Thursday, November 26, 2015

DFS NFL advice week 12


As you gather for the Thanksgiving feast; the NFL games present great time to get your weekend fantasy

football lineup set with Fanpicks week 12 start or sit column.

On this Thanksgiving Day as you reflect on the NFL season to date… take solace in the fact that you

survived all of the bye weeks and with three weeks left in the regular season are now in the home

stretch, vying for the best playoff lineups in daily fantasy football league.

Amidst the aroma of baking turkey and family chatter, take the time to reflect on those fantasy football

investments that haven’t panned out.  Now’s the time to start loading up your roster with as many stars

and sleepers to make up the best lineup to win your game.

As today’s NFL games stir your fantasy football spirit head over to Fanpicks and get a lineup set for your

daily fantasy football.   In celebration of today’s holiday, Fanpicks has created an awesome Thanksgiving

Turkey Shoot Contest offering fantastic bonus payouts and mouthwatering $10,000 grand prize!  That

extra cash might just come in handy with all the black Friday deals out there!

Week 12 Start or Sit

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Quarterback

Start ‘Em

Brian Hoyer, Houston Texans vs. New Orleans Saints

Hoyer has passed through the league’s concussion protocol and should be good to go on Sunday. In the

four games prior to getting injured Houston’s QB averaged 278 yards passing with ten TDs. Not bad for a

thrower that doesn’t get much respect. Having Deandre Hopkins on the other end of his passes can’t

hurt those stats. More importantly, it’s safe at this point to say the Saints defense is closer to historically

terrible than just bad. Over their last six games the Saints have allowed a low of 295 yards passing by

opposing quarterbacks and have let in a whopping 21 TDs through the air. I would stream my two year

old toddler at QB against this defense with confidence.

Eli Manning, New York Giants at Washington Redskins

While I’m not always a big fan of Eli, this is a week in which he has a good shot at high end QB1

production. Washington got torched by Cam Newton last week for five passing TDs and allowed two in

each of the last four games before that. Manning has played well for the most part against below

average pass defenses this year so it stands to reason that a nice game is in store for the younger

Manning.

Sit ‘Em

Tom Brady, New England Patriots at Denver Broncos

I don’t advise actually sitting the highest scoring fantasy QB out there. However, there are warning signs

that this could be a tough week for the future hall of famer. The Broncos are allowing the fewest points

to QBs and just 190 yards passing per game. If anyone can light up an elite defense it’s Brady, but

missing three receivers due to injury can’t help his chances. This should be an interesting game to watch

as a fan of football, but I’m not particularly looking forward to relying on Brady for top five QB numbers

this week.

Running Back

Start ‘Em

T.J. Yeldon, Jacksonville Jaguars vs. San Diego Chargers

After a series of tough matchups we can finally get excited for Yeldon this week. He’s looked like a bell

cow running back lately, even against top end run defenses and now faces a Chargers team allowing 4.9

yards per carry. It’s troubling that Yeldon has scored just one TD on the season, but I’m thinking that

changes this week as the Jags rookie goes for 120-plus and his second NFL touchdown.

Sit ‘Em

Thomas Rawls, Seattle Seahawks vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

I know after landing one of the bigger free agent finds of the season your inclination is to throw Rawls

into your starting lineup. This may be your best option if you are hurting at running back. However, he’s

got a difficult matchup this week against the Steelers having let in just two rushing TDs on the season.

They are allowing 3.9 yards per carry and have let a couple teams rack up some points through yardage,

but are still giving up the third fewest fantasy points to running backs overall, not ideal for Rawls this

week. At least you know the Seahawks are going to run, and then run some more, so you have that

going for you.

Wide Receiver

Start ‘Em

Demaryius Thomas, Denver Broncos vs. New England Patriots

I can’t be the only person thinking that the injury to Peyton Manning may have helped Thomas’ value

going forward. Brock Osweiler is able to move in the pocket and has enough arm strength to get the ball

where it needs to go, an improvement over a Manning in decline. It was apparent in his start last week

that the offense was able to do more with Osweiler under center. While he will likely still struggle at

times, this bodes well for Demaryius as he should get more quality downfield targets. If Tim Tebow

could get him the ball, Osweiler should be able to as well. This week against the Patriots there’s a good

chance Denver will need to open up the offense to keep pace. I could see Osweiler throwing a couple

picks in this game, but also putting Thomas over 100 yards with a TD or two along the way.

Mike Evans, Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Indianapolis Colts

Tampa’s offense is looking up after their rookie QB threw five TDs last week. Jameis Winston has shown

some spark after being the first overall pick in this year’s draft and has some weapons on offense getting

healthy. The return of Vincent Jackson may mean that Evans’ target volume decreases over the next few

weeks, but this should also force defenses to respect other aspects of the Buc’s passing game. If he can

just increase his catch rate, 8-10 targets a week should be ample for him to produce solid numbers. The

Colts are happy to let wide receivers run free as long as Vontae Davis is not covering them, and he’s

dealing with a hamstring injury this week. If he doesn’t play Evans should still lead the team in targets

and have another nice shot at over 100 yards and a score in week 12.

Sit ‘Em

A.J. Green, Cincinnati Bengals vs. St. Louis Rams

Green has a ton of talent but hasn’t put up the numbers his talent would suggest he should this year.

He’s now gone three weeks under 100 yards without a score and has to face the Rams and their quality

defense this week. As long as Andy Dalton is struggling Green will be too. This week doesn’t look to be

the week they are likely to put it together.

Tight End

Start ‘Em

Jordan Reed, Washington Redskins vs. New York Giants

Reed surprisingly was not on injury report this week after playing through an MCL sprain last week. This

is good news for owners of the talented tight end since he gets another great opportunity this week.

When healthy, Reed is a top five TE and the go-to passing target in Washington. The return of DeSean

Jackson should stretch the field and only help Reed find room underneath in coverage. With a deficient

defense and a Giants team likely to exploit that it appears that Reed should have plenty of chances to

rack up yards as the Redskins play from behind during the second half. Even if they are able to keep up

with the Giants Reed should be a major part of the offensive plan.

Sit ‘Em

Travis Kelce, Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills

After much optimism during fantasy draft season Kelce has failed to live up to his preseason hype. He’s

still a TE1, but has turned into one on the lower end of the list. After falling short of 50 yards receiving in

each of the last three games the Chiefs will host the Bills and a defense that can handle the TE position.

If you start him you are probably reliant on Kelce scoring.

Defense

Start ‘Em

Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers

The Cardinals are my No. 1 ranked defense this week, sorry Denver. While the Broncos will be trying to

outfox Bill Belichick and Tom Brady, the Cardinals will be working on Blaine Gabbert. This sets up to be a

blood bath for the 49ers against a very tight Arizona defensive squad. For a little reference in their first

game Arizona logged four picks and two touchdowns. This is lofty to expect again, but a low score and a

couple interceptions along with a handful of sacks is realistic.

Sit ‘Em

Denver Broncos vs. New England Patriots

The Broncos are the No. 1 defense in all of fantasy football but I will avoid them this week if possible.

New England is dealing with a glut of injuries to their receivers and it’s quite possible that Denver keeps

them under 20 points in this game, but I don’t want to count on that. With Brady at the helm there’s just

a good a chance that the Patriots find a chink in the armor and put up a 35 burger in Denver. This will be

a fun game to watch as a pure fan of football, but counting on production from your stellar defense is

risky.

Best of luck with your fantasy football teams this week! Hopefully our Week 12 start or sit column helps

guide you to victory. Make sure to check out our plethora of other fantasy football articles including

waiver wire advice, weekly rankings, daily talk, and other life changing information.

Thursday, November 19, 2015

Start 'em if you got 'em - Week 11

Start em’ if you got ‘em – Week 11

Adam Stoczynski
Bitter Chicago sports fan, wagering enthusiast, self-proclaimed sports expert
@AllAboutSto on twitter

Start ‘em if you got ‘em

Quarterback

Matt Hasselbeck @ ATL – Call me crazy, but he’s played well, and with the extra week to prepare, I think he has a chance here as a bye week plug in or for real cheap in daily leagues. Atlanta has been alright vs the pass, giving up just over 250 yards per game, but in the dome, I think he can get some big catch and runs from his wide outs. If things finally go as planned for Atlanta, Hasselbeck should be throwing a lot late.

Philip Rivers vs KC – After a down week and then a bye, Rivers is looking to get it flowing again. This matchup is also not the best, as KC has been pretty good vs the pass, but the bye week had to freshen him up, and as always, he will toss it a ton.

Running Back

Jonathan Stewart vs WAS – Washington is not stopping anyone on the ground, and the Panthers should ride their big back to a victory. He’s getting 20+ touches per game, and gets a great matchup here. Start him with confidence, it will be another 100 yard day vs the Redskins D, which would be the 5th time in 6 games.

Justin Forsett vs STL – I mostly like him because he has a similar skill set as Bears running back Jeremy Langford, who torched the Rams a week ago. It’s been a while since Forsett came through, but he has a good chance here to do some damage in the run as well as the pass game. St Louis is giving up nearly 110 yard per game, so they aren’t as stout as people think.

Wide Receiver

TY Hilton @ ATL – The reason I like Hasselbeck so much is because of Hilton. Finally healthy off his bye, and saw 22 targets in Hasselbecks two starts. He’s fast, and the turf in Atlanta will only help. He will be back to form in week 11 and could go off for one of his huge games.

Kamar Aiken vs STL – Saw 14 targets last week, and they really have no one else to catch it on the outside. The volume is there and so is the matchup vs a Rams team that just gave up 3 passing TD’s last week vs the Bears. He hasn’t scored a touchdown since week 6, but I like him to get in the end zone this week.

Tight End

Jason Witten @ MIA – Like him for one simple reason; his boy is back. Romo is back this week and he has something special with his tight end. You’ve probably had him in and out of your lineup all year long, but this is a week to have him in. His QB is back and he’s facing a defense that could not stop the Eagles tight ends a week ago.

Defense

Jacksonville vs TEN – I like the spot here vs a rookie quarterback on the road on Thursday night. The Jaguars have been a lot better defense this year than people know. They do have a tough time getting to the quarterback, but they should be able to force some turnovers in what looks to be a low scoring game.


Sit ‘em and quit ‘em

Quarterback

Marcus Mariota @ Jax – For the reasons I like the Jags D this week, I also say sit Mariota. I’m just playing the odds here, and for as bad as these Thursday games have been, I don’t see this rookie having success. Jacksonville isn’t the toughest opponent, but I’m putting my trust in a tough situation on the road, more than the defense.

Mark Sanchez vs TB – He just makes too many mistakes to trust, plus this team runs the ball too well to put the game in the hands of Sanchez. Tampa is actually top 10 in yards against, so not the easy matchup you think it is. I expect a heavy dose of Murray, and some Sanchez when needed. Not a guy to start this week.

Running Back

                LeGarrette Blount vs BUF – A guy that is in and out of your lineup each week, this is a sit week. The Buffalo run D is good, giving up less than 100 yards per game, and gave up 99 yards to Ivory last week. This big back type just won’t get it going vs this D line and company. Brady and the Pats will find a way to win, but it won’t be on Blount’s back.

                Doug Martin @ PHI – It will be a tough go for Martin this week vs an Eagles defense that’s only given up 3 touchdowns on the ground this year. I’m thinking the Bucs will be trailing in this one, so the volume may not be there for him to rack up the yardage. He’s a sit this week if you have a better option.

Wide Receiver

                Stefon Diggs vs GB – He’s in a slump, and I never bought into his hype in the first place. Green Bay will be on a mission this week, but so will Minnesota. I don’t see them letting Teddy air it out, as this game will be won on the back of AP. Diggs won’t have many chances and has only seen 7 targets the last 2 games.

                James Jones @ MIN – Talk about a slump, James Jones is basically done. His value has plummeted with the return of Davante Adams, who saw 21 targets last week and is back to playing every down. Rodgers threw the ball 61 times last week, only twice to Jones for 0 catches. He’s better left on your bench this week.

Tight End

Zach Ertz vs TB – He had a season high in yards last week… with 68. Don’t get caught in this. He’s almost not worth owning, let alone worth starting. I really need to see something before I’m putting him in my lineup. He still splits time and hasn’t scored a touchdown yet this year.

Defense


                Cincinnati @ ARI – It’s simple; Arizona can score points. Did you see what they did last week IN Seattle? They are still wort holding if you have a roster spot, but not worth playing this week vs the high powered Cardinals, in Arizona. 

Thursday, November 12, 2015

Start 'em if you got 'em - Week 10

Start em’ if you got ‘em – Week 10

Adam Stoczynski
Bitter Chicago sports fan, wagering enthusiast, self-proclaimed sports expert
@AllAboutSto on twitter

Start ‘em if you got ‘em

Quarterback

Andy Dalton @ HOU – His schedule is about to get tougher, but use him this week with a lot of confidence. It seems like the old Dalton who couldn’t play in the bright lights is gone. Start him Monday night vs one of the worst teams in the league. This should be another route.

Blake Bortles @ BAL – That old Baltimore defense is gone. They are giving up over 280 yards through the air and only have 3 interceptions this season. On the Bortles side of things, he has only thrown less than 2 touchdowns in a game twice this year, and the last time was week 4. He’s a stud right now, and has a great matchup.

Running Back

Mark Ingram @ WAS – I understand Brees is on fire right now, but Washington is actually top 10 vs the pass and horrendous vs the run. They are giving up over 130 yards per game on the ground and Ingram is the only back in New Orleans right now. Spiller is nonexistent, so roll Ingram out there for 20 plus touches, 100 yards, and a td.

LeGarrette Blount @ NYG – Could it be two weeks in a row? I’m going to say yes. With the loss of Lewis last week and the bad New York Giant run D, Blount and the New England ground game might get it going this week. I know we pick our spots with him, but if you have him, this is one of the weeks you start him.

Wide Receiver

Davante Adams vs DET – Love the matchup here for Adams. Last week he quietly played a ton, and looks like he is 100%. If you can still buy him low, I would do it, this is your last chance. He is about to break out this week vs a Lions team who doesn’t want to stop anyone. I know it was a late game surge, but Rodgers and The Pack figured it out late last week. I like them with a big number here.

Reuben Randle vs NE – This is more of a hunch here, but if you’ve been following, my hunches have been right on. So jump on this one, or forever hold your peace. Here’s why. Like I said last week about Jordan Reed, Belichick takes away what you do best. What do the Giants do best? Throw to Odell. They will do their best to stop him or at least contain him. Look for Randle to get a lot of single coverage and space. He will have a solid week and some good opportunity. He’s a great plug and this week with names like TY and Julio on vacation.

Tight End

Travis Kelce @ DEN – They have to move the ball somehow. The Denver D is going to be hungry as they return home after the loss last week. Kelce is their best threat, and the only way I see the Chiefs moving the ball at all. He had 4 catches on 5 targets the first time they played, he will do at least that this week.

Defense

Pittsburgh vs CLE – No Bell, and the prospect of a very hobbled Big Ben, the defense is going to have to play well and win them this game. That, plus the browns offense is really bad. It doesn’t matter who their QB, the Steelers are a great play in yearlong and daily leagues.

Sit ‘em and quit ‘em

Quarterback

Jay Cutler @ STL – There’s a ton of buzz for a quarterback who threw a pick 6 and lost a fumble vs a two win team that can’t stop anybody. Do not buy into this hype, bench him this week on the road at STL. To make matters worse Jeffery did not practice on Thursday and he’s already down Forte and Royal. Cutler does not string good games together and going on the road against a top 5 defense vs the pass who have given up only 5 touchdowns on the year, ha, good luck.

Drew Brees @ WAS – He’s on fire, but he will have a little tougher go this week. He leaves his friendly dome, where he absolutely tore it up the last two weeks, and heads to Washington to face a defense that has not given up a 300 yard passer this year. They are bad vs the run, so opportunity will be slim as well, expect a ton of Ingram and not so much Brees.  

Running Back

                Jeremy Langford @ STL – He had a great game last week, but it’s going to be tough to get anything going vs this D line. In STL, I’m not expecting much from the Bears this week. Langford will do enough because of volume, but if you have a different option, I’d go with him and leave the rookie on the bench.

                Charcandrick West @ DEN – I’m going to continue to fade running backs as they take on the immovable object that is the Denver Broncos. The Colts got to them a bit last week, but with a loss under their belt and returning home, Denver may not let them get much going at all.

Wide Receiver

                Mike Evans vs DAL – The only thing Evans does consistently is play inconsistently. It seems like every other week he has a big game, and this is one of those every others. If you can afford to do it, I’d leave him on the bench in 2 receiver leagues. For example, I’m going with Allen Robinson over Evans in week 10.

                Travis Benjamin @ PIT – He hasn’t done a thing since week 6, in fact, he had more yards in week 6 than he has since. He’s not a starting option anymore. If you caught lightening in a bottle for those few weeks he was usable, good job. To me, as a wide receiver on the Browns, he’s droppable.

Tight End

Ben Watson @ WAS – Had another 5 catches last week, but I’m assuming if you have him he’s not your only tight end. Opt for “the other guy” this week as the Redskins have been stingy vs tight ends and vs the pass in general. I don’t like Brees this week, and Watson is under his umbrella as well.

Defense


                Baltimore vs JAX – That old Baltimore defense is gone, I feel like I’ve said that before. Anyways, the Ravens are not a streaming option this year, they are just bad. The Jaguars are no lush on offense either and are a tougher matchup than you think. I like the Jags offensive weapons this week and don’t see the Ravens stopping them. 

Monday, November 9, 2015

NFL Week 9 FanPicks Fantasy Football Line Up


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As we head into week 9; FanPicks.com provides our one week fantasy football optimized line up.


We are all anticipating an exciting showdown as the visiting Chicago Bears taken the San Diego Chargers.  Even at this time it seems quite apparent that San Diego is not establishing any sort of running game; rather hedging their bets on Philip River’s passing game to lead to victory.  It would seem a good strategy the Chargers are averaging 336 passing yards per game putting them as the top passing overall team in the NFL.  In regards to the Bears; they showed a weak secondary during their game with the Vikings last week; ultimately giving up big plays at critical points during the game.  These play mishaps coupled with huge passing game from Minnesota contributed to the Bears defeat - giving up ten points in the final minutes despite a seven point fourth quarter lead.


No doubt San Diego will be looking to exploit the Bears weakness in their secondary; while helping Philip Rivers have a successful passing attack during Monday night’s scheduled game. The spotlight is on Rivers, who is currently completing nearly 70% of his passes for 2753 yards gained and 18 touchdowns with only 7 interceptions.  In the last five games he has consistently thrown for over 300 gains.  Moreover as this one of those AFC versus NFC matchups so the Bears will not be familiar with the San Diego formations and routes that their receivers will run.


The following is FanPicks optimized line up strategy

Play on Phillip Rivers (Chargers QB)

The New York Jets return home after an awful defensive performance last week against the Oakland Raiders. The Jets lost that game 34-20 as they allowed Derek Carr to throw for 333 yards and four touchdowns. Jacksonville will be the Jets opponents. Quarterback Blake Bortles is not an accurate passer as his time may be running out as a starting quarterback in this league once the season ends. Bortles completes just 55.7% of his throws. Look for the Jets to bounce back with a huge defensive effort after last week’s embarrassing performance. They are back home and a better unit that showed up last week at Oakland. The team is still ranked third in the NFL in total defense by giving up 307 yards per game.

Play on New York Jets Defense

The Oakland Raiders makes the long cross-country trip for an early game against the Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday. The Raiders have won two straight. That loss at Chicago still stings the team. Ben Roethlisberger makes his second start after returning from injury. Look for Big Ben to exploit the Oakland Raiders poor pass defense that gives up 302 yards per game. Antonio Brown figures to have a huge game on Sunday. He leads the Steelers with 52 catches for 718 yards and three touchdowns. With Roethlisberger healthy in Week 1 and 2 of the season Brown combined for 18 catches for 328 yards with two touchdowns.

Play on Antonio Browns (Steelers WR)

The Denver Broncos off their great defensive effort last week at home to Green Bay will be traveling to face the Indianapolis Colts. Peyton Manning is starting to show improvement with his passing. The running game is starting to click as well for the club. Ronnie Hillman leads the team with 85 carries for 383 yards and four touchdowns. He had two rushing touchdowns last week in the win to Green Bay. With a career best 4.5 yards per run attempt look for Hillman to put up some good numbers on the Colts defense.

Play on Ronnie Hillman (Broncos RB)

The Dallas Cowboys will be home to the Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday night football. Dallas is 0-5 without Tony Romo under center but still just one game out of first place in the NFC East division. We are going to expect Cowboys quarterback Matt Cassell to keep it safe to avoid turnovers and target Jason Witten in the passing game.


Play on Jason Witten (Cowboys TE)

Thursday, November 5, 2015

Start 'em if you got 'em - Week 9

Start em’ if you got ‘em – Week 9

Adam Stoczynski
Bitter Chicago sports fan, wagering enthusiast, self-proclaimed sports expert
@AllAboutSto on twitter

Start ‘em if you got ‘em

Quarterback

Cam Newton vs GB – He’s playing too well to sit. The GB defense is good, but they have been pretty leaky lately.  Cam should keep rolling vs a defense that has given up almost 850 yards passing the last two weeks. Last week was also the first time since week 5 Cam did not have a rushing score, he’ll run one in here.

Ben Roethlisberger vs OAK – I understand he was a frustrating start last week, but stick with him. You waited for him to come back from injury and here he is. Last week will have helped a ton, and with Bell going down, he’s going to have to throw.

Running Back

Ronnie Hillman @ IND – We are going right back to the well here. I said to start him last week in his first start of the year, and he rewarded us with 2 touchdowns. We are sticking with him again as the starting running of the Denver Broncos. The Broncos need to run to win and Hillman is useful as a pass catcher. Indy’s D is also giving up 125 yards per game on the ground.

Jeremy Hill vs CLE – When the matchup is right Jeremy Hill has big games, and this is one of those weeks. Don’t give up on Hill, he has a lot of yards coming his way. He was one of the best players in fantasy football down the stretch last year, and that’s why we drafted him this year. Let him roll on Thursday night, he will score one, and he might score twice.

Wide Receiver

Martavis Bryant vs OAK – See Big Ben. Bryant will hit on a deep one this week, just playing the odds. The Steelers will be tossing it all over the field and Martavis will be one of the beneficiaries of this. He hasn’t had a big game in a few weeks, he’s just due. Oh, and Oakland has a good run D. They are giving up just over 80 yards per game and only 3 TD’s on the year. I repeat… Pittsburgh will be throwing a ton.

Jordan Matthews @ DAL – Playing a lot of hunches this week. Philly off the bye should be ready to soar vs Dallas in a huge divisional game. He hasn’t had more than 60 yards in a game since week 2, which also happens to be the last time he scored. The Dallas defense is capable of keeping the Eagles in check, but off the bye, they have to realize Matthews is too good not to be involved more often.

Tight End

Delanie Walker @ NO – New Orleans has been bad vs tight ends all year long. With Wright out, there should be more balls to go around and Walker is a favorite target of Mariota, who is back in week 9. He hasn’t had less than 6 catches since week 5, so keep trotting him out there, he has a pretty high floor.

Defense

Atlanta @ SF – Blaine. Gabbert. Blaine Gabbert. Come on. Not much else to say about that. If they are available, go pick them up. I just can’t see Gabbert moving the ball. Blaine Gabbert?!

Sit ‘em and quit ‘em

Quarterback

Andrew Luck vs DEN – It’s bad, real bad right now, and the Denver D is good, real good. Luck can’t take care of the ball and has only 1 week where he’s thrown less than 2 interceptions in a game. Denver also leads the league in sacks, and is top 5 in interceptions, this one could be a disaster. If it wasn’t for a respectable finish last week, Luck would have been a terrible play.

Matt Ryan @ SF – Not sure what is going on in Atlanta, but after a rough game at home, he heads across the country to face a team that cannot stop the run. Expect a heavy dose of Freeman here, and much less of Matt Ryan. I wouldn’t start him this week if you can help it.

Running Back

                Frank Gore vs DEN – You just can’t start running backs like this vs Denver. Denver is giving up next to nothing on the ground and Gore looks like he will be the Broncos next victim. Jamaal Charles and AP are the only two backs to run for more than 40 yards vs this D this year, keep Gore on the bench.

                Jonathan Stewart vs GB – His last 3 games have been quite good actually, but let’s quit while we are ahead. This angry Packers defense is going to be ready, and Stewart will be better left on the bench. GB has given up 7 touchdowns on the year, but gave up 3 last week. This defense has actually been pretty stingy all year long, and I bet they get back on track this week.

Wide Receiver

                Willie Snead vs TEN – After the huge game last week, Snead is a little banged up and faces a good secondary. Snead has been a nice plug and play, but I’m not going to chase the points from last week. If you missed out, then you missed out. The Titans are actually third in the league at just under 200 yards per game through the air, I wouldn’t be taking them too lightly and wouldn’t put too much stock into Snead’s week 8 outbreak.

                Any 49ers WR vs ATL – Blaine. Gabbert. Blaine Gabbert. Stay away from this mess. I’m not sure anyone on the 49ers is worth starting this week. Just stay away, far, far away.

Tight End

Jordan Reed @ NE – This one is tough. I love the guy, and have him across the board in my leagues, except for the league I have Gronk. It’s not like the matchup is too brutal or that he hasn’t been playing well, because he’s been on fire. I’m worried because the Patriots always try to take away the thing a team does best. Jordan Reed is that guy for the Redskins. He’s been a straight stud all year, but if you need a huge win this week, sit him for a better option. When it comes to fantasy football, in Belichick I fear.

Defense


                Carolina vs GB – This should be a very good game, but no way the Packers are held to what they did last week. It’s a tough defense to break out against, but Rodgers is due. After a rough start last week, you saw Luck put together a few good drives. Rodgers also takes care of the ball better than anyone else, so don’t expect the turnovers to pile up in this one. 

Thursday, October 29, 2015

Start 'em if you got 'em - Week 8

Start em’ if you got ‘em – Week 8

Adam Stoczynski
Bitter Chicago sports fan, wagering enthusiast, self-proclaimed sports expert
@AllAboutSto on twitter

We are here in week 8, and after a hot week 7, let’s look to continue this to another win. We have some tough calls this week and are heading into the nitty gritty of the season. Let’s not lose confidence in our studs. You drafted them high for a reason, so don’t go sitting guys with a touch matchup. You will feel really bad when they still have a good game, but are sitting on your bench. So that means Rodgers and Lacy are a go, even though that Denver D is really good. TY vs Norman, I understand, but if Hilton gets loose for one and he’s not in your lineup, don’t say I didn’t tell you so. I know you aren’t second guessing Hopkins right? He had a bad week last week and is facing a great secondary this week, but who cares. He’s a beast, don’t even think about it. We are going to follow the same rule for McFadden and Dez. If Dez goes, he’s a must start. I don’t care if he hops around on one leg vs Sherman and Co. If he’s playing, he needs to be in your lineup. You can live with the 0, but if he catches 15 balls because they have no one else, you are going to be ticked if he’s on your bench. McFadden looks like he’s the lead back now in Dallas, that makes him a must start no matter who he’s playing. Start him as a high end RB 2. My take on LeGarrette Blount: If you have him, you need to keep him in your lineup. You are going to have to live with the 0 carry games, and just feast on those weeks where he wins it for you by himself. Looking at the rest of the schedule, I’m not going to play the guessing game with him. You sit him vs Buf, Den, and the Jets. All of the other weeks, just roll with him; you have to. He will have some clunkers, we all know that, but we can’t risk him being on our bench because we thought it was a “Lewis Week.” Hope that helps a bit, those are some questions I’ve been seeing and wanted to give some answers. Good luck in week 8, let’s go!

Start ‘em if you got ‘em

Quarterback

Matt Ryan vs TB – Matt Ryan and the Falcons head back home, where he is due for a huge one. He’s not had the best year thus far, only surpassing 300 yards once, and yet to throw more than 2 touchdowns in a game, but this one could shape up to be a good one. I think Julio gets it going again for a big 150 yard game. I’m all about the Falcons this week, so start them.

Philip Rivers @ BAL – To be honest with you, I think Baltimore wins this game, but Rivers is just playing so well right now, you cannot sit him. Like I said before, don’t sit your studs, and he has been a flat out stud lately. He’s averaging over two touchdowns and 390 yards in his last 4 games. Keep rolling him out there until he cools off. Baltimore is one of the worst in the league at defending the pass, and the Chargers can’t really run, so Rivers should feast once again.  

Running Back

Danny Woodhead @ BAL – See Rivers, Philip. Danny Woodhead has been top 10 RB material this year, and will look to get it going through the pass game once again. With the Gordon and Oliver debacle, how is Woodhead not on the field more and more every week? The Ravens are not the Ravens of old, and they can be beat by a scat back like Woodhead. You are starting him across the board at this point as a RB 1.

Ronnie Hillman vs GB – This may be because I drafted him in all of my leagues and I’m just pumped to finally fire him up as the Broncos lead back, but he also does have a great matchup this week at home vs Green Bay. After the bye, I’m thinking Hillman will be involved in the game plan a ton vs a Green Bay defense that is giving up over 4.5 yards per carry. I think he busts a big one this week and you will reap the benefits. Start him with confidence.

Wide Receiver

Nate Washington vs TEN – Is this a weird call? Sure. Usually after a big game last week, I wouldn’t be chasing these points, but as we’ve seen time and time again, wide receivers facing their old team for the first time are usually productive and good for a score. Other than the “facing his old team hunch,” Cecil Shorts has been ruled out and Washington will be a starting receiver on a team that leads the league in pass attempts with 327. It’s a tough secondary, but watch Nasty Nate get in the end zone this week. Start him as a plug and play this week.

Michael Floyd @ CLE – It looks like John Brown is going to be out this week. The reports have not been promising on him, so fire up Michael Floyd. He’s come on the last two games, posting at least 50 yards and a touchdown in each. If John Brown indeed does not go, Floyd will get an opportunity vs a secondary that is middle of the road, but extremely beatable.

Tight End

Kyle Rudolph @ CHI – Rudolph scored the last two weeks, so it makes me a little nervous here, but he’s athletic enough to beat the Bears linebackers and could be involved. I like him this week even though in his last 4 weeks he hasn’t caught more than 4 balls for 14 yards in a single game. I think he scores again though, and could get in the 50 yards receiving range.

Austin Seferian-Jenkins @ ATL – ASJ is on here because if he can suit up, he will be a great play vs the falcons. Besides Evans, Tampa has a skeleton crew at wide out this week. Keep an eye on Seferian-Jenkins the next few days. If he is going to play on Sunday, he’s a great plug and play option this week, just by default.

Defense

Atlanta vs TB – This is more on Winston, than it is on the Atlanta defense. I’m a big Jameis fan, but after two weeks in a row with no interceptions and actually playing quite well, he’s just due for a “rookie game,” in a divisional road game. Atlanta doesn’t get to the quarterback, but you can do worse, and this a D I’d target if I’m just streaming from week to week.

Sit ‘em and quit ‘em
Quarterback

Matthew Stafford @ KC – When everyone zigs, I like to zag. With all of this talk about the new coaches on the offensive side of the ball, the Lions arrow is all of a sudden pointing up. Well I don’t agree, well, for this week at least. Stafford might get it rolling coming out of the bye in 2 weeks, but in KC, I don’t see him doing much. KC has actually been a pretty good matchup for QB’s this year, but in the last few weeks they’ve tightened up, giving up almost 16 points per game in their last 3.

Russell Wilson @ DAL – Wilson can always get it done with his legs, but this Dallas team is going to be fired up to play this week. They are top 10 vs the pass this year and Russell has been less than great. He’s only thrown more than 1 touchdown in 1 game, and thrown for more than 250 yards in 2, though 1 game was for 251 yards. Dallas has a good defense that can get to the quarterback, it might be hard to do, but I’m sitting Wilson this week, who doesn’t qualify as a fantasy stud for me.

Running Back

                Latavius Murray vs NYJ – Going forward I’m fading any running back vs the Jets. Did you see what the Patriots did last week? This D is for real. They are giving up just over 70 yards per game on the ground and have only given up 2 touchdowns on the year. Stay away from Murray this week. If the Jets don’t scare you enough, how about the Raiders? Murray rushed for 139 yards and a td in week 3, since then he’s rushed for 173 yards and 1 td.

                Frank Gore @ CAR – The Panthers defense has been beatable on the ground, but a bigger slower guy like Gore is not the way to do it. Just ask Ingram, Lynch, and D. Murray, who all rushed for around 50 yards vs the Panthers. I don’t care that everyone else is saying the Colts need to run vs the Panthers to win. They may try to do it, but I don’t think they will succeed. Gore is not a good start this week.

Wide Receiver

                Golden Tate @ KC – See Stafford, Matthew. He’s not getting it done. Just two catches last week for 14 yards was disappointing, but it might happen again in this spot. He’s only gotten to 80 yards once this year and has only 1 touchdown. You can’t be starting him anymore.

                Amari Cooper @ NYJ – Revis Island. Sure you may not have a different option, but this is more of caution, especially because you are feeling good after last week’s big week. Just be aware Revis is going to shadow him. Cooper gets enough short passes, screens, and targets to still be used, but if there is a better option, I’d do that.

Defense


                Minnesota @ CHI – Chicago is coming out of their bye with a healthy roster. Their wide receivers will finally be ready to go, and I think they win this game. Minnesota has been miserable on the road over the last few years, especially on the road in divisional games, and double especially at Soldier Field. Sure Cutler can throw some away, but the offense should be pretty put together with the week off. I’m not streaming Minnesota this week. 

Thursday, October 22, 2015

Start 'em if you got 'em - Week 7


Adam Stoczynski
Bitter Chicago sports fan, wagering enthusiast, self-proclaimed sports expert
@AllAboutSto on twitter

It’s already week 7 of the 2015 NFL season. By now, we all know what we have and there is no more time to mess around. So let’s just get right into it… Let’s get a W.

Start ‘em if you got ‘em

Quarterback

Matthew Stafford vs MIN – Now, don’t expect him to put up over 400 yards again, but after the benching in week, he bounced back in a huge way vs the Bears last week. I think he continues to keep it going vs a beatable Minnesota defense. Calvin Johnson finally looked good last week, and Stafford should “get his” once again.

Drew Brees @ IND – That’s now 3 games in a row with at least 300 yards passing for Brees. He still is not quite as sharp as he needs to be, but he faces a struggling Indianapolis defense that is giving up nearly 290 yards per game through the air. Guys like Hasselbeck, Bortles, and Fitzpatrick have all gashed the Colts recently, I say Brees does the same thing. Start him with confidence.

Running Back

Doug Martin @ WAS – Washington has been a scary matchup for opposing running backs, but the last few weeks they’ve given up monster games to Ivory and Freeman to the tune of a total of 199 yards and 2 touchdowns. Martin has a similar skill-set as these two, and I expect him to have another good game for his third in a row.

Danny Woodhead vs OAK – Last week with Gordon taking a back seat, Oliver became the feature back. Woodhead’s role is not going to change as far as becoming an inside rusher, but I do see him being on the field a lot more this week. Gordon has fell out of favor and is also banged up, and Oliver is another guy. Woodhead should catch around 7 balls and get on the field a little more this week. All of that, plus he has a good matchup vs Oakland.

Wide Receiver

Michael Crabtree @ SD – Word on the street is Crabtree is going to continue to grow his role in the Raider offense. The targets have been there, but he has not scored since week 2. San Diego has actually been pretty good vs the pass, but off the bye Crabtree should be involved in the game plan. You can trust him this week as a bye week fill in with a ton of good receivers from Chicago, Denver, Cincinnati, and Green Bay taking the week off.

Mike Evans @ WAS – To be honest this is more of a hunch play than anything else. Coming off the bye the Bucs and Winston have to realize they need to get Evans involved in order to win games. The 13 receptions on the season are really unacceptable. Washington is middle of the road as far as passing defense goes, so the matchup is a fine one. I think this is a game Evans and Winston can really build on, if not, I’m giving up hope on him as far as bouncing back in his sophomore season.

Tight End

Jordan Reed vs TB – Stud. If he was dropped in your league, go grab him and start him until he gets hurt again. He’s had at least 5 catches in every game, including the one he left early in. He says he is ready to go, so I’m throwing him back in my lineup this week. He’s due to score his first TD since week one.

Defense

Carolina vs PHI – The Panthers head back home for the first time since week 3. That place will be rocking on Sunday night, and so will the defense. They are really rolling now and Philadelphia is still not too sharp. They should be a top fantasy defense this week.

Sit ‘em and quit ‘em

Quarterback

Sam Bradford @ CAR – See Carolina defense. I think the Eagles will have a tough go on the road in Carolina. As far as for Bradford, he will see Josh Norman roaming the field, and the pressure up front will be a lot to handle. Bradford has been less than impressive lately and just threw 3 interceptions on Monday night.

Colin Kaepernick vs SEA – Kaep is coming off back-to-back good games vs NYG and BAL. I just don’t think he can string 3 good games in a row together. Seattle is also in dire need of a win here, Kaepernick will be pressured all night. I know he’s been hot, but I would quit while I’m ahead, even if you are desperate with Rodgers, Manning, and Dalton on bye. Seattle has not been the Legion of Boom of old, but still only giving up 220 yard per game through the air.

Running Back

                LeGarrette Blount vs NYJ – If you missed out on his big week last week, you have to move on. Don’t chase these points. Last week was a Blount week, this one looks like a Lewis week to me. The jets are the best team in the league vs the run, so I don’t see LeGarrette ramming into the line of scrimmage over and over again for one yard runs. Stay away this week, and just wait until his next good matchup.

                Charcandrick West vs PIT – I understand you are all pumped up you were able to score West off of waivers, and he should be good moving forward. However, I would stay away this week vs the Steelers. Pittsburgh is giving up around 90 yards per game on the ground, and has only given up one rushing touchdown. Kansas City is really struggling, and there may be trailing in this one. Find a different option here.

Wide Receiver

                Jordan Matthews @ CAR – See Carolina defense and Sam Bradford. Last week was his best game since week two. This “best game since week two,” consisted of 59 yards and 6 catches. He is really struggling and so is their passing game as a whole. I’m not betting on the Eagles to fly on the road vs one of the best teams in the league. Until Matthews starts proving something, he is not a must start. I’d sit him this week if you can find a better option.

                Leaonard Hankerson @ TEN – He’s gone 5 for 50 yards the last two weeks combined, and that was with a banged up Julio Jones struggling to run around. On 10 days rest, I expect Julio to be back to normal with a monster game, with less targets to go around. The Tennessee secondary is very strong, and Hankerson may not get many opportunities. Look for the Titans to play the Falcons very tough this week. Roddy White also saw an uptick in targets last week. Hankerson is not a fantasy starter this week.

Tight End

Crockett Gillmore @ ARI – Arizona is the best team in the league vs the tight end and he’s only really had one good game. He’s only had one game with more than 3 receptions, and he is still coming back from his injury. I’m not buying the Crockett Gillmore stock quite yet, especially because he is still splitting time at the position. He’s not someone I’m streaming at tight end this week.

Defense


                Minnesota @ DET – Detroit looked pretty good last week and Minnesota isn’t really getting to the quarterback, with only 10 sacks on the year. With Minnesota on the road, there are better options this week if you are streaming a defense. In fact, Detroit vs Minnesota might even be better.  

Saturday, October 10, 2015

Start em’ if you got ‘em – Week 5

Adam Stoczynski
Bitter Chicago sports fan, wagering enthusiast, self-proclaimed sports expert
@AllAboutSto on twitter



Remember last week when I said not to panic? Well that was for week 4. Now it’s week 5 and we aren’t feeling out our rosters anymore. We know what we have, for better or worse. Last week I said not to sit studs that started a little slow. That worked out for a few (Hill, Brees, Bradford) and not so well for others (CJ, Calvin, Lacy). I’m still not panicking as we move into week 5. There’s a fine line for when to buy or sell low on players who look like current busts. For me I’d rather buy these guys when their stock is this low, and hope they turn it around with a ton of time still left in the 2015 season. I know it’s frustrating to own some of these guys, let’s give them time, don’t go selling off your team because the season is looking bleak early. This is also the perfect time to pick up young guys who have a chance to bust out in the next few weeks that people may have given up on too early. If you have the bench space to stash guys like Nelson Agholor, DaVante Parker, Andre Williams, Tevin Coleman, Dorial Green-Beckham, Charles Johnson, Julius Thomas, or Brian Quick, I would go and grab them if you can. Some of these guys are going to pop, and will be a huge part of a late season championship run.

It wasn’t my best week in week 4, but you win some, you lose some. Here’s the starts and sits of week 5, let’s get a W.

Start ‘em if you got ‘em

Quarterback

Alex Smith vs CHI – Cam Newton is the only starting fantasy QB on bye, so if you have him like I do, Alex Smith is a good bet to have a nice game as a bye week fill-in. The Chiefs return home for the first since week 2 to play one of the worst D’s in the league. Smith is coming off a career high in passing yards, but he did not throw a TD. He won’t throw it as many time as he did last week, but 2 touchdowns this week are not out of the question vs the less than formidable Bears. Watch for Smith to sprinkle in some rushing yards as well.

Eli Manning vs SF – Eli is on a roll, throwing for at least 2 touchdowns in his last 3 starts. He’s yet to break the 300 yard mark this season, but I wouldn’t be surprised if he does that this week vs San Fran. Their D held Aaron Rogers in check last week at home in SF, but have been just abysmal on the road. Carson Palmer and Big Ben torched the Niners in weeks 2 and 3 for a total of 680 yards and 5 TD’s. I like Eli with San Francisco traveling once again.

Running Back

Danny Woodhead vs PIT – This Melvin Gordon thing just isn’t working yet. Danny Woodhead has been very productive and I think he can do the same in this spot on Monday night. Last week he totaled over 130 yards on 12 touches. San Diego clearly loves this swiss army back, and he should get good use vs a Pittsburgh defense that gave up good production to similar backs in Justin Forsett and Dion Lewis.

T.J. Yeldon @ TB – Coming off his first 100 yard game in the NFL, Yeldon has to feel good heading into week 5 where he faces one of the worst rush defenses in the league. With Tampa Bay giving up over 135 yards per game on the ground and Yeldon being the workhorse in Jacksonville (carried it 22 times last week), this rookie is a solid RB 2 in week 5.

Wide Receiver

John Brown @ DET – He’s been quiet this year, but is coming off his most productive game, having 10 targets for 7 catches and 75 yards. Detroit is in the lower half of the league vs the pass, but why do I love John Brown to boom this week? Besides playing the odds and knowing he’s due, I love his speed on the Detroit turf. John Brown is one of the fastest guys in the league and Arizona tried getting him the ball a few different way last week via screens and even had a rush for 13 yards.

Kamar Aiken vs BAL – Cleveland cannot stop anyone through the air and Aiken is now the number 1 receiver in Baltimore due to poor depth and the Steve Smith Sr. injury. He had 7 targets last week with Smith in and out of the game. Aiken should get at least that many looks this week as the full time number one. I’m not saying Aiken is the best receiver ever, but I like the volume he should be getting. I’m starting him as a solid number 3 WR this week.

Tight End

Travis Kelce vs CHI – Remember, I watch this Bears team every week. These are the least athletic linebackers in the league. Not one can stay with Kelce when he gets going. He’s been quiet since week 1, but watch him explode this week. He’s part of the reason I like Alex Smith so much this week. Kelce will score and he will most likely follow it up with a great celebration… enjoy.

Defense

Houston vs IND – If someone in your league gave up in them after last week’s debacle, go pick ‘em up like I did and start ‘em tonight vs the old and immobile Matt Hasselbeck. I saw what happened last week vs Atlanta, but you can do worse than having Watt, Clowney, and company as your fantasy defense. The production with sacks, turnovers, and touchdowns will always be there from them, even if they are giving up the points.

Kansas City vs CHI – After back-to-back bad weeks, these guys may be available in your league as well. Go pick them up if you are in need of a defense. They haven’t got to the quarterback the last few weeks, but this week vs the Bears, they should be ready to go. The crowd in KC will be rocking as the Chiefs face an early season must win. Plus, Cutler lives to give the ball to the other team.

Sit ‘em and quit ‘em

Quarterback

Andy Dalton vs SEA – Since Kam Chancellor returned in week 3, the Seahawks have yet to give up a touchdown. I know Dalton has been on fire, but look for him to cool off this week. If you’ve been relying on him lately, hopefully the QB you originally drafted has a good matchup this week. I’d let Dalton ride the pine in week 5. Seattle has only given up a total of 266 yards passing in the last 2 weeks. Sure, they were at home for both games and one was against Jimmy Clausen, but still… 266 yards… in 2 games.

Matthew Stafford vs ARI – How’s that saying go? If it ain’t broke don’t fi… ehh no, that doesn’t apply here. If it’s broke leave it in the corner and don’t touch it? Yea, something like that. Either way, I’m doubling down on the sitting of Stafford. I was correct last week and I’m sticking with it. He’s done nothing the last 2 weeks and now faces a mad Arizona team that’s coming off a tough divisional loss. That heartbreaking loss for Detroit vs Seattle on Monday can do one of two things to them. It can either motivate them or deflate them, and I’m going with the latter.

Running Back

                Joseph Randle vs NE – Struggling Dallas gets New England off 10 days of rest, yikes. I’m staying away from all things Dallas this week. Randle seems to be getting the biggest piece of the carries pie in Dallas, but got benched late last week for reaching the ball into the end zone. I don’t see Randle’s carries getting cut, but it’s a tough matchup vs New England, and I don’t think the Cowboys will be able to stick to their run game this week.

                Carlos Hyde @ NYG – He had more rushing yards in week 1 than he did in weeks 2, 3, and 4, combined. The Giants also lead the league in rush defense, giving up just under 70 yards per game. It’s going to be a tough go for Hyde as they go across the country to face the Giants in New York, who need a win to get over .500.

Wide Receiver

                Any Buffalo WR @ TEN – In terms of yards, the Titans are one of the best teams vs the pass. Buffalo has a tough draw here as they head to Tennessee after their bye week. The Titans are going to play the Bills very tough, and I wouldn’t be surprised if they win straight up. All of these guys seem to be banged up this week, and instead of looking for someone who may emerge, I’m staying away altogether. If you want someone from the Bills offense, look to grab tight end Charles Clay.

                Terrance Williams vs NE – See Joseph Randle as far as the whole Patriots after their bye week thing. The Pats have been scheming for 2 weeks to stop Dallas, and I’m guessing they will succeed in doing so. It took a late diving catch in the end zone by Williams on Sunday night to make his fantasy day relevant. He hasn’t been good since Dez went out, but especially since Romo left. Stay away from Williams, he’s not helping anyone right now.

Tight End


Heath Miller @ SD – I liked him last week and that was a total dud. Vick wasn’t seeing him and has just not been involved at all. He’s not usable at the moment, plus Bryant comes back this week from suspension. Vick has to feed Bryant and Brown, plus there’s Bell, and just not enough volume to go around for good ol’ Heath.