Wednesday, October 17, 2012

NFL WEEK 7 SPREAD PICKS by Richard Donohue

NFL WEEK 7 SPREAD PICKS  

by Richard Donohue (@floworcrash)


You already know SportsWiseGuy.com is THE source for helping you smash your fantasy football opponents. Those Las Vegas sportsbooks are a much tougher nut to crack. Ever seen “Two for the Money”? Don’t. Despite Pacino being the lead it was horrible. Point is handicapping is not that glamorous. These sportsbooks have teams of statisticians, football experts and the like all working to take your money! They say the house always wins, but with a little help from us, maybe we can change that.

HOUSTON TEXANS – 6 ½ vs. Baltimore Ravens  

This line opened at 4 ½ and quickly ballooned to 6 ½. They are begging you to take the Ravens, but hold off. You should lock this in right now. I realize The Texans have lost Brian Cushing, but that won’t be enough to help the Ravens. Aaron Rodgers finally showed up this year against the Texans last week, and Flacco does not have the skills or weapons to match that performance. Joe Flacco has historically struggled on the road, and the Baltimore defense isn’t what it used to be. Now without emotional leader Ray Lewis, Baltimore is ranked 26th in defense. They are also near the bottom in rushing defense, so expect a comeback performance from Arian Foster. The bottom line here is that The Texans are what the Ravens have always been, strong defense, great running game. Too much for the black n’ purple.

NEW YORK GIANTS – 6 1/2 vs. Washington Redskins


I know what you’re thinking: why am I picking in the handicapper’s hell that is the NFC EAST? Division games are rough, for sure, but I like this line. First of all, RGIII is widely considered Vick 2.0, which may scare the Giant faithful. However, Mr. Griffin has yet to face a defensive front as nasty as the Giants.  Although Vick has given the Giants fits in the past, he has better weapons then Washington. An injured Pierre Garcon, an older Santana Moss and Leonard Hankerson are not DeSean Jackson, Jeremy Maclin and Damaris Johnson. Despite his great numbers, breakout rookie Alfred Morris is not LeSean McCoy. Here’s the big deference for me, despite Eli’s historic troubles against the Skins, Washington’s secondary is HORRIBLE. They are dead last against the pass. Big Blue has too many receiving playmakers and will have a big game at home.

CHICAGO BEARS – 5 ½ vs. Detroit Lions:

I’m taking this Monday Night showdown with my last pick. With the exception of a Week 2 loss to Green Bay, the Bears have been on a tear, blowing out opponents left and right. Now, they come off their bye week, and face a struggling Detroit team at Soldier Field. Matt Stafford pulled one out of the fire last week, taking a horrible start and turning it into a great game, beating the Eagles in OT. But let’s be frank, we all thought the Lions were going to fall to a 1-4 start. Chicago has the best record in the league against the spread at 4-2. They are 2-0 at home against the spread, and 3-0 as favorites. This will continue here. This is a battle of the number #2 ranked offense (Lions) vs. the #1 ranked defense in the NFL (Bears). Here’s the rub though, the Lions have a poor rushing attack, and will obviously rely on their dynamic playmaker, Calvin “Megatron” Johnson. The Bears secondary has combined for 10 interceptions so far this year! Guess who has thrown 5 interceptions so far? Matt Stafford. Something’s gotta give, and I think Chicago’s underrated Cornerbacks Charles Tillman and Tim Jennings will have a FEAST. Turkey, gravy, mashed potatoes, dumplings you name it.

There you have it. Remember folks, nothing is guaranteed in this world, especially gambling. No matter what, you’re basically flipping a coin. Hopefully these picks gave you a different perspective going into this week. Here’s to breaking the bookies out there! Good luck!

2 comments:

  1. What's ur record on the year?? Last week??

    ReplyDelete
  2. This is that writers first week doing it.

    ReplyDelete