Thursday, October 31, 2013

PLAYER RANKINGS - Week 9

PLAYER RANKINGS - Week 9
 
 
By Michael H. Osinski
@mhosinskiLLP
 
 
This whole week has been about me being teed off that Mike Vick re-injured that hamstring. As I mentioned in the Roster Management Column earlier this week, I have him in 2 of my 3 leagues this year and have always had him. (Even when he was in ATL)
 
I picked up my wife and our new dog at the airport once wearing a Vick jersey (Got a bunch of puzzled looks for that one).
 
So excuse me this week as I am still in mourning. I actually pulled the trigger on waiving Vick in one league(got Pryor). Still have to deal with him in my league of record. Weighing trade offers to get Pryor or Dalton against just going to the un-trusty waiver wire. Yup, the wheels are coming off The Acquitted's season. (Lost Vick, Julio, Amendola, Dwilson, LFitz for a bit...and I drafted Spiller...go figure)
 
Since I generally only carry 1 QB, I have had to spend a lot time this week looking at matchups and some this week are pretty tasty.
 
QB
 
Ok, I had Stafford #2 last week. (Manning #1) We whiffed on RGIII and underestimated Cam last week. Pretty much the rest of the list played chalk. We did say to stay away from Campbell who had a nice little game. (And, ironically, if I don't make a trade to cover the Vick spot, Campbell is my choice...yuck!)
 
This time of year, it becomes about match ups.
 
1. Cam Newton (CAR): ATL is getting shredded. Cam is hot. Carolina might squeeze into playoffs.
2. Tony Romo (DAL): MIN is just not stopping anyone.
3. Aaron Rodgers (GB): CHI secondary is banged up.
4. Phil Rivers (SD): Skins getting tanned by everyone.
5. Drew Brees (NO): NYJ a tough matchup, but Brees has momentum.
6. Jake Locker (TEN): O-line is better than SEA's right now...
7. Andrew Luck (HOU): Lots of guys on bye...otherwise, he is no better than 10.
8. Matt Ryan (ATL): Really needs a running game.
9. Terrelle Pryor (OAK): It's Philly.
10. Russell Wilson (SEA): 7-1 will help you forget about Monday.
11. Alex Smith (KC): Only because 6 teams and 4 good QBs on bye.
12. Nick Foles (PHI): The rest of the matchups kinda suck.
 
Just out: RGIII (WSH);  Tom Brady (NE)...only cuz he is Brady; Jason Campbell (CLE)
 
Stay away: Ryan Tannehill (MIA); Geno Smith (NYJ)
 
RB
 
We whiffed on McCoy and Lynch, and underestimated Stacy and Ellington.
 
Gore, Moreno and Bush on bye. OK, all those Giants backs and MJD on bye as well.  That being said...
 
1. Jamaal Charles (KC): He is good. Reid using him better than he ever used McCoy.
2. Matt Forte (CHI): Journeyman QBs tend to lean on versatile RBs.
3. Ray Rice (BAL): Not a typo...they are gonna give him the ball until he pukes.
4. Ryan Mathews (SD): Chargers are gonna score 40.
5. Adrian Peterson (MIN): Monte Kiffin should be looking for his next job.
6. Marshawn Lynch (SEA): I am guessing he is mad/embarrassed about Monday.
7. Eddie Lacy (GB): Let's see...20 carries/5 yds per carry/1 td...
8. Darren McFadden (OAK): They are not stopping anything.
9. Stevan Ridley (NE): A mini-roll and a team spiraling down.
10. Arian Foster (HOU): Unfavorable matchup and a bit ouchy.
11. LeSean McCoy (PHI): OAK aint so bad on defense this year.
12. DeMarco Murray (DAL): Good matchup. He gonna play?
13. Alfred Morris (WSH): Give him the ball (not Helu).
14. Zac Stacy (STL): I am beginning to believe.
15. Giovani Bernard (CIN): NE ran on the Phins.
16. Le'Veon Bell (PIT): Rebounds nicely.
17. Danny Woodhead (SD): All in the passing game.
18. Mike James (TB): Come on...Zac Stacy went for 120!
19. Lamar Miller (MIA): CIN is pretty good.
20. Chris Johnson (TEN): Has a better O-line right now than SEA.
21. Trent Richardson (IND): Starting to lose faith.
22. Steven Jackson (ATL): Did have 14 touches last week.
23. DeAngelo Williams (CAR): Assuming he is healthy.
24. Chris Ivory (NYJ): Not a great matchup, but watch out if NO get way ahead early.
25. Darren Sproles (NO): They get him involved this week.
 
Just out: FJax/Spiller...not sure who is playing...and they play KC. Pierre Thomas...Mike Tolbert gets TDs.
 
WR
 
We had Megatron 1 and Dez 2. Nelson 5. Ok Ok...We did not have Marvin Jones. Let's not get out of control here. He is gonna be the waiver wire favorite this week. Good for him. Let someone else in your league waste the waiver claim on him. Kinda like Eddie Royal earlier this year.
 
Anyway...Megatron, LFitz, Welker/DThomas/Decker, Boldin, VCruz, Blackmon/Shorts all on bye. Good luck finding a WR3 this week.
 
1. Dez Bryant (DAL): He'll get more than 6 targets this week.
2. Jordy Nelson (GB): Nobody else is left and CHI secondary is banged up.
3. Keenan Allen (SD): Out on a limb a little here, but come on, it's the Skins.
4. Josh Gordon (CLE): Campbell is no dummy...this guy is good.
5. DeSean Jackson (PHI): Foles at QB.
6. Pierre Garcon (WSH): Still waiting for a huge game, but consistency is good too.
7. AJ Green (CIN): Low this week cuz MIA good vs pass.
8. Steve Smith (CAR): ATL not stopping much these days. Cam going off this week.
9. Denarius Moore (OAK): Only about the matchup.
10. Vincent Jackson (TB): If Glennon goes 15 for 50, VJax still catches 8 of those.
11. Brandon Marshall (CHI): Back up QBs are generally looking at the guys they practiced with.
12. Andre Johnson (HOU): New QB.
13. Antonio Brown (PIT): NE good, he probably gets a TD.
14. Harry Douglas (ATL): CAR a bit tougher, but he still sees 12 targets.
15. Marques Colston (NO): Led Saints in targets last week. Comeback comes this week.
16. TY Hilton (IND): #1 option now.
17. Alshon Jeffery (CHI): Ditto what I wrote in #11.
18. Torrey Smith (BAL): Draws Haden again.
19. Terrance Williams (DAL): No Austin. No problem.
20. Kendall Wright (TEN): Consistent.
21. Mike Wallace (MIA): Because it is a bye week for many good WRs.
22. James Jones (GB): Assuming he is healthy.
23. Jarret Boykin (GB): Higher if Jones is out.
24. Lance Moore (NO): Healthy again.
25. Golden Tate (SEA): Not sure about Harvin...but if Percy is healthy, Percy is 10 and Tate is not 25.
 
Just out: Nate Washington, Stevie Johnson, Vincent Brown
 
Stay away from Marvin Jones, Kenny Stills...let someone else take that gamble.
 
TE
 
No Thomas. No Davis. We don't even get a chance to see Joseph Fauria do that "silly-whiteboy dance."
 
We were pretty OK in a week light on TE scoring (save Graham and Reed).
 
1. Rob Gronkowski (NE): Unless Amendola is 100%, Gronk will get 15 targets.
2. Jimmy Graham (NO): Seems sacrilegious to put him #2, but he does have a foot problem and only saw a handful of targets last week.
3. Jordan Reed (WSH): SD hasn't been great vs. TEs and Reed has become RGIII's #2 option.
4. Antonio Gates (SD): WSH not stopping anyone and Gates has had a nice comeback this year.
5. Kyle Rudolph (MIN): Doesn't matter who QB is, DAL won't stop him.
6. Greg Olsen (CAR): ATL unraveling on defense.
7. Jason Witten (DAL): MIN not playing great defense.
8. Tony Gonzalez (ATL): Too many defenses keying on him.
9. Martellus Bennett (CHI): Maybe some checkdowns from backup QB.
10. Charles Clay (MIA): Just a hunch he sees another TD.
11. Heath Miller (PIT): Ben's security blanket.
12. Anthony Fasano (KC): The eye test tells me he is good.
 
Just out; ZMiller, Tim Wright, Tyler Eifert
 
DEF
 
We didn't have DEN in the top 10 last week, but we did have the rest...just not in the correct order.
 
1. KC...When your QB is named Thad...
2. SEA...another rookie QB
3. IND...Keenum? Yikes. They have already beat Manning, Wilson and Kaepernick.
4. TEN...Clemens at QB
5. NO...Rookie QB
6. DAL...Not sure who plays QB. Not sure it matters.
7. CIN...Tannehill gets picked twice, sacked 5 times.
8. NE...Ben gonna throw 3 picks.
9. OAK...Philly turns it over...especially if Foles cant play.
10. CAR...Ryan keeps getting picked off.
 
K
 
Teams that score....
 
1. Nick Novak (SD)
2. Adam Vinateri (IND)
3. Mason Crosby (GB)
4. Sebastian Janikowski (OAK)
5. Stephen Gostkowski (NE)
6. Garrett Hartley (NO)
7. Dan Bailey (DAL)
8. Ryan Succop (KC)
9. Caleb Sturgis (MIA)
10. Matt Bryant (ATL)
 
 
Good luck this week. I can answer any roster, trade or line up questions at @mhosinskiLLP..

Coulda Woulda Shoulda week 8

Article published for the FakePigskin.com. Be sure to check them out for other great information regarding Fantasy Football.
cws week 8
As this continues to build, I have been taking all of your suggestions into consideration, and have decided to make a change to the format of the column. I hope it is now a little easier to read, and flows a little nicer. I have been completely consumed with the start of the NBA Season and, if you are into Basketball, I invite you to check out my team by team Previews for both the Eastern and Western Conferences. In a week where six teams were on a Bye, the ones that did play provided plenty of excitement. In particular, the Receiving numbers put up in Week 8 were nearly record setting. I hope your teams found success, and you are looking good for the start of the Playoff push! Don't forget, your comments are welcomed and appreciated. Find me on Twitter...
Follow Andy Singleton on Twitter!
Follow @PeoplezPen
Quarterbacks
Andy Dalton continued his barrage on opposing secondary’s as he eclipsed 300 yards through the air for the third straight week. This time he upped the ante on TD passes, totaling 5, and it was not AJ Green who was the beneficiary. If you are a regular reader of this column, you will know that I have been preaching patience with the “Ginger Flinger”. He now has a league best 1,034 yards passing, with 11 Touchdowns to just 2 Interceptions over the past three games. The best part of his streak has been the development of Mohamed Sanu and Marvin Jones, giving Dalton a plethora of explosive targets. Expect his torrid play to continue as he pushes his way into the Top 5 amongst the position. Drew Brees was his typical self, taking advantage of a young Bills defense for 332 yards and 5 scores. Matthew Stafford fell just 12 yards shy of passing for 500 yards, but remarkably only had 1 Touchdown through the air. Incredible to think he threw the length of 5 fields, and only once was able to have one break the plane of the End Zone. Mike Glennon continues to be consistent, despite his teams real life struggles. The Rookie has yet to put up eye popping statistics, but he is averaging nearly 250 yards per game with 1.5 TD’s. There are far worse backups for your fantasy roster, and at this point he can be considered a reliable Bye week Start. Tom Brady somehow led the Patriots to a come from behind win, while nursing a badly swollen throwing hand. His team may have won, but his fantasy owners suffered to the tune of 116 yards with a TD as well as an INT. The most notably wretched performance from the Quarterback position came from who I selected as a “Pass ‘Em” last week, the Redskins own Robert Griffin III. Many have stated he seems to be improving and returning to the success he found as a Rookie, but all I saw was a confused and indecisive signal caller. RG3 could not get anything going against the Broncos defense, not even on the ground as a rusher. He will have his games here and there, and the potential will be evident, but he is too inconsistent for me to feel comfortable with as a must Start.
Running Backs
Week 8 offered a couple of notable performances from Running Backs, but a couple is where it ends. Only two players, Andre Ellington and Zac Stacy, were able to surpass the 100 yard mark. Several came close, finishing in the low 90’s and high 80’s, but there were record breaking performances. Eddie Lacy continues to be steady around the 100 yards per game mark, and this week he even threw in a score and 4 receptions. Stevan Ridley appears to be over his early season woes, and is back to being the feature in New England’s revolving door of RB’s. Some poor performances that stood out were Roy Helu returning to Earth; Stephen Jackson offering nothing in his return; Marshawn Lynch being held to just 23 yards; Darren Sproles who hauled in 4 catches for literally no gain; and Giovanni Bernard who may have been the beneficiary of rest time in his team’s blowout of the Jets. Of the big names mentioned, Lynch is the biggest enigma. With Sidney Rice now out for the year, and Percy Harvin still not officially cleared to play, opposing Defenses should continue to stack the box against the Seahawks. It certainly worked in the Rams favor, and although he should receive more than just 8 carries in a game, Lynch appears to be in an uphill battle for the time being. He is someone I would be cautious with until further notice.
Wide Receivers
This past weekend was tremendous for multiple WR’s, as seven were able to break past the 100 yard barrier. Easily, the best performance was turned in by Mega talent, Megatron, Calvin Johnson, who finished with a whopping total of 329 yards on 14 receptions. Worse than him not breaking the single game NFL record (Flipper Anderson 336 yards), was the fact that he only found the End Zone one time. You would think a yardage total like that would result in say, 4 TD’s or so, which happened to be achieved. However, that performance came in Cincinnati at the expense of my New York Jets, and it was not from somebody Green. Bengals second year man Marvin Jones exploded onto the national scene with his performance. He will be a hot Waiver Wire name this week and rightly so, as he has now scored in three straight games while getting his fair share of targets. If it were not for his big game, Saints WR Kenny Stills might be the most sought after addition, as he hauled in three catches for 129 yards and 2 TD’s. I was pleasantly surprised to see recently named starters Harry Douglas and Jarrett Boykin, turn in solid follow up games. It is proof enough for me that they will continue to be top WR’s for the remainder of the season, garnering many targets from their elite Quarterbacks. Not surprising were the days of Danny Amendola and Dwayne Bowe. I have been a huge backer of Bowe’s, but even now I am ready to wave the white flag. He is the most talented pass catcher on a team that is now 8-0, yet he has been anything but dominant, let alone noticeable. I still do not think you should cut him completely, but even a great matchup should keep him on your bench. Amendola is becoming a liability for reasons beyond just his health concerns. Tom Brady has only one favorite target on the Patriots current roster, and that man is Gronk. The Receivers in New England are becoming very much like the Running Backs: a guessing game as to who has the hot week. I was quite disappointed with the play of Jeremy Kerley and Justin Blackmon, but both were victim to poor play from their QB’s. If the Jets season long trend continues, they should be very competitive in Week 9 against the Saints, and Kerley will benefit. If you are limited at WR, he is worth a play. Blackmon is too good to fall into a prolonged slump. I would start him with confidence, but view as a low end WR2 for the time being.
Tight Ends
The most frustrating thing in Fantasy Sports, are without question injuries. Even more so, is when they are your stud players and their status is questionable. Case and point Jimmy Graham, who was sketchy to play, and if he did was unlikely to play long. Many owners begrudgingly kept him benched as a result of his partially torn fascia, and that turned out to be a devastating blow. He only managed 3 catches for 37 yards, but two of those catches went for scores. As a result, even on a poor day for him personally, he still found his way to the top of the Tight End leaderboard. Rookie sensation Jordan Reed turned in another solid outing, compiling 8 receptions for 90 yards. He is rapidly becoming one of the best TE’s in the game, and if he can find more trips to the End Zone could potentially challenge Graham for top honors. Julius Thomas was limited due to an injury, but it does not appear to be serious or anything that will hold him back this week. One player to monitor is the pre-season dynamo Zach Sudfeld. He not only started for his new team, the Jets, but he also caught his first two balls of the entire season (and his career). Jeff Cumberland, who was starting to emerge, sustained a concussion in the game but is not expected to miss any time. Even still, Sudfeld may have a chance as he is the man of unlimited opportunity.
Play 'Em/Pass 'Em I take some heat for some of the guys who appear on this list, but more often than not they are accurate. It is a hypothesis, not an exact science. I will remind you: It is always better when I am asked to choose between specific players. Randomly picking guys from a roster that includes the entire league does not completely paint the picture for your individual team. You can do this by leaving your question in the comment section, emailing me at PeoplezPerspective@gmail.com, or asking on Twitter. There are six (6) teams on a bye again this week, so the pickings remain slim. Here are some of the guys I do and do not like...
Week 9 Byes: Denver, Detroit, New York Giants, Arizona, San Francisco, Jacksonville
Quarterback
Play 'Em: Jake Locker, TEN (@ STL) He will have had two full weeks to rest and heal. Through 5 games he has thrown for 8 TD's and only 1 INT. Week 9 will put him on everyone's radar. 
Pass 'Em: Andy Dalton, CIN (@ MIA) This is not to say I think he will have a poor performance, but the Dolphins will be fired up after letting up against NE in Week 8. A big game is not in the cards.
Running Back
Play 'Em: Le'Veon Bell, PIT (@ NE) Finally healthy, Bell has the ability to be an every down back for the Steelers. The Patriots are capable of giving up big chunks of yards, and Bell will take advantage.
Pass 'Em: Fred Jackson, BUF (vs KC) KC's defense is playing extremely well, and yards of any variety will be hard to come by for the Bills. Jackson will find it tough all day to find open holes.
Wide Receiver
Play 'Em: Jarrett Boykin, GB (vs CHI) Since Randall Cobb was lost for the season to injury, Boykin hasn't missed a beat in the Pack offense. 6+ targets in three straight games is no fluke.
Pass 'Em: Marvin Jones, CIN (@ MIA) This is more a product of Dalton being limited by the Dolphins than anything else. 4 TD's again is definitely out, so do not view him as on that level.
Tight End
Play 'Em: Coby Fleener, IND (@ HOU) The Colts have been decimated by injury this season, but fortunately had the Bye week to prepare for life without Reggie Wayne. Fleener's role will be increased.
Pass 'Em: Timothy Wright, TB (vs SEA) Though Mike Glennon has shown some come consistency with production, the same is not true of his chemistry with the Rookie TE. This is another down week.
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Mailbag
Because of my attention to the opening of the NBA Season, the Mailbag will not appear this week. Sorry for any inconveniences.
Thanks again for the continued and growing support! If you are a Facebook user, please "Like" the new page. If you like the column, please refer a friend - it will make the world a better place. Have a great week and good luck in your games!

Wednesday, October 30, 2013

ROSTER MANAGEMENT - WEEK 9

By Michael H. Osinski
@mhosinskiLLP
 
 
Michael Vick. The last 10 years of Fantasy Football (at least for me) has been about Vick. I am wearing a jersey as I type this. I always seem to have him on my team(s).  Two teams this year.
 
One time after landing in the airport, I stayed in the airport bar to watch a Falcons-Eagles playoff game delaying the cab ride home.
 
Why in a column on roster management am I spending so much time on Michael Vick? Well, as I said, I have Vick in 2 of my 3 leagues. Yesterday I had the saddest Fantasy Football moment of my life when I hit "send" on the roster move replacing Michael Vick with Terrelle Pryor.
 
I did it. I waived Vick. I think I felt my own hamstring pop. I am still sad today. The fact of the matter is that team can still make the playoffs and I have to look ahead.
 
That brings me to the other "Vick League" and this column. My "League of Record." The wheels are falling off. I lost Vick, Julio Jones, Amendola, David Wilson. I have CJ Spiller. Somehow I can still make the playoffs. But it all starts with finding a replacement for Michael Vick.
 
QB
 
I am only carrying 1 QB. When Vick first went out, I lucked into Tannehill. He is not available now. The best guy available is Carson Palmer and he is on a bye week.
 
I ranked the QBs by Week 9 projected stats because I expect a couple QBs to land on the waiver wire after the big bye weeks. Josh McCown, Josh Freeman, Geno Smith, Jason Campbell, Case Keenum, Thad Lewis, Mike Glennon and Kellen Clemens. That's it!
 
I have trade feelers out for Pryor and Andy Dalton, but I am not optimistic. (Dalton would cost Larry Fitzgerald).
 
To complicate matters, the guy who owns Peyton Manning is only carrying 1 QB, Manning is on bye, and he has a better waiver priority than I. He has settled on McCown. I'm not sure why.
 
I don't like Freeman right now. Thad Lewis? Kellen Clemens? Mike Glennon?  Nope.
 
That leaves the final 3 I am considering: Campbell, Geno and Keenum.  They all have bad matchups. Geno throws too many picks and New Orleans is playing pretty good defense. I can't get my head around Case Keenum as a starter in the NFL.
 
So, unless Nick Foles lands back on the waiver wire, or my offer for Pryor is accepted...I am going to try and reach the playoffs with...gulp...Jason Campbell.
 
Twitter rumor had Tim Tebow in the Philly airport yesterday.
 
RB
 
We have had some pretty good luck finding RBs. We touted Andre Ellington in Week 5(and predicted the decline of Rashard Mendenhall). We knew Joe Randle was the guy to replace DeMarco Murray. We were right that Zac Stacy would win the job in STL.
 
Those days are over. The cubbard is bare. Half way through the season, only 8 RBs are on pace for over 1,000 yards. Geez, that's only 60 yards a game!
 
So who is available?
 
Well, if Ellington, Stacy, Peyton Hillis, Mike James or even Willis McGahee is available and you need to cover your Knowshon Moreno or Frank Gore byes, get them. If, like in my League of Record, they have already been snatched up, consider these options:
 
Brandon Bolden. LeGarrette Blount. I have Stevan Ridley in a league and yell at the TV anytime I watch the Patriots. But, the truth is, Bolden and Blount can approach 10 points in a standard scoring league.
 
Mike Tolbert gets goal line carries. I feel for De Angelo Williams owners. But if I needed a RB for a week, Tolbert is not a bad option
 
Trent Richardson is having trouble. I don't know whether he doesn't get the offense, or whether he is injured...or whether he is just not that good. This makes Donald Brown a decent option.
 
Other options that make a little sense include Daniel Thomas and Tashard Choice.  Talk about bottom of the barrel.
 
Also, if you can burn the roster spot for a couple weeks, Andre Brown and Shane Vereen are probably still out there.
 
WR
 
Marvin Jones is owned in our league. In most others he is not. He had 4 TDs! He actually had TD catches in the previous 2 weeks as well. ESPNs Matthew Berry started him last week.
 
Kenny Stills is available. I mentioned him a couple times this season (actually had him on the roster a week.) If you roster or play him, it's only in hopes you get a week like last week.
 
Truth is, there are some guys out there. They just are not much to look at.
 
The best of the bunch seem to be Kendall Wright, Lance Moore, Ted Ginn, Jr. and Aaron Dobson.
 
I don't know what to make of Rod Streater, David Nelson or even Dexter McCluster.
 
And, the Vikings still don't know what to do with Cordarelle Patterson. And Jacoby Jones belongs back on Dancing With The Stars.
 
In other words, it may be a good time to go look for a trade to get a guy who has had his bye already and looks to be getting stronger (Keenan Allen, Pierre Garcon, TY Hilton?)
 
TE
 
Lots of good TEs on bye. At least there are a couple starters hanging around. They are not Vernon Davis or Julius Thomas, but a couple have potential.
 
Garrett Graham is available. Tim Wright looks as if Glennon will throw his way. I like Anthony Fasano as well.
 
Stay away from Andrew Quarless. He is a blocker. Zach Miller and Scott Chandler are kind of the same guy. Roll the dice and maybe you get a 2 TD day.
 
I like Zach Ertz, but wouldn't get him until we figure out who will throw him the ball. 
 
Jordan Reed is long gone.
 
DEF
 
Last week I streamed Carolina. First time all year I ran with the same defense two weeks in a row. Didn't get the 20 I got Week 7, but most weeks a 9 is ok.
 
If you have SF, DEN you need someone. Dallas might be a good pick as they draw Minnesota. New Orleans draws the Jets. Tennessee gets the Rams.
 
K
 
Adam Vinateri may have been waived in your league because of his bye last week. He is dependable. Rob Bironas is back. Kai Forbath is healthy. I have Janikowski and figure to keep him against Philly.
 
Good luck this week! I can answer any specific line up or trade questions you have at @mhosinskiLLP

Fantasy Football Pick ups Week 8

Pickup Lines
by Tom O'Mara
@celtictso


"Just a good ol' boy, never meaning no harm..."
- Waylon Jennings


Wow. That's what I was thinking this past weekend... No, not because my beloved Jets got crushed by The Bengals (C'mon, I'm a Jets fan- i'm USED to that.... no I expect that!) My Wow was because the sight of one person transported me back to my early childhood. A time when finding a fourth person to play touch football in the street was a kid's biggest concern.

Catherine Bach, aka Daisy Duke, was standing in front of me. Find me any guy, who as a kid, didn't have the biggest crush on Daisy, and i'll show you someone who didn't own a television. The short denim shorts. The cutoff, tied in a knot, t-shirts. Everything about Daisy was flawless. Countless hours were spent by me, pretending, or should I say hoping, to be a Duke boy, running that illegal moonshine up and down Hazzard County. Blasting the most well known Dodge Charger's Horn as i jumped the cliffs trying to avoid being captured by Boss Hog's bumbling Police Officer, Rosco P. Coltrane... Seriously, how DID he get that job?!?!? Anyway... there she was, smiling at me, talking to me, being as sweet as I imagined. I was 12 again, and in love. Well, whatever love IS to a 12 year old. Then, she was gone. I was back to being a middle aged guy. The closest thing to running moonshine that I get to do is when i knock back a few on a friday night. No General Lee. (Just a Chrysler.) No jumping cliffs. (Maybe a few NYC potholes.) No Daisy.

Now, back in the early eighties, Daisy was flawless and she'll ALWAYS be, in my mind but Catherine Bach, as all of us do, has changed. She's grown older. She's had the plastic surgery (I think.) She's not perfect. But, again, in my mind, she'll always be. You can't let this happen to you with your Fantasy Teams. Whether it be baseball, football, hockey, basketball... it doesn't matter. Do NOT let someone stay perfect in your mind. I've made that mistake far too often. On all THREE of my fantasy teams this season, I have Marques Colston. Why not? He's Marques Freakin' Colston! He's got Drew Brees throwing him TD after TD. He's a cinch for 1000 yards... Well... turns out- he's no Daisy Duke. He's got 1 TD through 7 games, and about 350 yards... Seems like much more of a Rosco to me. Don't let name recognition, or memories of the past, clog your judgement. You need to look at future production and forget all about jumping those cliffs.





WAIVER WIRE PICKUPS
These are players that are available in leagues. As always, If Calvin Johnson or Tony Romo are available, please pick them up... and tell your friends to quit drinking all of Hazzard County's Moonshine!

Quarterbacks

Jake Locker
Locker is still available in a large number of leagues. He's coming off of the bye, which has given him more time to heal. And he has been a very productive QB over his last 3 tilts. With his weak schedule for the remainder of the season, he is a definite must add, especially for any Michael Vick owners who may be looking for a QB replacement, or bye week fill in.

Jason Campbell
Campbell is a serviceable QB who has never really gotten the credit that he deserves. He's not flashy, and his upside is pretty limited... He does play on the Browns, and who knows if their wide receivers will even BE on their roster after the trading deadline, but he does have experience, and actually looked very good this past week. 200-250 yards passing each week, with 2 TDs is what i would expect... especially since the Browns will be behind most games, and their running game is non-existant.

Running Backs

Andre Brown
Brown will be coming off the IR for the New York Giants in time for their next contest. They have a bye this week, and oh yeah... they still have no running game. Peyton Hillis is a bruising back that will be good around the goal line, or as a change of pace. Same thing can be said for Brandon Jacobs, when his hamstring is ready. But neither of them are a big play threat. Andre Brown, if he can stay on the field, gives the Giants that threat. He might be worth taking a chance on.

Donald Brown
Trent Richardson looks awful. I wonder if The Colts are regretting that trade yet. Richardson looks slow. He doesn't appear to be the same runner that he was last year... and remember, quit trying to jump those cliffs! Brown can get 15 touches in both the running game, and the passing game, and that can be very useful.

James Starks
Eddie Lacey is the starting RB in Green Bay, but he is a rookie and does need some relief. Now that The Packers have found a running game, they will continue to pound the ball. I see the offense becoming more of a 60/40 split between passing and running. Starks is another back that can catch or run the rock, and he'll get 10 touches a game, and in this offense, that may be all he needs.

Wide Receiver

Marvin Jones
4 TDs. He'll obviously be the hottest pickup of the week. He's available in most leagues but much like Cletus never getting Daisy, unless you're number 1 or 2 in priority, you probably won't get Jones. I do love a WR playing opposite AJ Green though. If you were a defensive coordinator, which one of those guys would YOU double cover, and gameplan for?

Kenny Stills
A big play receiver on the Saints, who may be a risky pickup. He has the potential for 100 yard games and a couple of scores... especially with Drew Brees slinging it down the field. However, Stills also carries the risk of a 2 catch 20 yard game. It's a hard offense to predict (other than Jimmy Graham) but if you're desperate and are swinging for the fences, Stills could be your Uncle Jesse.

David Nelson
Nelson, since being signed by the Jets, has been getting better every week. Geno Smith seems to trust him, and with both Jeremy Kerley & Jeff Cumberland hobbled, Nelson will continue to see most of the work in the passing game. Again, its not a great offense, but Nelson could be useful during bye weeks.
I'm off to practice sliding across the hood of my Chrysler (and then probably to the emergency room for X-rays on whatever bones I break!) I'll leave you with this last word from Bo and Luke Duke "YEEEEEEEEEEE HAAAAAAAAWWWWWW"

... as always, if you have any questions regarding your lineup/team or you just want to bash me for any bad advice, i can be found on twitter @celtictso

Good Luck this week.

"Someday the mountain might get 'em but the law never will."
-Waylon Jennings

Wednesday, October 23, 2013

FANTASY FOOTBALL PLAYER RANKINGS - Week 8

By Michael H. Osinski
@mhosinskiLLP
 
 
Right after this season's draft, owners were sitting around trash-talking. One owner piped in, "Look at Week 8 and Week 9 byes! Rough." Owners started going through their new rosters. The luster an owner sees in his newly drafted roster was already eroding. Poor guy who has a bunch of Broncos and 49ers Week 9. Another guy had Colts and Texans Week 8...and then had Richardson sent to Indy. It put an immediate damper on an entertaining draft.
 
Then, last Sunday, it was a very bloody Sunday. Big players going down. Some for the season.
 
In this week's Roster Management column, we did what we could to identify waiver wire pickups to cover byes and injured players. We found it wasn't easy because of the combination of injuries and a 6-team bye week. We found ourselves recommending guys that at the beginning of the season we didn't give a second thought. Come on, who drafted Mike James or Jarrett Boykin?
 
The other way to combat those problems are to have a better sense of matchups, new opportunities and which players are getting hot. Play a couple hot ones over someone with a poor matchup, and maybe you steal a victory or 2 during the heavier bye weeks and land in the playoffs.
 
So with that in mind, hopefully we rank well...
 
QB
 
Of the guys who didn't get hurt last week, we really didn't whiff on anyone except Brady. That seems to be happening more often these days (Buy low?) Romo just didn't have TDs. The yards were there. And, we were a little surprised by Alex Smith as he had put up single digits 3 of 4 weeks.
 
1. Peyton Manning (DEN): He's already a high rank. Now he gets a Skins team that made Josh McCown look good.
2. Matt Stafford (DET): Last week notwithstanding, teams have passed well against Dallas.
3. RGIII (WSH) : Denver hasn't stopped many teams and RGIII is heating up.
4. Mike Vick (PHI): Might run less and pass more vs. a team only Josh Freeman couldn't solve.
5. Drew Brees (NO): Mario Williams keeps winning DPOW, but teams keep throwing TD passes.
6. Colin Kaepernick (SF): Only this low because they figure to run whenever they want.
7. Aaron Rodgers (GB): Minny near the bottom vs. the pass.
8. Tony Romo (DAL): The Lions play an awful lot of shootouts.
9. Matt Ryan (ATL): No Julio, no Roddy, no problem.
10. Russell Wilson (SEA): It's on the road, but besides the Houston game, he's been pretty good.
11. Eli Manning (NYG): Philly scores so fast, you get extra chances.
12. Cam Newton (CAR): I'm counting on a decent bit of running points here.
 
Just out: Tom Brady (NE)...feels funny putting him here; Ben Roethlisberger (PIT) vs. OAK; Carson Palmer (ARZ)...not a typo!
 
Neutral: Ryan Tannehill (MIA); Andy Dalton (CIN); Terrelle Pryor (OAK)...all should have no better than average days.
 
Stay away: Josh Freeman (MIN) so he had a concussion! That explains a lot; Mike Glennon (TB); Jason Campbell (CLE)...The Cleveland Plain Dealer is already crafting his obituary.
 
RB
 
What happened to McCoy? Getting used to whiffing on Trent Richardson and CJ Spiller.
 
1. LeSean McCoy (PHI): NYG only stopped AP because they knew Freeman couldn't throw. Vick can.
2. Frank Gore (SF): He is better than Mathews and Woodhead.
3. Marshawn Lynch (SEA): He is on a pretty good roll.
4. Jamaal Charles (KC): He's pretty much matchup proof these days. Leads the team in targets as well.
5. Knowshon Moreno (DEN): Forte put up around 100 and 3 TDs on Skins.
6. Eddie Lacy (GB): Because he is better than Peyton Hillis.
7. Adrian Peterson (MIN): They have got to fix the passing game a little.
8. Alfred Morris (WSH): Denver can be run on.
9. Reggie Bush (DET): The Lions score a lot of points and Bush is a big part of it.
10. Stevan Ridley (NE): Can't figure out the workload, but he is gaining momentum anyway.
11. Fred Jackson (BUF): This assumes Spiller sits and rests his ankle this week.
12. Darren McFadden (OAK): Not convinced by Steelers yet.
13. Darren Sproles (NO): I expect lots of screens/checkdowns to beat Mario and the front line.
14. Le'Veon Bell (PIT): He isn't too bad.
15. DeAngelo Williams (CAR): This assumes Stewart doesn't start getting carried until next week.
16. Chris Ivory (NYJ): Last week was what we thought we'd get from him. Get used to it.
17. Giovani Bernard (CIN): NYJ pretty good vs. the run.
18. SJax/Quizz (ATL): one or both will land about here.
19. Pierre Thomas (NO): Quietly putting up good numbers without worrying about Ingram.
20. Maurice Jones-Drew (JAX): They'll get behind and have to pass, so this might be optimistic.
21. Roy Helu (WSH): 12-14 touches in the "Turbo" package.
22. Joseph Randle (DAL): Splits more with Dunbar this week.
23. Lamar Miller (MIA): I remain optimistic.
24. Zac Stacy (STL): Gonna get carries, but he faces SEA>
25. Andre Ellington (ARZ): ATL defense banged up a bit.
 
Just out: BJGE (CIN); Mike James (TB); Brandon Bolden (NE)
 
Stay away: Any of NYG; Any CLE; Any DAL RB not Randle
 
WR
 
We whiffed on Blackmon and D. Thomas last week. Nicks/Cruz too. We were not as optimistic about VJax as we could've been. On the other hand, we knew not to play LFitz and Harry Douglas.
 
Not sure what to do with Harvin yet, so we are leaving him out.
 
1. Calvin Johnson (DET): Back where he belongs.
2. Dez Bryant (DAL): I expect a shootout in this game, with Dez just about matching Megatron.
3. Wes Welker (DEN): Another shootout.
4. Pierre Garcon (WSH): Both teams are going to score...a lot.
5. Jordy Nelson(GB): #1 target before Finley goes out.
6. Demaryious Thomas (DEN): He will surface this week.
7. AJ Green (CIN): They won't be able to run so well.
8. Justin Blackmon (JAX): Expect them to be playing from behind a lot.
9. DeSean Jackson (PHI): The Giants didn't stop him last time.
10. Victor Cruz (NYG): Lots of shootouts coming this week.
11. Vincent Jackson (TB): Carolina is a better defense.
12. Antonio Brown (PIT): Oakland can be thrown on and he will get the lion's share of targets.
13. Larry Fitzgerald (ARZ): Better matchup than last week.
14. Steve Smith (CAR): TDs in 2 straight games. He is finally coming around.
15. Harry Douglas (ATL): Maybe not a repeat, but will still get 10 or more targets.
16. Eric Decker (DEN): 3 in the top 16!
17. Stevie Johnson (BUF): Haven't had him this high in a bit.
18. Marques Colston (NO): Likely will be good coming out of the bye.
19. Jarrett Boykin (GB): This assumes Jones is limited.
20. Julian Edelman (NE): This assumes Amendola out 1 more week.
21. Josh Gordon (CLE): KC will keep his numbers down.
22. Cecil Shorts (JAX): Again, playing from behind, and he is a week healthier.
23. Anquan Boldin (SF): SF won't have to throw much later in the game.
24. Terrance Williams (DAL): His streak is making people forget Austin.
25. Hakeem Nicks (NYG): Lots of TDs to spread around here.
26. Jeremy Kerley (NYJ): Geno is finding him pretty regularly.
27. Dwayne Bowe (KC): They made more of an effort to get him the ball last week. It'll continue.
28. Michael Floyd (ARZ): Actually seeing more targets than LFitz lately.
29. Rueben Randle (NYG): He is a legitimate threat each week now.
30. Mike Wallace/Brian Hartline (MIA): Take your pick.
 
Just out: Kris Durham (DET); D. Moore (OAK); Golden Tate (SEA)...assumes Harvin is out.
 
Stay away: MIN WRs;  Miles Austin (DAL); Mike Williams (TB) not quite healthy.
 
 
TE
 
TE has been the most predictable position all season. And, some of these guys are putting up numbers only Gronk and Graham had been putting up.
 
1. Ron Gronkowski (NE): I'm convinced. Watch him score a couple TDs.
2. Jimmy Graham (NO): The foot problem is gone evidently.
3. Vernon Davis (JAX): Becoming Kap's favorite.
4. Julius Thomas (DEN): 8 TDs already. He should be good for another  vs. Skins.
5. Jason Witten (DAL): Having yet another great season.
6. Tony Gonzalez (ATL): Would be higher but for the lack of Julio and Roddy means more attention on him.
7. Heath Miller (PIT): Ben's security blanket.
8. Greg Olsen (CAR): Cam's security blanket.
9. Jordan Reed (WSH): Had him coming out party last week. Good matchup this week.
10. Jordan Cameron (CLE): Would be higher if he were not playing KC.
 
Just out: Charles Clay (MIA); Kyle Rudolph (MIN); Rob Housler (ARZ)
 
 
DEF
 
Usually, because I stream a defense each week, I look to see who has JAX, the rookie QBs or the teams that don't take care of the ball so well. That approach isn't gonna work because the top defenses (The ones owned) get them this week.
 
1. SF: Because they get JAX
2. Carolina: This is who I found. Facing rookie QB.
3. SEA: Facing Clemens/Quinn/?
4. KC: Another messed up QB situation and what has been a hot defense.
5. GB: Freeman/Ponder/Cassel. Didn't they play Joe Webb in the playoff game?
6. NO: Sneaky good play (probably available) facing another messy QB situation.
7. CIN: Facing a good QB, but still an error-prone rookie.
8. NE: Becoming a top 10 pick each week.
9. PHI: Mostly for the turnovers since NYG will score.
10. CLE: It is Alex Smith
 
K
 
When in doubt take guys who play in domes, on turf or in games expecting a lot of scoring. So, Prater, Bryant, Hartley, Forbath, Henery are probably the top 5 in your preferred order.
 
The next 5: Gostkowski, Bailey, Walsh, Akers, Janikowski
 
Good luck all.
 
I can answer any questions at @mhosinskiLLP

Fantasy Basketball Top 25 Power Forwards for 2013-2014

By Hecman
http://www.hecmanhoops.com
@hecmanhoops 

Now that we’ve got the 2013-2014 fantasy basketball projections and rankings for the Top 25 Point Guards and the Top 25 Shooting Guards in the can, let’s move onto the big boys, the power forwards! Before we dive in, I want to answer a question that an astute reader recently asked me on Twitter. He complained that my Shooting Guard rankings didn’t have certain players on it, ie. Gordon Hayward and a few others who also play small forward. To be clear, I try to just rank the players at their primary position with some exceptions like say a Josh Smith who’ll play both small forward and power forward so I will throw him on both primary lists. However, don’t fret! Like last year, I will also be doing G, SG/SF, F and PF/C combined rankings for you guys. It’s all coming so don’t you worry your pretty little face. Ok, ok, off we go to the rankings and projections for the Top 25 Power Forwards for 2013-2014 Fantasy Basketball! (Google search terms!)
1. Kevin Love – Raise your hand if you got kicked in the nuts by Kevin Love last year. hecman slowly raises hand. I’m willing to let him kick me in the nuts again. He better not kick me in the nuts!
Projections: 25 ppg/13.5 rpg/2 apg/.450/.820/.8 spg/120 3s/40 blk/2.3 tov
2. LaMarcus Aldridge – Robin Lopez is his only competition for front court touches. Robin Lopez!
Projections: 22 ppg/9.1 rpg/2.5 apg/.495/.810/1 spg/0 3s/95 blk/2 tov
3  Serge Ibaka – It’s kind of ironic that a large man like Serge Ibaka can block 3 shots per but can only grab 7-8 boards per. I’m not complaining or anything though. Or am I?
Projections: 13 ppg/7.8 rpg/.5 apg/.560/.740/.5 spg/0 3s/240 blk/1.6 tov
4. Anthony Davis – Last year I had him ranked 8th best power forward despite not having ever played a single game in the NBA. Now I have him ranked 4th after a somewhat disappointing rookie year. I’m going loco!
Projections: 17.5 ppg/9.5 rpg/1.5 apg/.520/.750/1.3 spg/0 3s/175 blk/1.62 tov
5. Dirk Nowitzki – Only one player on the Dallas roster has a last name that starts with a letter after N. Interesting yet not really and also completely useless information! He’s now 35 and will have to slow down sometime but I doubt it’s this year.
Projections: 20 ppg/7.5 rpg/2.5 apg/.470/.870/.9 spg/85 3s/50 blk/1.52 tov
6. David Lee – Do you really feel threatened by Andrew Bogut taking away touches from D.Lee? How can someone take away touches while sitting in a suit on the bench? Rhetorical!
Projections: 18 ppg/9.7 rpg/3.2 apg/.510/.790/.8 spg/0 3s/30 blk/2.5 tov
7. Pau Gasol – Here’s what I told you last pre-season: “Now that he’s playing with an absolute monster in the front court, circumstantial evidence and my keen detective skills say his numbers can’t help but to take a slight hit. If the stats don’t fit, you must, um, lower your expectations? I know, it doesn’t rhyme but you get my drift.” Actually, it turned out even worse than anyone expected but can’t say I didn’t warn you. This year though it’s all good. Redemption! I’m on board with Pau. Jump on!
Projections: 17 ppg/9.6 rpg/3.5 apg/.510/.790/.5 spg/5 3s/115 blk/2.1 tov
8. Paul Millsap – From the frying pain into the fire. Paul goes from playing alongside Al Jefferson to Al Horford. Actually, he’s not going into the fire but it sounded good. He can’t get rid of guys named Al! The new Al doesn’t score as much though so I’m expecting very nice things from Paul. We’re all on a first name basis here. Clearly! Oh, he also never misses a game. Jinx!
Projections: 17 ppg/8.5 rpg/2.7 rpg/.500/.770/1.4 spg/5 3s/85 blk/2 tov
9. Josh Smith –  Smoove will probably be playing mostly small forward this season but should also play a lot of power forward so I’ll throw him on here for you. No longer in Atlanta and now playing with a deeper front court alongside Greg Monroe and Andre Drummond, I see Smoove taking an ever so slight step back in overall production. Don’t get me wrong, he doesn’t suck! Except his FT. That sucks.  
Projections: 16 ppg/7.8 rpg/3.8 apg/.466/.620/1.3 spg/55 3s/130 blk/2.5 tov
10. Blake Griffin – All the hata’s out there get off his jock, yo. Don’t hate. It’s bad for your health. Yes, he has some shortcomings but, come on, he’s not the plague!
Projections: 19 ppg/9.5 rpg/3.8 apg/.535/.650/1.2 spg/0 3s/55 blk/2.3 tov
11. Chris Bosh – What is not to like about Chris Bosh? I submit nothing! He’s just solid. Solid as a rock. Like the song! Anyone remember that song?
Projections: 17 ppg/7.5 rpg/1.8 apg/.515/.800/.9 spg/15 3s/105 blk/2 tov
12. Tim Duncan - Timmy Tim Tim definitely exceeded expectations last year, shocked the hell out of me if you want to know the truth. That said, I can’t see him doing it again at that level. I dare you Timmy, I triple dog dare you, Timmy!
Projections: 16.5 ppg/9.2 rpg/2.5 apg/.500/.770/.7 spg/0 3s/160 blk/2 tov
13. Greg Monroe - I think Greg needs a nickname, how can he not have a nickname! My vote is for G-Spot. You get it, he makes you feel good!
Projections: 16 ppg/9 rpg/3.5 apg/.510/.710/1.3 spg/0 3s/55 blk/2.8 tov
14. Derrick Favors – Hey, speaking of boards, Flava Favors is gonna grab a ton of them this season. A ton! He’s also going to block a ton of shots. You best get Flava Favors now while he’s cheap(er). You best do it!
Projections: 15 ppg/12 rpg/1 apg/.490/.680/1 spg/0 3s/200 blk/2.2 tov
15. Zach Randolph - Nevermind that the man has no neck, I think he’s in for a bounce back season. Just think, if he actually had a neck he’d be 3 inches taller. That’s probably worth at least an extra board per. Or do I mean his arms?
Projections: 16.5 ppg/10.5 rpg/1.5 apg/.480/.760/.8 spg/0 3s/35 blk/2 tov
16. Ersan Ilyasova - Will the real Ersan please stand up! For the second season in a row, Ilyasova had a great second half and I’m betting that, on this team, he’s going to finally put together a full consistent season. Barring injury, of course! But you already knew that. You’re so astute.
Projections:  16.5 ppg/9 rpg/1.5 apg/.450/.860/.9 spg/120 3s/50 blk/1.5 tov
17. Ryan Anderson - Not sure if many of you know but I’m a huge fan of the TV show The Bachelor and the Bachelorette. I’ve watched like every season. Hell, I even watch the Bachelor Pad! Maybe I just like to watch hot girls on TV and I’m a pervert, not sure. Anyhoo! I see another nice season out of Ryan. No reason why he won’t continue to do what he do. Do it for Gia, Ryan!
Projections: 16 ppg/6.3 rpg/1 apg/.435/.850/.5 spg/210 3s/30 blk/1.2 tov
18. Tobias Harris - I debated throwing Tobias in just the small forward rankings and he’ll be there too but since he’s starting at power forward with Glen Davis hurt, I’ll also throw him on this ranking. Yay! Either way, he should get big minutes while continuing his rise to fantasy stardom. He’s only 21 you know. You want him late or Josh Smith early? hmm.
Projections: 17 ppg/7.8 rpg/2 apg/.450/.740/.9 spg/80 3s/80 blk/1.9 tov
19. David West – West benefited greatly from Danny Granger’s injury last season and had a surprising bounce back year after his disastrous 2012-12 season. I expect his numbers to be somewhere in the middle this season. Like Malcolm!
Projections: 15.5 ppg/7.5 rpg/2.8 apg/.495/.790/.8 spg/0 3s/65 blk/2.1 tov
20. Carlos Boozer – You want some points, you get ‘em, son! You want some boards, you got those, too! You want solid FG? Suuuure. You want some steals? Ok, done! You want blocks? No blocks for you!
Projections: 15.5 ppg/8.5 rpg/2.3 apg/.510/.730/1.3 spg/0 3s/35 blk/2.1 tov
21. Kevin Garnett– So basically the whole Boston team is now the Nets. Too bad it’s not 2007. He’ll loses touches to … everybody! He’s ok in my book though.
Projections: 14 ppg/7.6 rpg/2.5 apg/.515/.820/1 spg/0 3s/70 blk/1.6 tov
22. Amir Johnson – I look at Toronto’s roster and I like what I see, this should be an interesting bunch to watch this season. There’s certainly talent! That leads us to Amir who should be the main main the the Raptors front court this season from start to finish. Barring injury! As a starter last year with 30+ minutes he was pretty darn good.
Projections: 11.5 ppg/8.5 rpg/1.8 apg/.530/.780/1 spg/0 3s/140 blk/1.9 tov
23. Kenneth Faried – I can’t see him jumping to another level now that J.J. Hickson is also in town. George Karl is a strange coach so you never really know who may get the big minutes. Just ask JaVale McGee! I’m largely avoiding the whole Denver front court situation if I can help it because I hate possible time shares. Who likes a time share? Still though, he’s not the plague either.
Projections: 11.5 ppg/9 rpg/1 apg/.550/.630/1 spg/0 3s/80 blk/1.4 tov
24. Andrea Bargnani – The Knicks just can’t help themselves. They love Italian players! See: Danilo Galinari. Anyway, this one isn’t as good and now he’s actually playing with some talented players so he’s no longer the alleged focal point of an offense. His numbers are a bit hard to project but I’ll take a stab at it anyway for ya. I care! Oh, I’m factoring in that he’ll get hurt at some point.
Projections: 11.5 ppg/4 rpg/2 apg/.440/.830/.6 spg/100 3s/50 blk/2 tov
25. Tristan Thompson - Even with opportunity last year (31 mpg), TT managed to disappoint a bit. Now Anderson Varajao is back, Andrew Bynum knees are in town and Anthony Bennett was the number 1 overall pick so we can reasonably deduce that Tristan isn’t going to improve on last year’s 11/9, block per. In fact, we’re looking at regression but he’ll have his moments I suppose. He’s worth a late grab since Varajao and Bynum are slightly injury prone. Just ever so slightly. Didn’t you notice!
Projections: 11.5 ppg/8 rpg/1 apg/.455/.622/.6 spg/0 3s/90 blk/2 tov
Bonus!
26. Jason Thompson – A rather unexciting power forward option, JT will be battling Patrick Patterson (Double P!) and Carl Landry for minutes. That means he’s capped at 27ish mpg which also means he aint that good. I’d take him over Landry and Double P though which is like saying I’d take 59o over 49o and 39o. I hope you know what I mean!
Projections: 10 ppg/6.7 rpg/1 apg/.505/.660/.6 spg/0 3s/60 blk/1.2 tov
27. Jared Sullinger – I like grabbing players left who have starting opportunities and this black Irish guy is just the kind of guy I”m talking about.
28. J.J. Hickson – Barring injury to others, at best he splits minutes and cocks the blocks of Kenneth Faried.
29. Anthony Bennett – He’s showing some nice flashes in pre-season, even hitting some threes but he fouls like a mo-fo. That’s gonna leave a mark if he keeps it up.
30. Cody Zeller - He’s not showing me much in pre-season other than some points and boards. Nary a block or steal! Yes, I used nary. Get over it. Opportunity is there though … for now.
31. Glenn Davis – Currently injured but Big Baby could be back to reclaim minutes. I never joke when it comes to babies.
32. Markieff Morris – He was around 10/6 and a block per last year as a starter though he only averaged 26 mpg in those starts. I guess he can only go up with Luis Scola now exited stage east. Channing Frye is back though don’t forget. Monkey wrench!
33. Kris Humphries – I know, I know. Kris Humphries, LOL! It’s about opportunity though, kids. Boston isn’t that great (understatement!) so with say 25ish mpg he might be able to do his thing. You know. Boards! Consider him an end game option if you’re looking for some extra boards. You can always launch!
34. Taj Gibson - Not sure if you heard but Joakim Noah is hurting already. Again!
35. Amar’e Stoudemire  – That apostrophe is almost as annoying as his knees! Not quite as annoying though.
36. Brandon Bass – Low level boards. Ho hum.
37. Luis Scola - He’ll be used just enough to annoy David West’s owners.
38. Carl Landry – Time sharing with Jason Thompson. I have JT higher for a reason.
39. Reggie Evans – The Nets are too deep this year. Too damn deep!
40. Donatas Motiejunas - I just like his name. I can’t help it!

Fantasy Basketball Top 25 Small Forwards for 2013-2014

By Hecman
http://www.hecmanhoops.com
@hecmanhoops 

Ok, ok, thus far we’ve covered the rankings and projections for the Top 25 Point GuardsTop 25 Shooting Guards and the Top 25 Power Forwards for 2013-2014 fantasy basketball. Today we’re going small, small forwards that is! I look at this group and I don’t think it aint so bad. Double negative! There are a bunch of guys middle to late who I wouldn’t mind taking a flyer on and neither should you. Let’s get to it, shall we?
1. Kevin Durant – He may not be able to beat Lebron for real but he kicks his booty in fantasy and we all know that’s what really counts!
Projections: 28.5 ppg/7.8 rpg/4.4 apg/.495/.880/1.3 spg/135 3s/100 blk/3.5 tov
2. Lebron James – If I have only one small complaint it’s the FT. Yes, I’m quibling but I’m bored!
Projections: 27 ppg/7.8 rpg/7.1 apg/.530/.755/1.6 spg/105 3s/60 blk/3.2 tov
3. James Harden – Went over him in the Top 25 Shooting Guards for Fantasy Basketball.
4. Paul George – Went over him in the Top 25 Shooting Guards for Fantasy Basketball
5. Carmelo Anthony – Doubt he averages 28+ ppg again but, hey, 26.5 aint bad! The threes have rocketed the last few years so  don’t be surprised if his FG is lower than I project.
Projections: 26.5 ppg/6.5 rpg/3 apg/.450/.825/1 spg/140 3s/35 blk/2.6 tov
6. Nicolas Batum – Great first half last season, meh second half. Put it all together and you still had a pretty wonderful season. If he doesn’t hit the wall this year, you’re looking at some serious, serious fantasy damage. To your opponents!
Projections: 15 ppg/6 rpg/4.8 apg/.440/.840/1.2 spg/170 3s/90 blk/2.5 tov
7. Rudy Gay – Rudy isn’t flashy. In fact, he’s kind of boring to own, not sure why. He can bore me to death anytime!
Projections: 18.5 ppg/6 rpg/2.7 apg/.440/.830/1.1 spg/115 3s/30 blk/2.6 tov
8. Josh Smith – Went over him in the Top 25 Power Forwards for Fantasy Basketball.
9. Klay Thompson –  Went over him in the Top 25 Shooting Guards for Fantasy Basketball.
10. Andre Iguodala – Went over him in the Top 25 Shooting Guards for Fantasy Basketball
11. Paul Pierce – I look at the Nyets roster and see it’s loaded. There’s only one ball! The good times should keep rolling for Paul though but, most likely, a little dip in his ppg. Just a hunch! Calculated.
Projections: 17 ppg/5.5 rpg/4.5 apg/.450/.830/1.1 spg/115 3s/30 blk/2.6 tov
12. Ersan Ilyasova - Went over him in the Top 25 Power Forwards for Fantasy Basketball.
13. Jeff Green – I just can’t wait to draft Jeff Green this year. All the hype is making everyone reach though. Like the Eric Bledsoe hype, that leaves little upside if you draft him too high. Just a thought! That’s what I do, I think. Sometimes.
Projections: 19 ppg/6 rpg/3 apg/.445/.790/1 spg/120 3s/75 blk/2.2 tov
14. Kawhi Leonard - I just looove Kawhi. Look at those percents! He’ll steal the ball, he’ll hit the 3 ball. He’ll even block the ball a bit. He best stay injury free now. Jinx!
Projections: 13 ppg/6.5 rpg/2 apg/.485/.820/1.8 spg/100 3s/50 blk/1.5 tov
15. Thaddeus Young - I was tempted to throw Tobias Harris here but decided to go with the veteran leadership that Thad brings. Every fantasy team needs a veteran leader for those pep talks during the hard times!
Projections: 15.5 ppg/7.5 rpg/1.8 apg/.510/.695/1.7 spg/5 3s/55 blk/1.5 tov
16. Tobias Harris - Went over him in the Top 25 Power Forwards for Fantasy Basketball.
17. Luol Deng – Tons of minutes and he needs every second to get to his stats. If his minutes slip even a little, you’ll be hating on him. If you aren’t already that is. Don’t hate!
Projections: 15.5 ppg/6.3 rpg/2.9/.430/.780/1 spg/85 3s/35 blk/1.8 tov
18. Gordon Hayward – If Marvin Fucking Williams cock blocks his minutes again, I’m going to hit the next Mormon I see! He better not block those minutes!
Projections: 15.5 ppg/4.5 rpg/3.5 apg/.445/.825/.9 spg/115 3s/40 blk/1.9 tov
19. J.R. Smith – Went over him in the Top 25 Shooting Guards for Fantasy Basketball.
20. Chandler Parsons - I told you to grab him week 1 last year and he never looked back. That’s what I do, I tell you who to grab every week. Hell, every day!
Projections: 15 ppg/5 rpg/3.3 apg/.475/.700/1 spg/150 3s/30 blk/2 tov
21. Tyreke Evans – Went over his ass in the Top 25 Shooting Guards for Fantasy Basketball
22. Kyle Korver – Went over him in the Top 25 Shooting Guards for Fantasy Basketball
23. DeMar DeRozan - Went over him in the Top 25 Shooting Guards for Fantasy Basketball.
24. Wilson Chandler - Short term I like him higher than this ranking so if you like to front load then go ahead and bump him up.
Projections: 16 ppg/5.6 rpg/2 apg/.455/.795/1.2 spg/100 3s/70 blk/2 tov
26. Evan Turner – Went over him in the Top 25 Shooting Guards for Fantasy Basketball
Bonus!
26. Corey Brewer - Very, very underrated. Sleeper! I see value all over this pick. Like Target!
Projections: 13 ppg/3.3 rpg/2 apg/.425/.690/1.5 spg/100 3s/30 blk/1.5 tov
27. Shawn Marion
28. Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
29. Earl Clark – Well I did his projections so I may as well throw them at you. This is assuming he gets the majority of minutes of the wondrous Alonzo Gee.
Projections: 9 ppg/6 rpg/1 apg/.440/.690/.7 spg/55 3s/60 blk/1.5 tov
29a. Metta World Peace
30. Danilo Gallinari – I always, always spell his name wrong and I’m half Italian. How embarrassing! Anyway, he’s out until at least December, most likely January so go ahead and stash him if you’d like. Or don’t. Your call.
31. Danny Granger - Only if he slides. Only if he slides.
32. Martell Webster - Threes! Plus I don’t love Trevor Ariza. I don’t even like him!
32. Vince Carter - Keeps on chuggin’!
33. Al-Farouq Aminu - Boards. Lots of ‘em if he gets minutes. Will he get minutes? Sometimes!
34. Tayshaun Prince - There is some value in getting minutes. It’s more valuable than no minutes!
35. Andrei Kirilenko
36. Nick Young
37. Moe Harkless - My auto-correct changed his last name to harmless. True story!
38. John Salmons
39. Jared Dudley
40. Matt Barnes
41. Steve Novak
42. Mike Dunleavy
43. Trevor Ariza
44. Gerald Wallace
45. Dorrell Wright
46. Otto Porter
47. Harrison Barnes
48. P.J. Tucker
49. Shane Battier
50. Francisco Garcia
51. Alonzo Gee
52. Kyle Singler
53. DeMarre Carroll
54. James Johnson

Fantasy Basketball Top 25 Shooting Guards for 2013-2014

By Hecman
http://www.hecmanhoops.com
@hecmanhoops

With the rankings and projections for the Top 25 Point Guards for Fantasy Basketball 2013-2014 (top 32 actually!) in the books, let’s move onto the sharpshooters, you know, the mostly lazy bones of fantasy basketball, the Top 25 Shooting Guards! It sounds pretty fun to play no defense and hang out by the three point line all day. I want that job! Anyway, unlike the point guard position which is fairly deep with some interesting upside guys, the shooting guard position, while a bit deep in numbers, is kind of meh in talent with the time shares and what not toward the end of the list. After intense consultation with my My Magic 8 Ball, who moonlights as a crystal ball in Manhattan on weekends, here are the rankings and projections we have come up with. If you don’t like what you see email my Magic 8 Ball at magic8ball@hecmanhoops.com. He’ll get back to you … like never!
1. James Harden – OMG, OMG. Jimmy Beard is a monster! LOL, ROFL, :) and what not. I expect a dip in points from his 25 per last year but tick his dimes up slightly. Trade off! In turnover leagues, he’s a little bit of a downer but you’ll live.
Projections: 24 ppg/6 apg/4.8 rpg/.445/.840/1.7 spg/170 3s/35 blk/3.4 tov
2. Stephen Curry – I went over him in my Top 25 Point Guards for Fantasy Basketball. Sorry to make you chase links. I hate that too!
3. Paul George – Here’s what I said last year: “An off guard who averaged less than 30 minutes a game (ok, 29.7 but still I’m technically right!) while still posting 5.6 boards, 1.6 steals, 1.3 threes and over 12 ppg makes me pretty damn excited. The proverbial arrow is pointing up, brah! Or is it metaphorical?” The days of getting him cheap(er) are over!
Projections: 17.5 ppg/4 apg/7.2 rpg/.430/.800/1.7 spg/170 3s/50 blk/2.8 tov
4. Dwyane Wade – Hey, psst, I have a secret for you. Come closer. A little closer. Closer. Pee-u! Your breath stinks! hecman whispers. Opt out contract year.
Projections: 21 ppg/5 apg/5.1 rpg/.490/.760/1.8 spg/20 3s/60 blk/2.9 tov
5. Kobe Bryant – I just have so much mad love for Kobe. When he cheated on his wife a few years ago I was only upset it wasn’t with me. Anyhoo! Wouldn’t shock me at all if he was back opening night and he should definitely be back in November. Now the question is, do you feel lucky? He will slide a bit, that’s fo shizzle. Your call. By the way, Kobe is example number 1 of why I hate doing drafts mid-October. Hold your damn draft on the eve of the season! For what it’s worth, I’m passing on him for where he’s going to go but that’s just me. It’s all about me! But you already knew that. I mentioned it the other day.
Projections: 24.5 ppg/5 apg/5 rpg/.455/.830/1.2 spg/115 3s/20 blk/3.2 tov
6. Monta Ellis – Where’s the love for Monta? He’s now on his third team in less than two years. Nobody likes a ball hog! At least not if you’re losing or if you play fantasy hoops. While he was decent, he murdered his owners in FG (41.6% on over 17 FGA per) last year. I think that will come up but plan to compensate for FG accordingly if you grab him. Just in case it doesn’t!
Projections: 20 ppg/5.5 apg/3.5 rpg/.440/.785/2 spg/100 3s/30 blk/3 tov
7. O.J. Mayo – Yeah, man, gimme some Mayo baby. He’s such a ham! Ok, but seriously folks, much like Al Jefferson in Charlotte, O.J. should be pretty ridiculously good on a poor team. Expect some gawdy numbers. This time gawdy is good!
Projections: 18 ppg/3.5 apg/3.8 rpg/.440/.820/1.1 spg/150 3s/25 blk/2.7 tov
8. Klay ThompsonAndre Iguodala’s presence concerns me a bit since I felt he directly contributed to Ty Lawson sucking ass the first half of last year. Same concerns, different team! Keep an eye on it. I still have him ranked 8th so I’m not that concerned.
Projections: 17 ppg/2.3 apg/3.5 rpg/.425/.845/1 spg/200 3s/40 blk/2 tov
9. Andre Iguodala – I’m pretty excited about Iggy this year. DON’T expect points but do expect plenty of other goodies. He’s more well rounded than Nadia Comaneci! Anyone remember her? Guy still can’t shoot a free throw though.
Projections: 12.5 ppg/5.5 apg/6 rpg/.450/.640/1.7 spg/90 3s/55 blk/2.6 tov
10. Joe Johnson – I can’t see him launching 14.6 shots a game like he did last year so logical reasoning suggests his scoring average will dip below the 16.7 per of a year ago. That’s what I do, I think logically. Sometimes! Half the time anyway.
Projections: 15.5 ppg/3.5 apg/3 rpg/.445/.825/.8 spg/150 3s/15 blk/1.8 tov
11. J.R. Smith – He definitely had a much better year than I expected last year so now that I have him ranked 11h he’ll probably fart on my pillow. A healthy Iman Shumpert doesn’t really scare me but don’t forget the 5 game suspension to start the season once he’s back healthy. You can pretty much throw out the first half of November here.
Projections: 16.5 ppg/2.5 apg/4.5 rpg/.420/.750/1.2 spg/145 3s/20 blk/1.5 tov
12. Tyreke Evans – It’s pretty much been all down hill since his stellar rookie year and I really just don’t see him ever getting back to that level again. Like Bon Jovi, Tyreke is living on a name (prayer!). If you think Eric Gordon is going to get hurt then kick him up a notch. You think?!
Projections: 15.5 ppg/3.5 apg/4.5 rpg/.465/.775/45 3s/1.3 spg/25 blk/2.1 tov
13. Bradley Beal – I very much like Mr. Beal. I also like Jessica Biel. There is not a bieal I don’t love! The arrow is pointing up so go ahead and get on board before he becomes too expensive next year. Stay healthy Bradley. I’ll pray for you!
Projections: 15.5 ppg/3 apg/4 rpg/.420/.790/1 spg/140 3s/40 blk/1.8 tov
14. Wesley Matthews – As predicted last pre-season, Wes bounced back nicely last year and I see no reason why he won’t continue to produce. CJ McCollum schlolum. He’s out probably until January anyway so there!
Projections: 14.5 ppg/2.5 apg/3 rpg/.435/.815/1.3 spg/180 3s/20 blk/1.5 tov
15. Eric Bledsoe – See Eric’s blurb and projections in Top 25 Point Guards for Fantasy Basketball. Go!
16. Jimmy Butler - Outside of Kirk Hineyrich I don’t see much threat to Jimmy’s playing time. He was a darling pick up last year and should only continue to rise to fantasy stardom. I see him as a minutes monger who should see a lot of open looks now that he’s playing with the guy who had someone take his SAT’s for him. People really get away with that!?
Projections: 13 ppg/2.5 apg/4.5 rpg/.450/.810/1.3 spg/80 3s/40 blk/1.5 tov
17. Kevin Martin – I know he seems kind of high but I’m willing to give him a second (third!) chance playing alongside Ricky Rubio who I would like to dry hump. He may have to fight Kevin Love for some three point, um, love though.
Projections: 17 ppg/2.8 apg/3 rpg/.435/.890/1 spg/175 3s/10 blk/1.9 tov
18. Danny Green - Did you know that Danny Green hit 177 threes last year? You do now! Not a sexy name but be sure to remember it when you draft. I’m serious! You better not forget!
Projections: 12.5 ppg/2 apg/3.5 rpg/.450/.830/1.3 spg/185 3s/60 blk/1.5 tov
19. Gerald Henderson – Last year he exploded in the second half and I tried my bestest to get you on the bandwagon before said explosion because you otherwise probably missed the boat. Did that make any sense!? Anyway, in 30 post-all star break games, homey averaged 18.9/4/3.4 with sick percents ! I see continued nice things out of Gerald, just don’t draft him and DeMar DeRozan on the same team. You’ll have no threes!
Projections: 16.5 ppg/3.5 apg/4 rpg/.455/.810/1 spg/40 3s/40 blk/2 tov
20. Arron Afflalo – I was pretty high on Arron heading into last season and my projections were all pretty much spot on (lots other players too! You can see for yourself). Anyhoo! I see a slight downtick from last year but I’m not letting the Victor Oladipo hype scare me from grabbing him as a value pick. It’s just hype! Or maybe it’s more. Hmm. That’s why they play the games!
Projections: 16 ppg/3 apg/3.5 rpg/.450/.840/.6 spg/80 3s/15 blk/2 tov
21. DeMar DeRozan - Drafting a shooting guard who shoots no threes is kind of like buying an ice cream cake with no ice cream. It’s missing a key ingredient! Despite that I still give a small endorsement due to his nice scoring average, steal per game and sweet FT percentage at over 5 FTA per. Did I mention he doesn’t shoot threes? No ice cream for you!
Projections: 18 ppg/2.5 apg/3 rpg/.435/.835/1 spg/30 3s/20 blk/1.9 tov
22. Dion Waiters - Even with Jarrett Jack in the fold to play some combo minutes, I’m still high on Dion as a nice value pick. He’s underrated! Don’t underrate Dion. Don’t go crazy either but don’t forget about him. Don’t you forget! My money is on him being ranked higher next year.
Projections: 15.5 ppg/3.2 apg/3 rpg/.445/.750/1.2 spg/100 3s/25 blk/2.2 tov
23. Kyle Korver - Kyle was a revelation last year and mostly screwed up Lou Williams owners until Lou himself screwed up Lou Williams owners. I like Kyle to keep screwing up Lou Williams owners again this year. Moral of the story? Don’t be a Lou Williams owner! Ewwww. Do draft Kyle! Yay!
Projections: 13 ppg/2 apg/4 rpg/.445/.850/1 spg/190 3s/40 blk/1.2 tov
24. Eric Gordon – You’re a glutton for punishment, eh? Go ahead then, go on, take a stab at EG. Don’t blame me when he breaks your achy breaky heart. His numbers scream top 20 but his body screams suck it!
Projections: 17.5 ppg/3.3 apg/2 rpg/.440/.800/1.1 spg/110 3s/20 blk/2.8 tov
25. Jamal Crawford - I look at the Clippers backcourt depth and I raise an eyebrow. Then I look court side and I raise another eyebrow when I see Jessica Alba in a Clippers hat. I friggin’ loooooove Jessica Alba! I don’t love the Clips backcourt depth with Chris Paul, Darren Collison, J.J. Reddick and Jared Dudley all hanging out besides Jamal. My fantasy basketball software with advanced algorithms says common sense dictates a reasonable slight dip in numbers. Sorry!
Projections: 15 ppg/2.5 apg/2 rpg/.425/.870/.9 spg/140 3s/10 blk/1.8 tov
Bonus! Some more for you because I care!
26. Evan Turner – ET is one of the streakiest players in the NBA often times going off for consecutive monster games at a time then, without any notice, disappearing for weeks at a time. Give us some damn notice when you do that! His upside still remains high simply because he’s on a bad team so don’t ignore him on draft day. We’re looking at possible solid value here, kids!
Projections: 13.5 ppg/4.5 apg/6.3 rpg/.425/.750/1 spg/60 3s/20 blk/2.3 tov
27. Manu Ginobili – I could always deal with Manu averaging 27ish MPG but last year that number dipped to 23ish MPG in just 60 games. It’s just not good enough! Exclamation point because I’m mad, damn it. There is a new wave of young players, namely Danny Green and Kawhi Leonard who the Spurs are relying on so I wouldn’t expect some great fantasy resurgance out of Manu. He’s still useful but don’t reach. He’ll still flash some of his old form at times but don’t you reach, son!
Projections: 12 ppg/4 apg/3.4 rpg/.440/.835/1.3 spg/100 3s/15 blk/2.1 tov
28. J.J. Redick – I’m a J.J. fan, maybe it’s because he’s white and I like to root for the underdog. Hoops stereotype! We know he’s not going to do what he did in Orlando so I would expect numbers closer to what he did in Milwaukee last year. Sigh.
Projections: 12.5 ppg/2.5 apg/2 rpg/.430/.900/.5 spg/145 3s/10 blk/1.5 tov
29. Marcus Thornton – It’s kind of crowded in Sacramento even with Tyreke Evans launched. You’ve got a couple of combo guards in Grievis Vasquez and Isaiah Thomas and rookie SG Ben McLemore so this could get messy. I think MT may be the fantasy casualty since his defense basically, um, what’s the word I’m thinking of? Oh, I know … sucks! Threes aren’t bad though.
Projections: 13.5 ppg/1.5 apg/2.8 rpg/.430/.805/.9 spg/150 3s/10 blk/1.2 tov
30. Alec Burks – I like him as a sleeper this year so keep your eye on him. Just one eye is sufficient. Use the other eye to check out that picture of Jessica Alba in a Clippers hat! (I refer you to the Jamal Crawford blurb above)
Projections: 13 ppg/2.5 apg/3.5 rpg/.430/.720/1 spg/451 3s/25 blk/2 tov (maybe optimistic but dare to dream)
Here’s the best of the rest to consider who’ll probably crack my Top 200ish when I get around to it
31. Jarrett Jack – Feel free to bump him up and definitely grab him if you draft Kyrie Irving!
32. Lance Stephenson – Danny Granger won’t stay healthy. As if!
33. Jared Dudley - Crowded backcourt and also has to compete with Matt Barnes at SF
34. Avery Bradley - He’s aigght. Nothing special even with burn.
35. Jordan Crawford - Never met a shot he didn’t like. Though some shots don’t like him! I could see him scoring in bunches, especially to start the season.
36. Courtney Lee - Could be a sleeper but most likely meh.
37. Ben McLemore - Not to be confused with Macklemore the white rapper and social message arteest. Thanks for the education, we are all a little bit more tolerant now.
38. Tony Allen - Steal Tony, steal!
39. Lou Williams - Injured, ewww, eww.