Thursday, October 25, 2012

NFL WEEK 8 SPREAD PICKS by Richard Donohue by @floworcrash

Eli Manning’s second interception against Washington dropped me to 2 – 1 on last week’s picks. Can someone explain to me why The Giants were throwing in that spot? I thought the trend would change, but it still seems when Eli sees Red and Gold, he forgets he’s an elite QB. If it weren’t for that backbreaking BOMB to Cruz, his stats would’ve been atrocious. Let’s turn the page to Week 8.

GREEN BAY PACKERS – 13 vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Jacksonville is 1 – 5, and winless at home. They were a bad team before they lost MJD for possibly the year. Now Blaine Gabbert’s shoulder is making him a question mark as well. As of this writing he’s a probable start, but his status wouldn’t affect my pick here. If Chad Henne plays, it only makes it easier. Green Bay is currently on fire, and the Jaguars will not put them out. The Jaguar’s passing defense is ranked near the bottom of the league, and Rodgers and company will eat them alive. The Pack has allowed an average of 109 rushing yards per game, and Rashad Jennings has shown he’s more then a capable backup. However, once Green Bay starts to take a commanding lead, the Jags will turn to the air, and the 3 and outs will start to pile up. Green Bay wins going away.

ST. LOUIS RAMS + 7 vs. New England Patriots

I expect the Pats to walk out of St. Louis with a win, but they will have a tough one on their hands. In fact, with the exception of two games so far, the Pats have been in very close games all year. They are averaging a 9 point differential to this point, and if you eliminate the 52 – 28 blowout to the Bills (which was close until the 4th), you are looking at a 6 point average swing. 4 of their 7 games have been decided by 3 points or less. I just don’t think 7 points is giving the Rams defense enough respect. They are ranked 10th in the league overall, and will keep it close. Mark Sanchez threw for 328 yards against the Pats last week, his best game so far. Bradford may be matching Mark in stats in 2012, but he has a better skillset. I expect a big game from him against the Pats weak secondary. This could be a shootout of sorts, and I don’t see the Pats covering.

Oakland +1.5 at KANSAS CITY CHIEFS

This is pretty much a pick ‘em game and it probably will be by Sunday morning. It’s the battle of O-fers: Oakland has yet to win a game on the road, and KC is winless at home.  The Chiefs have officially named Brady Quinn their starting QB after his sterling 180 yard 2 INT losing performance against the Bucs last week. Jamal Charles’ back problem seems to be cleared up, which is good, but when you are this one dimensional, how effective can you be? Jamal will do well for Fantasy owners, but not for his actual team. Two of KC’s losses include the Chargers and the Bills, two mediocre teams at best. Oakland loves to shoot themselves in the foot, as evidence by their 23 –20 choke against the Falcons, but they have the potential on any given Sunday. It will be close, it will be ugly, but Oakland will win and cover.

Thanks for reading. Let’s see if we can catch that 3-team parlay! Good luck!

1 comment:

  1. The Rams are not at home this week. The game is played in London