Thursday, November 26, 2015

DFS NFL advice week 12


As you gather for the Thanksgiving feast; the NFL games present great time to get your weekend fantasy

football lineup set with Fanpicks week 12 start or sit column.

On this Thanksgiving Day as you reflect on the NFL season to date… take solace in the fact that you

survived all of the bye weeks and with three weeks left in the regular season are now in the home

stretch, vying for the best playoff lineups in daily fantasy football league.

Amidst the aroma of baking turkey and family chatter, take the time to reflect on those fantasy football

investments that haven’t panned out.  Now’s the time to start loading up your roster with as many stars

and sleepers to make up the best lineup to win your game.

As today’s NFL games stir your fantasy football spirit head over to Fanpicks and get a lineup set for your

daily fantasy football.   In celebration of today’s holiday, Fanpicks has created an awesome Thanksgiving

Turkey Shoot Contest offering fantastic bonus payouts and mouthwatering $10,000 grand prize!  That

extra cash might just come in handy with all the black Friday deals out there!

Week 12 Start or Sit

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Quarterback

Start ‘Em

Brian Hoyer, Houston Texans vs. New Orleans Saints

Hoyer has passed through the league’s concussion protocol and should be good to go on Sunday. In the

four games prior to getting injured Houston’s QB averaged 278 yards passing with ten TDs. Not bad for a

thrower that doesn’t get much respect. Having Deandre Hopkins on the other end of his passes can’t

hurt those stats. More importantly, it’s safe at this point to say the Saints defense is closer to historically

terrible than just bad. Over their last six games the Saints have allowed a low of 295 yards passing by

opposing quarterbacks and have let in a whopping 21 TDs through the air. I would stream my two year

old toddler at QB against this defense with confidence.

Eli Manning, New York Giants at Washington Redskins

While I’m not always a big fan of Eli, this is a week in which he has a good shot at high end QB1

production. Washington got torched by Cam Newton last week for five passing TDs and allowed two in

each of the last four games before that. Manning has played well for the most part against below

average pass defenses this year so it stands to reason that a nice game is in store for the younger

Manning.

Sit ‘Em

Tom Brady, New England Patriots at Denver Broncos

I don’t advise actually sitting the highest scoring fantasy QB out there. However, there are warning signs

that this could be a tough week for the future hall of famer. The Broncos are allowing the fewest points

to QBs and just 190 yards passing per game. If anyone can light up an elite defense it’s Brady, but

missing three receivers due to injury can’t help his chances. This should be an interesting game to watch

as a fan of football, but I’m not particularly looking forward to relying on Brady for top five QB numbers

this week.

Running Back

Start ‘Em

T.J. Yeldon, Jacksonville Jaguars vs. San Diego Chargers

After a series of tough matchups we can finally get excited for Yeldon this week. He’s looked like a bell

cow running back lately, even against top end run defenses and now faces a Chargers team allowing 4.9

yards per carry. It’s troubling that Yeldon has scored just one TD on the season, but I’m thinking that

changes this week as the Jags rookie goes for 120-plus and his second NFL touchdown.

Sit ‘Em

Thomas Rawls, Seattle Seahawks vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

I know after landing one of the bigger free agent finds of the season your inclination is to throw Rawls

into your starting lineup. This may be your best option if you are hurting at running back. However, he’s

got a difficult matchup this week against the Steelers having let in just two rushing TDs on the season.

They are allowing 3.9 yards per carry and have let a couple teams rack up some points through yardage,

but are still giving up the third fewest fantasy points to running backs overall, not ideal for Rawls this

week. At least you know the Seahawks are going to run, and then run some more, so you have that

going for you.

Wide Receiver

Start ‘Em

Demaryius Thomas, Denver Broncos vs. New England Patriots

I can’t be the only person thinking that the injury to Peyton Manning may have helped Thomas’ value

going forward. Brock Osweiler is able to move in the pocket and has enough arm strength to get the ball

where it needs to go, an improvement over a Manning in decline. It was apparent in his start last week

that the offense was able to do more with Osweiler under center. While he will likely still struggle at

times, this bodes well for Demaryius as he should get more quality downfield targets. If Tim Tebow

could get him the ball, Osweiler should be able to as well. This week against the Patriots there’s a good

chance Denver will need to open up the offense to keep pace. I could see Osweiler throwing a couple

picks in this game, but also putting Thomas over 100 yards with a TD or two along the way.

Mike Evans, Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Indianapolis Colts

Tampa’s offense is looking up after their rookie QB threw five TDs last week. Jameis Winston has shown

some spark after being the first overall pick in this year’s draft and has some weapons on offense getting

healthy. The return of Vincent Jackson may mean that Evans’ target volume decreases over the next few

weeks, but this should also force defenses to respect other aspects of the Buc’s passing game. If he can

just increase his catch rate, 8-10 targets a week should be ample for him to produce solid numbers. The

Colts are happy to let wide receivers run free as long as Vontae Davis is not covering them, and he’s

dealing with a hamstring injury this week. If he doesn’t play Evans should still lead the team in targets

and have another nice shot at over 100 yards and a score in week 12.

Sit ‘Em

A.J. Green, Cincinnati Bengals vs. St. Louis Rams

Green has a ton of talent but hasn’t put up the numbers his talent would suggest he should this year.

He’s now gone three weeks under 100 yards without a score and has to face the Rams and their quality

defense this week. As long as Andy Dalton is struggling Green will be too. This week doesn’t look to be

the week they are likely to put it together.

Tight End

Start ‘Em

Jordan Reed, Washington Redskins vs. New York Giants

Reed surprisingly was not on injury report this week after playing through an MCL sprain last week. This

is good news for owners of the talented tight end since he gets another great opportunity this week.

When healthy, Reed is a top five TE and the go-to passing target in Washington. The return of DeSean

Jackson should stretch the field and only help Reed find room underneath in coverage. With a deficient

defense and a Giants team likely to exploit that it appears that Reed should have plenty of chances to

rack up yards as the Redskins play from behind during the second half. Even if they are able to keep up

with the Giants Reed should be a major part of the offensive plan.

Sit ‘Em

Travis Kelce, Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills

After much optimism during fantasy draft season Kelce has failed to live up to his preseason hype. He’s

still a TE1, but has turned into one on the lower end of the list. After falling short of 50 yards receiving in

each of the last three games the Chiefs will host the Bills and a defense that can handle the TE position.

If you start him you are probably reliant on Kelce scoring.

Defense

Start ‘Em

Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers

The Cardinals are my No. 1 ranked defense this week, sorry Denver. While the Broncos will be trying to

outfox Bill Belichick and Tom Brady, the Cardinals will be working on Blaine Gabbert. This sets up to be a

blood bath for the 49ers against a very tight Arizona defensive squad. For a little reference in their first

game Arizona logged four picks and two touchdowns. This is lofty to expect again, but a low score and a

couple interceptions along with a handful of sacks is realistic.

Sit ‘Em

Denver Broncos vs. New England Patriots

The Broncos are the No. 1 defense in all of fantasy football but I will avoid them this week if possible.

New England is dealing with a glut of injuries to their receivers and it’s quite possible that Denver keeps

them under 20 points in this game, but I don’t want to count on that. With Brady at the helm there’s just

a good a chance that the Patriots find a chink in the armor and put up a 35 burger in Denver. This will be

a fun game to watch as a pure fan of football, but counting on production from your stellar defense is

risky.

Best of luck with your fantasy football teams this week! Hopefully our Week 12 start or sit column helps

guide you to victory. Make sure to check out our plethora of other fantasy football articles including

waiver wire advice, weekly rankings, daily talk, and other life changing information.