Friday, October 26, 2012

Week 8 picks by the spread by @MoreThanFantasy

NFL Week 8 Bets
Last Week: 3-1
Season: 5-2
Coming off the biggest bye week of the year, plenty of teams have has an extra week to prepare for their opponents. In the NFL today, this gives a big advantage (assuming a good coaching staff). As usual I will give my survivor pick of the week. To date, I’ve used DET, CIN, DAL, ATL, PIT, NYJ and MIN respectively each week. This week I’m playing it safe and going with the Packers.
Eagles -2.5
Sure, Andy Reid is on his way out of Philadelphia. He’s also 13-0 coming off of a bye week. For some reason, I like these odds. A FG for the Eagles as the clock runs down wins this game for the Eagles. I’m usually not a fan of these stats; however, each Head Coach has been with their respective team for a while: the Eagles are 8-2 SU and 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings with the Falcons. As seen in years past, remaining undefeated is no easy tasks. Starting the season 7-0 is no easy task. I love the Falcons and I think they are legitimate Super Bowl contenders, but I think Vick keeps the TO’s under 3 and the Eagles take the game by a touchdown.
Seahawks +2.5
At what point in the season can we call the Lions and Stafford a bust? I’m still holding onto hope that Stafford will turn this year around, but only because I have him on multiple fantasy teams. Realistically, watching him play is brutal. He looks like Jay Cutler circa 2010 when he was sacked 52 times. He’s afraid – throwing off his back leg and side-arming quick throws behind his intended target. Seattle, on the other hand, still isn’t getting the respect they deserve. They have beaten Green Bay, New England and Dallas this year. I’m not worried about the Lions offense, even if they break out of their funk. The only thing that worries me is Seattle’s performance on the road this year. With this being a toss-up game, getting 2.5 points is more than enough for me to take the plunge.
Giants -2
The Giants are the better team in this matchup. The easy explanation is that the Giants won’t lose twice to the Boys this year. Eli is firing on all cylinders and Bradshaw is playing like a RB in his prime. Nicks is getting healthier each week and should have a big game as the Cowboys try to take away Cruz. The Cowboys on the other hand have struggled in the passing game this year. DeMarco Murray is on track to miss his 2nd straight game, leaving Fragile Felix and Tanner to shoulder the load. These two aren’t going to take much pressure off of Romo. The Giants DE’s are going to force Romo out of the pocket, where he is normally at his best, and make him turn the ball over. Dez Bryant drops the winning touchdown with 3 minutes left and the Giants Cruz to victory.
Had I written this article yesterday, I may have been able to win you some more money. Taking in the public’s current perception of the Vikings, I figured that the line would be skewed in their favor. Ponder came into the game with 2 poor outings in a row just as Freeman had 2 solid showings. As you can see from my bet below, I was very confident that the Bucs would win that game. Good luck with your bets this week and don’t forget to check my recap on Monday, covering which games I was right/wrong on.

Brought to you by Aaron Marcotte (@MoreThanFantasy) of
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