie is a dynamic runner who has a sky-high ceiling if he were to get the starting gig.

Carolina

Stud- Greg Olsen- The Panthers will have to pass often and Denver can be beaten by tight ends,allowing 18 points a game.

Dud- Steve Smith- This will be a classic matchup of two hall of famers in Smith and Champ Bailey but my money is on Champ as Smith has taken a step back from his resurgence of 2011

Stash- Brandon Lafell- Lafell is available in a lot of leagues and he has a ton of potential. The young speedster has a ton of talent and is the future at the position for the team. Grab him if inpatient owners have dropped him in your league. He’s worth a flier if you have room.



Detroit at Minnesota

Detroit

Stud- Matt Stafford- Stafford had been a fantasy bust,to say the least,after his breakout performance in 2011. However, he actually has more yards and a better completion percentage than the same time last year. The touchdowns will come and I expect that to start this week in this must win divisional game.

Dud- Titus Young- Young has been battling injury all week but he did practice Friday and is expected to play. I expect the Lions to get Johnson, Broyles and the tight ends more involved than the hobbled Young.

Stash- Ryan Broyles- Broyles was drafted in the second round of the 2012 draft after breaking the all-time receiving record in the NCAA. Broyles has the skills to be a pro bowl type player in the NFL in this high powered offense. Grab him, especially in dynasty leagues.

Minnesota

Stud- Adrian Peterson- Peterson may be the best running back in the league and is a physical freak. The Lions were able to keep Marshawn Lynch in check except for a 77 yard scamper that saved his fantasy day in week 10. Peterson has more breakaway ability than Lynch and should rack up the yards against this defense at home.

Dud- Christian Ponder-Ponder has played so bad that he has killed the value of all of the Vikings passing game besides Percey Harvin. Harvin is unlikely to play this week so you won’t want to start any of these guys.

Stash- Toby Gerhart- This is a running team and Peterson has been injured in the past, including last year. Gerhart played admirably in his place and could make a difference for you if ADP were to suffer a setback again.




NY Giants at Cincinnati

NY Giants

Stud- Ahmad Bradshaw-The Bengals are giving up 26 points a game to running backs and Bradshaw has game-changing ability in this offense. Brown has vultured some scores from him but Bradshaw gets the bulk of the carries between the 20s. You can start Bradshaw with confidence this week.

Dud- Hakeem Nicks- It’s hard to sit a player of Nicks’ caliber but he has been a disappointment this year while battling injuries. This is a neutral matchup against the 13th ranked team vs WRs, but sit him if you can until he can string a couple of good games together to prove he’s healthy.

Stash- Andre Brown-Brown has shown the ability to be a feature back when given the chance and he’s the official goal line back now. If Bradshaw were to get injured again,which he likely will,Brown will be fantasy gold.

Cincinnati

Stud-AJ Green- Green has been in the argument for best wideout in the game and this is a great matchup against a very beatable Giants pass defense.

Dud- Benjarvis Green-Ellis-the Law firm is a perpetual dud since going to the Bengals in free agency in 2012 and the Bengals will be playing from behind. You have much better options this week.

Stash- Andrew Hawkins- Hawkins has flashed great hands a breakaway speed at times this season. This is a team looking for an option opposite Green and Hawkins is likely the answer.

Oakland at Baltimore

Oakland

Stud- Carson Palmer-The Raiders will need to pass early and often while missing their top two ‘backs due to injury. Palmer is coming off a four touchdown performance and a repeat isn’t out of the question here.

Dud- Taiwan Jones- Jones is a similar runner to injured starter Darren McFadden but he is fumble prone and inexperienced. Expect converted fullback Marcel Reece to get the bulk of the work here.

Stash- Mike Goodson- Goodson has looked like a great fit for the Raiders zone blocking scheme when given the chance and has even out performed DMC in ways. Unfortunately for Goodson(and his owners), he is injured too.McFadden has been a slow healer in the past and if Goodson can heal quicker and  start, he could pay off big for owners who grab him now.

Baltimore

Stud- Ray Rice- this is a dream matchup for Rice and he is my pick for top performer of the week. This will be a week you’re happy you took him at the top of your draft.

Dud- Joe Flacco- Flacco has played a lot better at home this year but I’m expecting a heavy dose of the Rice and Pierce this week... keep Flacco on your bench

Stash- Bernard Peirce- Peirce has shown the ability to be a feature back this year and if Rice were to go down you would have an every week start at waiver wire price. Pick him up if he’s available.

San Diego at Tampa Bay

San Diego

Stud- Antonio Gates- Gates has taken a step back this year and has burned owners more than once this season. Gates is the Charger’s best pass catcher and they’ll need to get him involved if they want to beat the Bucs in Tampa.

Dud- Robert Meacham- Meacham was expected to make a big splash in San Diego after being signed to a big contract in the offseason. The ex-Saints wideout has been inconsistent all the way back to his days at Tennessee; he’s just too erratic to be counted on for your fantasy team.

Stash- Ronnie Brown- Starter Ryan Mathews is a candidate for bust of the year for fantasy purposes. The Chargers have used Ronnie Brown as a receiver out of the backfield and could be good insurance for fantasy owners in need, especially in ppr leagues.

Tampa Bay

Stud- Doug Martin- Martin had one of the five best fantasy games of the century last week and came close to shattering single-game rushing records. The Muscle Hamster is an every week start from here on out.

Dud- Dallas Clark-The Chargers have done a good job limiting tight ends,allowing less than 12 points a game,and Clark is hardly matchup proof. Look for better option this week.

Stash- Michael Smith- Smith is a dynamic runner who has home run ability. If fellow rook, Doug Martin, were to get injured-Smith could be a nice surprise for fantasy owners.



Tennessee at Miami

Tennessee

Stud- Kenny Britt-The Dolphins are allowing 43 points a game to opposing wide receivers so this is a great week to start the ultra-talented Britt.

Dud- Chris Johnson- CJ2K has been one of the most frustrating players in all of fantasy football. Johnson has the ability to score from anywhere on the field but can’t seem to find running lanes at times. Keep Johnson on your bench against the fifth ranked defense against running backs.

Stash- Taylor Thompson- this is strictly a dynasty/keeper pickup but the Titans love the converted college defensive end and his athletic ability. Thompson has the size and athleticism to be the next Rob Gronkowski if the Titans develop him properly.

Miami

Stud- Brian Hartline- The third year wide receiver out of Ohio State has been a nice surprise for owners who took a chance on him late in drafts. Hartline has had a couple of big games and as Miami’s number one receiver he sees plenty of targets. This is a good matchup against a defense that’s giving up 37 points a game to the poistion in ppr leagues.

Dud- Anthony Fasano-You may be tempted to start Fasano against the league’s worst defense vs tight ends. However, Fasano is coming off two straight games with one catch and the Titans haven’t allowed a score against the position in four straight games. Sit Fasano until he starts producing.

Stash- Lamar Miller- Miller has yet to earn enough of a workload to become fantasy relevant but he has flashed the skills to produce in limited time on the field. Miami has a great fantasy playoff schedule for running backs, so Miller could pay off huge if you can stash the rookie on the end of your bench.

NY Jets at Seattle

Jets

Stud- Shonn Greene- It’s tough to pick a ‘stud’ against one of the best defenses in the league but Seattle has been surprisingly bad against running backs over the past three weeks, allowing almost 30 points a game over that span. Stick with Greene unless you have better options this week.

Dud- Mark Sanchez- The ‘Sanchise’ days are numbered as the starter in New York. At some point the Jets will try to get Tim Tebow involved and this game won’t help Sanchez chances to remain the starter. The Seahawks rank fifth against quarterbacks this year and play much better at home in Seattle. Sit Sanchez this week.

Stash- Tim Tebow- Tebow is one of the most polarizing players in football. It seems that you either love him or hate him and he’s almost a folk hero in some parts of the country. Tebow will get his shot at some point this year and he can produce for your fantasy team because of his running ability.

Seattle

Stud- Marshawn Lynch- Lynch is one of the few true feature backs in the NFL and he’s an every week start for your fantasy team. The Seahawks will look to get the running game started early to keep the pressure off of their rookie signal caller at home.

Dud- Russell Wilson- Wilson gets better and better as each week goes by but this is not the week to start this rookie on your fantasy team. The Jets have only allowed an average of 15 points a game to opposing quarterbacks and will look to pressure Wilson into making mistakes.

Stash- Robert Turbin- This is a run first offense and Seattle has worked Lynch hard this year. The rookie power back out of Washington has a similar skill set to Lynch and if he were to wear down, Turbin could produce similar numbers for Seattle.

Dallas at Philadelphia

Dallas

Stud- Jason Witten- This is a must win game for two struggling NFC East teams. Look for Tony Romo and company to get Witten involved early and often against a Philly defense that is giving up almost 14 points a game to tight ends.

Dud- Felix Jones- Jones has a lot of speed and natural ability but he seems to disappoint every year because of injury and conditioning issues. Jones is not a good start in all but the deepest leagues, especially against a defense that will be focusing on the run and trying to force Tony Romo to beat them.

Stash- Lance Dunbar- The rookie scat back from North Texas University has been buried on the depth chart until recently. With Demarco Murray injured and Jones and Phillip Tanner being mostly ineffective, Dunbar has had a chance to contribute. Dunbar has shown flashes of burst and good vision and could be a nice surprise if given the opportunity to run the ball more.

Philadelphia

Stud-Lesean McCoy- McCoy is one of the most talented running backs in the league and Philly will look to get the running game going to try to take some of the pressure off of the passing game.

Dud- Michael Vick-Vick has been the subject of benching rumors for weeks now and this may be the week that the rumors grow legs. The Cowboys have one of the best defenses against the pass in the league and will attempt to pressure the star quarterback early and often to try to force him into making mistakes.

Stash- Bryce Brown- I’ve been advocating stashing Brown all season and the rookie has seen his involvement increase as the season progresses. Keep Bryce on your radar as he would be an every week start if something were to happen to starter, Lesean McCoy.

St Louis at San Francisco

St Louis

Stud- Danny Amendola-This ppr machine has made a miraculous recovery to make a return from a broken collar bone that was supposed to sideline him for the better part of two months. This is one of the best defenses in the league, so temper your expectations, but Amendola should be targeted frequently as the Rams try to play catch up with the ‘9ers in San Francisco.

Dud- Steven Jackson- San Francisco has the best run defense in the league and Jackson is sharing carries with Daryl Richardson. This is not the week to start Jackson.

Stash- Daryl Richardson- If you listened to me two months ago and picked up the rookie speedster you have had a decent flex play with the runner. This is a bad match up this week but keep him rostered as his chances should increase as the season wears on.

San Francisco

Stud-Vernon Davis- Davis has been up and down this year but he’s a good start this week at home against the 25th ranked defense against tight ends.

Dud-Alex Smith- Smith is an adequate bye week replacement quarterback but this isn’t a good week to start Smith against a team that the 49ers should be nursing a lead early and running the ball often.

Stash-Kendall Hunter- Starter Frank Gore has a ton of mileage on his legs and has worn down at the end of the season in the past. Hunter has a similar skill set and has fresh legs. Look for San Fran to get him involved more going forward and if Gore were to get injured hunter would be an automatic start.

Houston at Chicago

Houston

Stud-Owen Daniels-Daniels has been a great value for where he was drafted in fantasy leagues. The underrated tight end is the number two target on the team and Chicago can be beat by tight ends. Daniels has been nursing an injury and may not play. Watch the injury report and if he starts,get him in your lineup;but make sure you have a backup plan.

Dud- Andre Johnson-Cornerback Peanut Tillman is this year’s version of Darrel Revis, he’s the guy you don’t start your wide receiver against. Keep Johnson on your bench, if at all possible.

Stash- Lestar Jean- This sophomore wide out from Florida Atlantic has the size/speed combination to be a star. If you are in need at wide receiver, you could do worse than Jean. He’s more of a dynasty stash because the Texans are a run first team but Jean will never see double coverage as teams roll coverage to limit Johnson.

Chicago

Stud- Matt Forte-This will be a defensive battle but the Bears will try to get Forte involved to control the clock. You’ll have to temper your expectations here but Forte should produce adequate stats to help your fantasy team.

Dud- Brandon Marshall-Marshall is coming off a three touchdown performance and there is no way you will bench him but don’t expect an offensive explosion from Marshall this week.

Stash-Earl Bennett-I’m sticking with Bennett here because of his rapport with his college and current quarterback, Smokin Jay Cutler. Bennett has great hands and knows how to get open. Stash him at the end of your bench if you need help at wide receiver.

Kansas City at Pittsburgh

Kansas City

Stud-Jamal Charles-None of these Chiefs will produce too well against this tough Pittsburgh defense but the Chiefs will need to get their best player involved if they expect to compete.I have a gut feeling that he'll score this week. Start him and keep your expectations low.

Dud- Dwayne Bowe-Bowe has a ton of talent but he tends to lose focus when things go bad. Things will go bad for the Chiefs on Monday night so find better options if available.

Stash-Shaun Draughn-Backup Peyton Hills has been a huge disappointment and has been outplayed by the little-know Draughn. Jamal Charles has been injury prone so Draughn may get a chance to carry the load sometime this season.

Pittsburgh

Stud-Emmanuel Sanders-Sanders looked good in relief of injured Antonio Brown last week and should get the start this week as Brown looks unlikely to play. Sanders is probably available in your league and would be a nice grab and play against a KC team who will try to take Mike Wallace out of the game.

Dud- Heath Miller-KC is better than you probably think against tight ends so be careful with Miller this week.

Stash- Baron Batch- the Steelers have a deep core of talented running backs but they can’t seem to stay healthy. Batch has flashed ability when given a chance and could produce if the other backs don’t get and stay healthy.


Thanks for reading this week's installment of Studs Duds and Stashes. Questions and comments are more than welcome and I'm always available to answer your start/sit questions on Twitter.

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Good Luck this week!

Paul Batts

   

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