Friday, October 19, 2012

Studs, Duds and Stashes Week 7 by @unclepauly333

Studs, Duds and Stashes Week 7

Cardinals at Vikings

STUD-Larry Fitzgerald-Minnesota is pretty good against opposing wrs (7th) but Skelton has leaned heavily on his favorite target in the past. Skelton looked horrible in relief of Kevin Kolb last week but he was coming in cold after being injured early in the season. Fitz should have a big week this week
DUD-William Powell-The Vikings have been elite (4th) vs. running backs this year and Powell is pedestrian at best...couple those two facts with the fact that The Cardinals have struggled to run block spells a bad play for Mr. Powell
STASH-Beanie Wells-2 months ago I would have been the last person on Earth to suggest you adding this guy... but, the fact is that he can be had for free in most leagues right now.. And, he is eligible to return for game action November 25th if you have room on your roster for a guy that could very likely be an rb2/flex for you in fantasy playoff time... Wells could be the answer.

STUD-Adrian Peterson-‘All Day’ had over 130 total yards against a stingy run defense at Washington last week. The Cards are tough (3rd) against opposing quarterbacks so the Vikings will feed their best player the ball early and often.
DUD-Christian Ponder-The second year gun slinger has been a somewhat surprisingly good fantasy quarterback but the Cards will limit him this week. They’ve held opposing quarterbacks to just over 15 points a game and there’s not much reason to believe Ponder will be the guy to break the pattern.
Stash-Jerome Simpson-A lot of people (including myself) have been holding Simpson for weeks now waiting for him to play and produce. He’s got a ton of talent and adds a much needed deep threat to the Minny O. He’s expected to be active this week and he has a ton of motivation ($$) hold on for 1 more week.

Ravens at Texans

STUD-Torrey Smith-74.6.That’s how many fantasy points Houston’s Defense gave up last week in ppr leagues vs. The Packers... Flacco is no Aaron Rodgers but Cam Cameron seems to think he is, so look for the Ravens to chuck the ball... Smith has a similar skillset to Jordy Nelson who managed 9 catches 121 yards and a whopping 3 tds against this Defense. Smith is boom or bust and I’m betting its BOOM this week
DUD- Dennis Pitta-This guy is quite perplexing. He started the season looking like a breakout player tallying 18/188/2 on 31 targets in the first 3 games! In the next 3 games he’s been targeted a total of 11 times converting 7 of them for 55 yards and 0 TDs. Those are the type of numbers that lose you games.
STASH- Bernard Pierce-This is purely a handcuff play as this is Ray Rice’s team but quality running backs are in short supply now a days and if you want to make a run you’ll have to have depth at the position. If Rice were to go down, this would be Pierce’s team and he has a nice size/speed combination for the position. If you have room at the end of your bench, a guy like Pierce could pay off big later in the season.

STUD-Ben Tate-Everybody who owns Arian Foster will be starting him this week but if you have Brandon Tate then this is a week to start him also. Baltimore could be beat on the ground before the loss of Ray Lewis and it’s not going to get any easier for them. Last week Felix Jones had almost 100 yards and a TD in relief of Murray and I expect similar numbers from Tate this week.
DUD-Matt Shaub-The Ravens are pretty tough against quarterbacks (7th) and even though they will be missing their top corner, I don’t expect Houston to try to pass much this week... it’ll be a steady dose of Foster/Tate. This equals limited opportunity and limited upside for Shaub.
STASH-Keyshawn Martin-Last week I told you to keep an eye on Martin because of talent and opportunity opposite AJ. His stat line didn’t impress but he was second on the team in targets with 6. He’s worth a stash, especially in dynasty leagues

Browns at Colts

STUD- Richardson-Trich is a STUD.As a Richardson owner I was disappointed by his sub-par performance after the mysterious ‘flack’ injury last week that limited his touches and therefore production. Last week, on this page, I told you to start Shonn Greene against this Colts Defense and if you did, it paid off handsomely to the tune of 32 carries, 161 yards and 3 touchdowns. That was Shonn Greene. We can only imagine what a healthy Mr. Richardson could do. Please remember that Trent is officially listed as questionable. He is expected to start but I’m leery of suggesting a ‘questionable’ player as a must start because of the off chance that he doesn’t play or reinjures the ‘flack’ during the game. So keep an eye on him before game time but if he starts 150 and 2 isn’t out of the question.
DUD- Brandon Weeden-Weeded has been up and down all year. This week he’s facing a Colts Defense that currently sits 3rd against the pass. I doubt many people are starting Weeden right now, but if you need a bye week filler there are almost certainly better options.
STASH-Montario Hardesty-Hardesty has never been able to stay healthy since being drafted in the 2nd round out of Tennessee in 2010. The kid has talent, but has one of the best running backs in the league ahead of him. With that said, Hardesty filled in admirably last week for Richardson (15-56-TD) and is healthy for the moment. IF Richardson were unable to play, this week or any, Hardesty could be in line for some nice production. He’s a good stash and a must have for Richardson owners.

STUD-Andrew Luck-In case you missed the memo, Andrew Luck is quietly putting together an historic rookie campaign. He had a bit of a down week last week but he’s now facing a Cleveland Defense that is giving up almost 26 points a game to quarterbacks. Expect a huge week from Luck this week. 350 and 3-4 tds seems about right
DUD-Coby Fleener/Dwayne Allen-Cleveland does a lot of things pretty bad (QB, RB, WR) but there’s one thing that they do pretty well and that’s defend the tight end. The Colts have too many other options this week to depend on either of these guys. Sit ‘em
STASH- Vick Ballard-Ballard was the number 1 pick up last week as he became the short term starter. Many people (including me) who plugged him in were disappointed as the game got away from Indy early and they had to pass often. I still believe in Ballard and if you picked him up last week, hold on to him.

Cowboys at Panthers

STUD-Miles Austin-Austin owners have been disappointed so far this year as Tony Romo has given much of his attention to the surging Dez Bryant. Word out of Charlotte today is that top corner Chris Gamble may miss this week (and even longer). If he does,   both wrs should dominate. But if Gamble plays, Romo will likely exploit the mismatch on the other side of the field with Austin in single coverage. Keep an eye on the Gamble situation but both of these guys could be in for huge a week.
DUD- Jason Witten-Almost all of these guys could be in for good weeks but I expect Witten to be the odd man out as far as targets as Tony Romo exploits the mismatches on the outside.
STASH-Phillip Tanner-This is the second week in a row that I’m going to tell you to pick this kid up. The only problem is that he may not be available anymore. If he is, the smart move is to grab him. Murray is out with a foot injury. Even though he ‘swears’ he’s going to play next week vs. the Giants, foot injuries can be tricky with running backs, Felix Jones gets the start this week but he is far from reliable as far as injuries go. With Carolina’s porous defense, Jones and Tanner could have big weeks and Tanner will be gone by the time your league does waivers in week 8.

STUD-Jonathan Stewart-Dallas is number 2 against both quarterbacks and wide receivers. If Carolina is going to get anything going it’ll have to be on the ground this week. With six teams on bye this week you may have to resort to playing a guy like Jstew. I just wouldn’t expect too much here.
DUD-Steve Smith-Dallas has two of the best corners in the league and as mentioned before are at the top against the pass. I wouldn’t expect much from any of these guys but Cam may need to add some yardage on the ground this week. You don’t want to have to start any wide receiver against these guys and Smith has shown his age. He’ll have moments this year but 2011 is a distant memory at this point.
STASH- David Gettis-Word is that Gettis is eyeing a week 8 return after missing all of last year and the first 6 games of 2012. He’s a big target (6’3” 216) and had an impressive rookie year before missing his sophomore campaign. Gettis may be just what the doctor ordered for a struggling passing game. He’s worth a flier in deeper leagues.

Packers at Rams

Green Bay
STUD-Aaron Rodgers-Arod showed last week why people took him in the 1st round of their fantasy drafts. The six pack of discount double checks Rodgers was flaunting was long overdue. The Rams aren’t the pushover that they once were, but you always start your studs... and I’d say Mr. Rodgers qualifies once again.
DUD-Jermichael Finley-Finley is a huge disappointment. To Fantasy owners and Packer fans alike. He’s just not a part of the game plan and I’m guessing his drops have finally caught up with him. Once Jennings comes back, Finley will take an even bigger hit.
Stash- Johnny White-White was signed to replace Brandon Saine, but he could be in line for some carries at some point this season. James Starks has proven he can’t get it done and Alex Greene is young and raw. If Green were to falter or get hurt, White will get his shot.

Saint Louis
STUD- Brandon Gibson- This kid just keeps making plays. No one seems to know why; he’s not big, fast or highly touted. He just makes plays. The Rams will most likely be playing from behind, which means garbage time points for Gibson. He’s a solid wr 3/ flex during this critical bye week.
DUD- Steven Jackson. Jackson makes this list for the second week in a row because he looks old and slow. Jackson is losing carries to Richardson, who is doing more with the ball. Sjax will have value as a low end rb2/flex ROS but that’s disappointing for where you drafted him.
STASH-Chris Givens-Last week I said Richardson, but the cats out of the bag now, I think. If he’s still available, grab him. If not, Amendolla was dropped in enough leagues for me to recommend stashing him. He’s a ppr machine when available. He’ll be able to help during your playoff run and possibly sooner. The Rams are being a little hush-hush on him right now. .but given his history, he’ll come back as soon as able.

Saints at Bucs

New Orleans
STUD- Marques Colston-Colston started off slow this year and was obviously slowed by injury. With the foot injury behind him Colston has come on strong before the bye, exploding for 3 touchdowns in week 5. Colston is back to elite status and has a juicy matchup vs. a Tampa Defense that ranks 29th vs. tight ends
DUD- Jimmy Graham-Graham is an every week start but he’s likely going to play with a high ankle sprain. He played on the injured ankle, suffered about halfway through the week 5 game, and was used exclusively as a decoy. It should be more of the same in week 7. You’ll probably be starting him if you have him but temper your expectations.
STASH-Mark Ingram-Ingram is owned in only 61% of leagues and I think that’s a mistake. He has been a major disappointment, to be sure. But in a fantasy landscape that is quite bare for running backs, he needs to be owned. Ingram is the ‘starting’ running back on a high powered offense. He’s not going to be an RB1 for you, but he may be able to help you down the line. Pick him up if you have room.

Tampa Bay
STUD- Mike Williams-Tampa Mike has quietly become an every week start. After having a break out rookie campaign in 2010, Williams was a huge disappointment last year as he was often double covered. Enter: Vincent Jackson. Jackson now takes the coverage that was designated for Williams in ’11 leaving Mike in single coverage. Williams has taken advantage of this matchup every week. Start him against the 28th defense vs. wide receivers
DUD- Dallas Clark-Clark is a shell of what he once was and just isn’t a big part of the game plan in Tampa. He shouldn’t be owned, much less started in 2012.
STASH-LaGarette Blount-Blount lost his starting gig to promising rooking Doug Martin after starting the last two years. Martin has been mildly disappointing which has opened the door a bit for Blount. His carries have increased over the last couple of weeks and this offense is better for it. Grab him if he’s still available.

Titans at Bills


STUD-Kenny Britt-He’s back! Dropping passes and all. The good news is that Hasselback hasn’t shied away from going back to him after egregious drop after egregious drop. So he’s producing and not a minute too soon for owners that have held on to him for close to half the fantasy season with little to no production. Britt is a stud and if he can keep his head on straight and stay healthy he WILL produce. Start him against this Bills team that is giving up over 40 points a game to opposing wide receivers.
DUD-Chris Johnson-CJ2k has come on a bit lately, frustrating owners who drafted him early and had him on their bench when he finally decides to produce. This is a great matchup for the Titans across the board but call it a gut feeling that Johnson figures out a way to stick it to you again if you click his name this Sunday.
STASH-Taylor Thompson-This guy is for deep leagues and/or dynasty formats but the Titans are high on him. Rob Gronkowski’s name has been thrown around when looking for comparisons for the converted Defensive End. He’s raw and athletic, but he’s a name to keep your eye on.
STUD- Scott Chandler-The big tight end has been a red zone threat all year long and that isn’t likely to change this week vs. a Titans team that is dead last vs. opposing tight ends. By the way, the Titans may be the worst team in the league on the road so this should be a big week for Chandler.
DUD-.Ryan Fitzpatrick-How is it every year that this guy starts off the first quarter of the season leading the league in touchdowns and then falls off a cliff. We’ve seen this story before. Sit him.
STASH-TJ Graham-Donald Jones just isn’t getting it done at wr2 for the Bills. At some point they’ll have to see what they have in the highly touted rookie.

Redskins at Giants

STUD-Robert Griffin III-You don’t need me to tell you to start the two way star but I want to tell you what an important game this is. Before the season started Giants star Osi Umenyiora told everybody who would listen that he refused to call Griffin by is nickname “RG3” because he “hadn’t earned it” now, this week Giants start Jason Pierre-Paul has come out and said some unflattering things about the Redskins young star. This will be a statement game for Griffin, and you can bet RG3 and Shannahan have some things in store for their hated rival.
DUD-Pierre Garcon-Pierre, where have you gone? Ever since exploding on the scene in week 1 the injured star has been in and out of the line -up and teasing owners who had such high hopes for him. Even when he plays, he doesn’t produce. Even if he plays, you have to sit him until he produces at this point.
STASH-Evan Royster-Evan was the odds on favorite to win the starting job at running back in the pre-season until injuries and Alfred Morris stole the spotlight. However, Royster is a Morris injury away from starting and he can produce similar numbers to Morris. He’s available in most leagues, so if you have room. Stash him.

New York

STUD- Victor Cruz-Cruz is obviously an every week start but I want to point out that Washington is DEAD LAST vs. opposing wide receivers. Cruz has a good shot to top all fantasy wide receivers this week. If you have any Giants wr you should start them this week. This is as juicy as it gets.
DUD- Ahmad Bradshaw-It’s difficult to sit one of the hottest players in fantasy right now BUT... Bradshaw has re-injured his foot and has been limited in practice this week. Andre Brown is back from his concussion issues and word is that The Giants will try to get both Brown and dynamic rookie Davis Wilson involved more this week. Top that off with the fact that Washington is number 9 vs. running backs so far this year and suddenly Bradshaw is a caution play. In fact, if I owned Bradshaw, I would be shopping him now, as his value will likely never be higher.
STASH- Andre Brown-Last week I told you to stash David Wilson and I still think he is trending upward. But I also think that Andre Brown should be owned in all leagues. He was the waiver wire darling a few weeks ago and inpatient owners have dropped him. If he’s available, grab him. He’s an injury away from top 10 potential.

Jags at Raiders


STUD- Maurice Jones-Drew-MJD is the only bright spot on this team and he’s an every week start if you own him. The Jags will have to rely on him heavily from here on out if they expect to compete.
DUD- Blaine Gabbert-The whole team can be considered a dud at this point besides MJD but Gabbert has to top them all. He plays scared and rushes passes. It’s not all his fault but a lot of it is.
STASH-Justin Blackmon-Blackmon was a highly touted rookie before being drafted into the fantasy wasteland known as Northern Florida. The fact hasn’t changed that he’s ultra- talented, if something changes in Jacksonville (Gabbert) Blackmon might actually hold some value to fantasy owners.

STUD-Last week I told everyone to sit Denarius Moore because he had a bad matchup. I couldn’t have been more wrong. The kid seems match up proof when healthy and he’s finally healthy again. Start him while he stays that way, because it likely won’t be long.
DUD-Darius Heyward-Bey-This guy has a ton of talent and came into the season as Palmer’s number 1 target. One week into his return from a vicious hit and concussion he had 2 targets. I don’t know if he is still having ill effects or if they are bringing him along slowly. Either way, look for better options until he produces. I think he will, it’s just a matter of when.
STASH-Brandon Myers-All this kid does is produce. He’s not a dynamic player, nor does he score touchdowns. But he’s reliable and he catches everything thrown his way. He can be a good bye week/injury replacement and he’s owned in less than 30% of leagues. Grab him if you need him.

Jets at Patriots

New York
STUD- Jeremy Kerley-The Jets will likely be playing from behind which means lots of targets for Kerley. He makes a solid wr3/flex option against a Patriot secondary that can be beat
DUD-Shonn Greene-I’m not going to tell you to start Greene two weeks in a row. Last week was an anomaly. He will most likely get most of the carries with the Jets backfield banged up but The Patriots are decent against the run and Greene is nowhere near the player that he appeared to be last week.
STASH-Tim Tebow-I’m sticking with Tebow again here. The Jets are likely NOT going to use him much at running back like they are saying, but he should be starting at quarterback at some point and he is a dual threat from the Shotgun.

New England

STUD-Steven Ridley-Belichick likes to try to humiliate Rex Ryan and the Jets and the best way to do that in the NFL is to ram the ball down their throat. Ridley is the best the Patriots have and I’m looking for a steady dose of The Talented Mr. Ripley.
STUD-Wes Welker-Antonio Cromartie is one of the best corners in the league right now and the Jets will try to match him up with Welker. The Patriots will try to move Welker around to try to get Welker free. Whoever wins this chess match wins the match up. But Brady will find the open man and the Open man will not be near Cromartie.
STASH-Julian Edelman-Edelman is the future “Wes Welker” of the Patriots offense and he is just about ready to return to the line- up. He’s more valuable in dynasty than redraft but can help you in either format if you have room.

Steelers at Bengals

STUD-Heath Miller-Miller has found new life in his 8thy year under offensive coordinator Todd Haley. He’s on pace for career highs and this week should be no different. The Bengals are giving up 17 points a game to tight ends and Miller should capitalize. Miller hasn’t scored since week 3 so he’s due. Start him with confidence   if needed this week.
DUD-Steelers running game-Mendenhall hurt, Redman’s hurt, Dwyer was a healthy scratch last week and Baron Batch came in last to  run for 22 yards and a TD, which DOUBLED his career yardage. You don’t want any part of this backfield this week
STASH-Baron Batch-I said this week. Batch is worth a speculative add in deeper leagues to see where this goes. It likely goes nowhere for the 2nd year player out of Texas Tech but stranger things have happened. An opportunity may be all the kid needs.

STUD-AJ Green-This guy is a STUD must start every week. Kenny Britt could have had a monster game in week 6 against this Steeler team if he could have held on to the ball. Green can do just that and he will burn the Steelers on Sunday Night.
DUD-Jermaine Gresham-I told you to sit Gresham last week and he score a TD on 3 catches for 68 yards. It looks impressive on paper and the points count but 55 yards came on 1 long play with poor coverage and missed tackles. Even worse he only converted 3 catches on 7 targets. I think Gresham is a weekly sit and borderline roster guy. He looks slow and has poor hands. He’ll come back down to earth this week.
STASH-Cedrick Peerman-Peerman exploded onto the scene in week 6 with 8 catches for 76 yards. Peerman may not be the most talented back but he has the opportunity behind a pedestrian Green-Ellis. In ppr leagues, 8 catches in nothing to sneeze at. If he can get some more opportunity he may be worth a flier stash in deeper leagues

Lions at Bears

STUD-Brandon Pettigrew-This pains me to say this because this guy is the model of inconsistency. But I know that you know to start Calvin Johnson, who the lions will lean on heavily in this game. Pettigrew can’t seem to hold on to the ball and his targets have gone down from 12 to 9 to 7 in the last 3 games. Chicago, however has had some trouble stopping tight ends (they rank 28th vs. the tight end) and the Lions will have to exploit any mismatch that they can find.
DUD-Matt Stafford-If Stafford and the Lions could put together a full game they could be dangerous. However, they haven’t, so if you have better options then start them. I mean better option though; don’t get too cute here because Stafford will have a good game... I’m guessing: 280-300 yards and 1-2 touchdowns. The Bears have the number 1 defense against quarterbacks so temper your expectations here
STASH-Joique Bell-The bruising runner out of Wayne State (Detroit) has quietly become one of the better stories in the NFL. He’s hovering around 8 touches a game but has been productive with them and is 4th in receiving for running backs in a limited role. If LeShore were to go down, Bell could prove to be a valuable commodity, especially in ppr leagues and he’s available in over 60% of leagues right now. If he produces this Monday Night on national TV, that number will go down so jump on him now if you have room.

STUD-Brandon Marshall-Detroit’s secondary has been a mess all year. They were under talented to begin with and lost starter Bill Bentley and key reserve Jacob Lacey last week. Marshall is the focal point of this passing offense, start him with confidence.
DUD-Jay Cutler-Detroit’s much talked about defensive front four finally started to play to their talent level in Philly, sacking Mike Vick 3 times while forcing a fumble and 2 ints while harassing him all day. The Lions will make it a point to get into Smokin Jay’s head and if they do, he has a tendency to fold. This will be the key to the game
STASH-Earl Bennett-Every year we hear about how The Bears want to get Bennett more involved. He has a long rapport with Cutler, playing with him at Vanderbilt, so it seems like a natural fit. Bennett has great hands out of the slot, boasting the best catch ratio in the entire league in 2011. The problem with Bennett has always been injuries, but someone will need to step up with talented rookie Alshon Jeffery shelved due to injury. The smart money is on Bennett, if he can stay healthy.

By: Paul Batts  
@unclepauly333 or


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