Wednesday, July 31, 2013

Fantasy Baseball Advice: Three Up for Week Eighteen

This article was submitted by RotoBaller.com.

With seventeen full weeks of the 2013 season in the books, today RotoBaller casts a critical eye on three players who are on the rise heading into Week 18:



1) Jayson Werth (OF, WAS): Even at the time the Nats signed Werth to a 7-year $126M, deal the consensus was that Werth couldn’t possibly play up to the value of deal. Now into the third year of that contract, Werth is finally giving the Nats at least one honest year of good baseball. In the last two weeks, he’s batted .351 with nine runs, five HR and nine RBI, and overall has a .305/.374/.506 line with 15 HR and 42 RBI. This is one of the first times all season that the Nats are playing with a healthy lineup and Werth is in the middle of it all in the five-hole with plenty of RBI opportunities. His LD rate of 23.3% is the highest it has been since 2007 and his HR/FB rate is almost identical to what it was in his 2009 career season when he hit 36 HR. Unlike last year when Werth struggled against right-handed pitching, Werth is more balanced this year with a .299/.323 RHP/LHP split. Pencil him every day in all formats as a solid #3 OF.

2) Jose Fernandez (SP, MIA): He turns 21 on July 31, so when you’re reading this give him a cheers and think about what you were doing with your life at 21 years old. On a putrid Marlins team, Fernandez is going toe-to-toe with Giancarlo Stanton for the face of the franchise. He is 7-5 with a 2.71 ERA and 1.04 WHIP, and an outstanding 124 K. Rather than having a mid-season swoon, he’s only gotten stronger. Since the All-Star break, Fernandez has won twice, an eight-IP, 13-strikeout performance against Pittsburgh. He throws 95 mph heat and has a curve, slider and changeup to mix things up. Going through Fernandez’s game log, you quickly realize that he doesn’t just feast on poor teams. He’s put together a quality starts against St. Louis and threw a gem in Colorado. Plus, he takes care of business against the weak teams too, dominating in his three starts against the Mets and Padres. He is still too cheap for the Marlins to ship off, so he should be on the Fish for several more years. Watch for the Marlins to monitor his innings and possibly shut him down toward the end of the year, but definitely buy on this guy in keeper formats.

3) Nick Franklin (SS/2B, SEA): He’s one of the more unheralded rookie call-ups this year, so don’t despair if you hadn’t heard of him until recently. He’s putting up five-category stats with a .277 BA, 10 HR, 32 RBI and five SB in only a third of a season. And with only about half as many plate appearances as most of the second basemen he is competing again, he nevertheless sits at No. 6 among them with his 10 HR, with four of those coming in the last two weeks. A switch-hitter, Franklin has generated most of his power from the left side, hitting nine of his home runs off of right-handed pitching. Considering that the majority of pitchers he faces will be RHP, this bodes well for the future. Until he proves that he can hit lefties consistently, you may want to sit him in those matchups. With such a small track record, it’s difficult to say whether this will continue– after all, he was never a home run hitter in the minors, and he’s striking out more than he ever did at any other professional level, so there seems to be something a little different about his plate approach so far in the big leagues. For now, keep him and ride it out. Depending on how he ends the season he could well be one of the top second basemen on draft day next year


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Fantasy Baseball Daily Lineup Advice and Picks July 31st

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Aaron Hill play of the day!


Michael Cuddyer is 3 for 4 with a home run and double against Minor, and the right fielder is 5 for 12 with four RBIs in his last three games.

Nolan Arenado has homered in the first two games of this series and is 9 for 23 (.391) over his last six.

Ben Zobrist had three hits with two RBIs on Tuesday and is batting .381 in his last 10 games.

Aaron Hill is batting .432 (19 for 44) with four homers in his last 12 interleague games.

Josh Hamilton is 4 for 9 with six RBIs in the series and 13 for 26 in his last six against his old club.

Nelson Cruz is 9 for 15 with three homers and nine RBIs VS Williams.

Billy Butler is hitting .425 against Twins pitching this season.

Hanley Ramirez is batting .375 with 10 RBIs during his 11-game hitting streak. He's 7 for 21 with two doubles against Kuroda.

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Tuesday, July 30, 2013

Embrace the Suck, Enjoy the Profits!

Article submitted by
twitter.com/furiousandfunk






I wrote a solid blog last month called Losing streak? Embrace the suck! about trying to embrace DFS struggles. I’ve been doing much better since writing it mainly because I’ve taken my own advice in many ways. The point of my blogs is to analyze what I’m doing right AND what I’m doing wrong in my strategy, instead of focusing on players themselves. So let’s figure out why embracing how bad you suck can really improve your game.
When reading last months blog you can tell I was not doing well with the DFS grind and the beatings had me looking for answers. If you haven’t read my first embrace the suck blog you should now because the quotes in this blog come from it,
plus I’m not scared of shameless plugs. It’s strange to see that at the time I thought I was just venting when in reality I was helping my game go to the next level. I focused on the negative aspects of my theories for over a month and I was actually figuring out ways to fix my flaws. I’ve preached that since DFS is skill based, sucking at MLB does not necessarily mean you will suck forever. In fact, things can change pretty quickly for you if you make a few small important changes to your DFSgame.

“I’ve had lots of success lately taking days”

I have increased my skill with crafting competitive teams and I feel like I have a clear head again. I’ve been taking way more time off from DFS, and it’s directly benefiting my DFS game. I should have stressed this more, I barely took an NBA day off and my MLB season was suffering for it. I started playing MLB already burned out from NBAand really needed a break even though I didn’t want to. If stats/researching are the last thing you want to do, simply don’t do it. Take some time off and preserve your bankroll. I started taking two or three days off at a time, or checking out completely during the all star break. I finally felt that feeling I had been missing since NBAFOCUS

“I’ve found plenty of cheap guys on the top scoring rosters that are still affordable the next night”

This is key and it has helped me recently on Draftkings. The Draftkings Midsummer classic came and went but not without giving us plenty of info to look into. I almost got crazy and bought an entry but wisely held off. I played in a $2 game to see where I may have placed, and my score probably would have placed me around 620th. The top 600 got paid so that would have stung, bullet dodged. The results of the winners were encouraging in all aspects to me. Youngkaiser got me really excited though, he had three entries and a non stack team that grabbed 2nd. Then I spent another hour going through the top 50 rosters to see heavily played players and which stacks were used. Those players were now on my list and even helped me in my 5th place finish the following week. By holding back and not blowing my bankroll at a shot at greatness, I successfully grinded $400 profit in the following week. While I never had a shot at 125k, my DFS game was slowly improving which gave me more confidence.

“The good news is since it’s a game of skill I can improve over time”

I’ve been steadily getting better over the past few months, the hours of twitter stalking posts from experts has clearly helped make me a better MLB DFS player. I’ve mentioned it before- really pay attention to what the experts talk about, but don’t be sucked in to “which player is a MUST play” talk. Watch the strategy they use, that’s the best stuff I’ve been taught by them. If the “experts” are all on a certain player, try to figure out what makes this player so appealing and you’ll be looking at those factors yourself next time. I started looking outside the box, for example stadium size and runs scored in stadium have become more valuable than BvP to me. I don’t want all you BvP followers to be up in arms, I’m just suggesting to people that may be struggling out there that sometimes overlooked factors that not enough people pay attention to can be the difference makers.

“One big win erases a lot of small losses!!!”

I said this in my blog last month and got to feel it firsthand. For example, I reached a point a few days ago that I was in contention for 2k. I had second place in the 10k Draftkings $11 GPP and was staring 1k in the face. I realized first was out of reach once my final guy didn’t dong, and once a win was credited to a pitcher I would be in third. I was looking good in third, very few players were left and $750 was sounding pretty damn good. As a small roll player this would have been huge so I was on the edge of my seat as the night DRAGGED on. Of course it wouldn’t stick, and my undoing was a meaningless 9th inning JLOVE bomb that dropped me to 5th. I cashed $350 off that entry and while it stung to watch hundreds disappear with the swing of a bat, I was feeling very good about my “win”. It even seemed to erase a bunch of smaller losses, and that hit close to home.

“I suck at MLB but by embracing that, I’ve found some success!”

I called myself out for sucking and it was exactly what I needed to grow. I wasn’t approaching DFS the right way and it was affecting my gameplay. My head had gotten a little bit too big from a sweet NBA season and I started to fall into the trap of not doing enough research or playing on nights when my head wasn’t in it. This seems to be the most important thing I learned from my experiences, do the work and profits will come your way. If you try to skip the work step, you are doomed.
As always, thanks for reading my blogs and I hope it helps someone out there.
Follow me on twitter @furiousandfunk and keep doin work fellas!!!

Fantasy Baseball Daily Lineup Advice and Picks July 30th

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Carlos Gonzalez play of the day!




Chase Utley is 7 for 20 off Zito, with four of those hits going for extra bases.

Carlos Gonzalez is hitting .444 (12 for 27) with two homers and six RBIs in eight career games at Atlanta.

Chris Johnson is batting .462 (12 for 26) over a seven-game hitting streak.

Daniel Murphy hitting .483 with two homers and 11 RBIs over his last seven games.

Jason Kubel is 14 for 38 (.368) with three homers and three doubles VS Hernandez.

Adrian Beltre has gone 10 for 28 (.357) with a homer, four doubles and four RBIs versus Wilson.

Mike Trout went 2 for 2 with a double in the opener and is hitting .375 with 22 RBIs over his last 36 games. He's a .344 hitter (21 for 61) with six homers in 16 lifetime games at Texas.

Yonder Alonso is hitting .375 with nine RBIs over his last 11 games.


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Monday, July 29, 2013

Fantasy Baseball Daily Lineup Advice and Picks July 29th

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Edwin Encarnacion play of the day!



Wil Myers homered twice and drove in four runs. Myers is 18 for 38 with four home runs and 11 RBIs during a nine-game hit streak.

Jeff Keppinger is 16 for 35 in the season series against the Indians and 6 for 10 against McAllister.

Pedro Alvarez is 12 for 21 with two doubles and two homers against Westbrook. He's batting .296 while hitting safely in seven straight games.

Edwin Encarnacion went 9 for 12 with eight RBIs in the Houston series. He's hit .391 (9 for 23) with two homers and five RBIs in his last six games against the A's.


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Sunday, July 28, 2013

Fantasy Baseball Daily Lineup Advice and Picks July 28th

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Starlin Castro play of the day!




Yunel Escobar who doubled in each of the series' first two games, is 7 for 19 off Hughes.

Colby Rasmus, who hit his 17th homer Saturday and is batting .417 over his last 16 games with nine doubles.

Starlin Castro went 3 for 3 with a home run off Lincecum in that meeting, giving him seven hits and five RBIs in 16 career at-bats in this matchup. He's also 12 for 28 (.429) with two homers against the Giants this season.

Brian Dozier continued his hot hitting against the Mariners (49-55) with a solo homer Saturday. The second baseman is 8 for 25 (.320) with two home runs and four RBIs in six meetings this season.

Troy Tulowitzki is batting .400 with three homers and seven RBIs against Milwaukee this season after going 3 for 4 with a solo homer and an RBI single Saturday.

Yonder Alonso had three hits and four RBIs on Saturday, raising his career average at Chase Field to .404 with 17 RBIs in 14 games. The first baseman -- 3 for 7 against Corbin -- is batting .382 with nine RBIs in nine games since the All-Star break.

Matt Joyce is 5 for 13 with a double, a triple and two homers VS Hughes.

Matt Wieters is hitting .378 (14 for 37) against Lester.


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Saturday, July 27, 2013

Fantasy Baseball Daily Lineup Advice and Picks July 27th

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Will Myers play of the day!



EARLY GAMES

Wil Myers has seven straight multihit games, going 15 for 30 with seven RBIs and six runs. The right fielder is 8 for 23 (.348) with five RBIs in five meetings with New York.

Colby Rasmus is hitting .393 since the all star break. Over/Under is 9.5 and i see Rasmus being involved in the run producing.

Albert Pujols is 7 for 14 with six doubles VS Milone. Pujols is hitting .310 over his last 10 games.
Daniel Murphy, who went 6 for 9 in Friday's doubleheader and is 11 for his last 17, is 3 for 7 with a home run against Haren.

LATE GAMES

Manny Machado is batting .444 (16 for 36) with two home runs, five doubles and eight RBIs against the Red Sox this season.

Jordy Mercer is one of the few Pirates currently performing well, batting .341 during a career-best 11-game hitting streak.

Starlin Castro is hitting .385 over the past 12 games after getting two hits and one RBI on Friday. He's 10 for 24 (.417) with two homers, two doubles and five RBIs in as many games versus the Giants this year.

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Friday, July 26, 2013

Fantasy Baseball Daily Lineup Advice and Picks July 26th

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Albert Pujols play of the day!





Manny Machado is 14 for 32 (.438) while hitting safely in all seven meetings against Boston.

Carlos Beltran, who is 4 for 7 with two doubles, a triple and a homer VS Minor.

Billy Butler is batting .412 (13 for 34) over his last nine games.

Troy Tulowitzki is batting .395 in 32 career contests against the Brewers with 10 home runs and 28 RBIs.

Martin Prado, 6 for 17 off Stults, should be available after he was shaken up on a headfirst slide Thursday. Prado is batting .353 with five doubles against Padres pitching this season.

Everth Cabrera is 14 for 35 with two homers and seven RBIs in the season series VS Arizona.

Albert Pujols kept his recent hot streak going with three hits and two RBIs last night. He's batting .352 with four homers and 13 RBIs over a 14-game stretch.

Dustin Ackley is 4 for 8 with a homer off Diamond -- all last year -- has hit safely in all seven career home games against the Twins. He's batting .462 (12 for 26) in those contests after going 3-for-4 with two RBIs on Thursday.
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Thursday, July 25, 2013

Fantasy Baseball Daily Lineup Advice and Picks July 25th

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Allen Craig play of the day!



Allen Craig, who is hitting .337 after going 2 for 4 to extend his hitting streak to nine. Craig has had a least a hit in 26 of his last 28 games and is batting .429 over his last 19.

Matt Wieters, however, continued his recent tear, going 2 for 4 with his 14th homer in Wednesday's loss. He's 13 for 26 with three homers during a seven-game road hitting streak.

Junior Lake went 2 for 5 with two doubles in his third straight multihit effort, and the third baseman is 14 for 27 (.519) while hitting safely in his first six major league games.

Mark Trumbo is 4 for 8 with a homer and double VS Straily.

Raul Ibanez is 5 for 10 with a homer and two doubles VS Correia.

 Joey Votto, who's batting .357 with two homers in a seven-game hitting streak at Dodger Stadium, has three homers in 16 at-bats off Greinke.

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Wednesday, July 24, 2013

Fantasy Baseball Daily Lineup Advice and Picks July 24th

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Matt Wieters play of the day!


Dustin Pedroia is hitting .343 with a homer and four doubles lifetime off Price.

Melky Cabrera is 6 for 13 (.462) with a homer off Nolasco.

Austin Jackson is 10 for 25 (.400) with two homers lifetime against Sanchez.

Matt Wieters is 11 for 22 with four doubles, two homers, four RBIs and six runs during a six-game road hitting streak.

Mike Moustakas is 7 for 16 over the past four games, getting two doubles while driving in a run Tuesday. He's 2 for 6 with a double off Chen.

Jimmy Rollins is 8 for 18 (.444) VS Westbrook.

Michael Young is 11 for 29 (.379) VS Westbrook with a HR.

Todd Helton is a lifetime .394 hitter versus the Marlins at home.

Junior Lake is 12 for 22 (.545) in his first five major league games and is 7 for 12 with two homers in this series.

Todd Frazier is 11 for 25 (.440) with 10 RBIs against the Giants this year, getting seven hits, four doubles, and driving in six runs in this series.

Hunter Pence is 8 for 21 (.381) in six games since the All-Star break after collecting five hits over the last three. The right fielder is 6 for 18 (.333) with two doubles and a homer off Leake.

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Tuesday, July 23, 2013

Fantasy Baseball Daily Lineup Advice and Picks July 23rd

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Allen Craig play of the day!



Colby Rasmus is batting .409 over his last 11 contests.

Hanley Ramirez continued his red-hot stretch, picking up two more hits and two runs scored. He's batting .430 with nine homers and 28 RBIs in his last 30 games.

Andrew McCutchen hit two-run shots in his first two plate appearances Monday and is 10 for 25 with five home runs in his last six games. He's 17 for 33 with five homers and 11 RBIs in his last eight games at Nationals Park.

Juan Lagares is batting .419 with nine RBIs over his last 11 contests.

Marlon Byrd is hitting .333 with five homers and 16 RBIs in his last 17 games.

Paul Konerko is 11 for 29 (.379) in his career against Porcello with a HR.

Nick Markakis, who had three hits in Monday's opener, is 8 for 16 with three doubles and a homer against Chen.

Allen Craig has reached base in 17 straight games, batting .413 with 15 RBIs.

Alfonso Soriano is batting .369 with 17 homers and 38 RBIs in his last 32 games against the Diamondbacks.

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Monday, July 22, 2013

Fantasy Baseball Daily Lineup Advice and Picks July 22nd

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Alfonso Soriano play of the day!



Robinson Cano, batting .415 with 12 RBIs during a 12-game hit streak, and is a career .342 batter in Texas. He's also 3 for 6 all-time versus Darvish.

Adrian Gonzalez, who has off Johnson, is hitting .361 with six homers and 19 RBIs in 15 career games in Toronto.

Jose Reyes is 11 for 27 (.407) in his last six games.

Miguel Cabrera is batting .453 with seven homers and 15 RBIs in his last 16 games versus the White Sox, leads the majors hitting .359.

Matt Wieters had two hits yesterday to boost his average to .438 (7 for 16) over the last four games. He's also homered, scored four runs and driven in two more during that span.

Jonathan Lucroy also figures to return to the lineup after pinch-hitting Sunday. He's 15 for 34 with six homers and 11 RBIs in his last 10 games.

Alfonso Soriano, who is batting .371 with 17 homers and 36 RBIs in his last 28 games in the series. Soriano is hitting .312 with 10 homers and 21 RBIs over a 19-game stretch overall.

Michael Saunders is 4 for 8 with a home run lifetime when facing Jimenez and looks to extend a 10-game hitting streak overall.

Jason Kipnis went 8 for 17 with a home run in that set, leaving him with a .419 average, two homers and six RBIs over a seven-game hitting streak against Seattle.

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Sunday, July 21, 2013

Fantasy Baseball Daily Lineup Advice and Picks July 21st

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Jonathan Lucroy play of the day!



Luke Scott is batting .386 with three homers and eight RBIs during a 12-game hitting streak.

Andrew McCutchen is 11 for 31 with eight walks against Bailey. The star center fielder is 5 for 8 in this series with solo homers in each game.

Chase Utley  who also hit a two-run homer in Friday's 13-8 win, has gone 11 for 28 with 12 RBIs during a six-game hitting streak at Citi Field.

Adeiny Hechavarria is 25 for 58 (.431) while hitting safely in 14 of his last 15 contests.

Jonathan Lucroy is batting .556 (10-for-18) with nine RBIs in five games against Miami this season.

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