Thursday, November 19, 2015

Start 'em if you got 'em - Week 11

Start em’ if you got ‘em – Week 11

Adam Stoczynski
Bitter Chicago sports fan, wagering enthusiast, self-proclaimed sports expert
@AllAboutSto on twitter

Start ‘em if you got ‘em

Quarterback

Matt Hasselbeck @ ATL – Call me crazy, but he’s played well, and with the extra week to prepare, I think he has a chance here as a bye week plug in or for real cheap in daily leagues. Atlanta has been alright vs the pass, giving up just over 250 yards per game, but in the dome, I think he can get some big catch and runs from his wide outs. If things finally go as planned for Atlanta, Hasselbeck should be throwing a lot late.

Philip Rivers vs KC – After a down week and then a bye, Rivers is looking to get it flowing again. This matchup is also not the best, as KC has been pretty good vs the pass, but the bye week had to freshen him up, and as always, he will toss it a ton.

Running Back

Jonathan Stewart vs WAS – Washington is not stopping anyone on the ground, and the Panthers should ride their big back to a victory. He’s getting 20+ touches per game, and gets a great matchup here. Start him with confidence, it will be another 100 yard day vs the Redskins D, which would be the 5th time in 6 games.

Justin Forsett vs STL – I mostly like him because he has a similar skill set as Bears running back Jeremy Langford, who torched the Rams a week ago. It’s been a while since Forsett came through, but he has a good chance here to do some damage in the run as well as the pass game. St Louis is giving up nearly 110 yard per game, so they aren’t as stout as people think.

Wide Receiver

TY Hilton @ ATL – The reason I like Hasselbeck so much is because of Hilton. Finally healthy off his bye, and saw 22 targets in Hasselbecks two starts. He’s fast, and the turf in Atlanta will only help. He will be back to form in week 11 and could go off for one of his huge games.

Kamar Aiken vs STL – Saw 14 targets last week, and they really have no one else to catch it on the outside. The volume is there and so is the matchup vs a Rams team that just gave up 3 passing TD’s last week vs the Bears. He hasn’t scored a touchdown since week 6, but I like him to get in the end zone this week.

Tight End

Jason Witten @ MIA – Like him for one simple reason; his boy is back. Romo is back this week and he has something special with his tight end. You’ve probably had him in and out of your lineup all year long, but this is a week to have him in. His QB is back and he’s facing a defense that could not stop the Eagles tight ends a week ago.

Defense

Jacksonville vs TEN – I like the spot here vs a rookie quarterback on the road on Thursday night. The Jaguars have been a lot better defense this year than people know. They do have a tough time getting to the quarterback, but they should be able to force some turnovers in what looks to be a low scoring game.


Sit ‘em and quit ‘em

Quarterback

Marcus Mariota @ Jax – For the reasons I like the Jags D this week, I also say sit Mariota. I’m just playing the odds here, and for as bad as these Thursday games have been, I don’t see this rookie having success. Jacksonville isn’t the toughest opponent, but I’m putting my trust in a tough situation on the road, more than the defense.

Mark Sanchez vs TB – He just makes too many mistakes to trust, plus this team runs the ball too well to put the game in the hands of Sanchez. Tampa is actually top 10 in yards against, so not the easy matchup you think it is. I expect a heavy dose of Murray, and some Sanchez when needed. Not a guy to start this week.

Running Back

                LeGarrette Blount vs BUF – A guy that is in and out of your lineup each week, this is a sit week. The Buffalo run D is good, giving up less than 100 yards per game, and gave up 99 yards to Ivory last week. This big back type just won’t get it going vs this D line and company. Brady and the Pats will find a way to win, but it won’t be on Blount’s back.

                Doug Martin @ PHI – It will be a tough go for Martin this week vs an Eagles defense that’s only given up 3 touchdowns on the ground this year. I’m thinking the Bucs will be trailing in this one, so the volume may not be there for him to rack up the yardage. He’s a sit this week if you have a better option.

Wide Receiver

                Stefon Diggs vs GB – He’s in a slump, and I never bought into his hype in the first place. Green Bay will be on a mission this week, but so will Minnesota. I don’t see them letting Teddy air it out, as this game will be won on the back of AP. Diggs won’t have many chances and has only seen 7 targets the last 2 games.

                James Jones @ MIN – Talk about a slump, James Jones is basically done. His value has plummeted with the return of Davante Adams, who saw 21 targets last week and is back to playing every down. Rodgers threw the ball 61 times last week, only twice to Jones for 0 catches. He’s better left on your bench this week.

Tight End

Zach Ertz vs TB – He had a season high in yards last week… with 68. Don’t get caught in this. He’s almost not worth owning, let alone worth starting. I really need to see something before I’m putting him in my lineup. He still splits time and hasn’t scored a touchdown yet this year.

Defense


                Cincinnati @ ARI – It’s simple; Arizona can score points. Did you see what they did last week IN Seattle? They are still wort holding if you have a roster spot, but not worth playing this week vs the high powered Cardinals, in Arizona.